Chestnuts Price Trend and Forecast 2026-2027

Market Overview

Chestnut prices held onto most of their winter gains through the first half of 2026. Germany sits above the other three markets tracked here, and its average price moved from USD 6.35/KG in Q1 2026 to USD 6.61/KG in Q2, a 4.1% gain. The global benchmark moved the same way, up from USD 3.42/KG to USD 3.55/KG, about 3.8%. Where prices go from here depends a lot on how the Northern Hemisphere harvest actually turns out. Forecasters see the H2 2026 global average landing somewhere in a USD 3.45-3.85/KG range, with the widening gap between premium and standard grades doing a lot of the work either way.

Chestnuts are the edible nut of trees in the Castanea genus, harvested each autumn across East Asia, Southern Europe, and pockets of North America, then sold fresh, dried, or processed into flour and purée. Most of the trade is still fresh in-shell product, though roasted and vacuum-packed formats have picked up real share at retail, and flour and purée feed the confectionery and gluten-free baking world. The big demand driver is straightforward: food retail and culinary use, especially the seasonal autumn and winter roasting trade. Confectionery, bakery, and plant-based food processing pick up whatever's left.

What actually moves the price comes down to harvest-season weather, storage and cold-chain logistics between harvests, the split between premium and standard grades, and the usual seasonal demand cycle.

Chestnuts Price Forecast for 2026

H2 2026 probably won't bring a dramatic move either way, though the direction is fairly clear. The growing conditions reported across China's key producing regions this season look favorable, pointing to an adequate overall crop, but that's almost beside the point. What's really setting the price is the gap between premium and standard grades, which keeps widening as discerning buyers pay up for the larger, blemish-free nuts while the standard grade deals with a softer demand backdrop. Add persistent European import dependency into the mix, and buyers exposed to that dependency are looking at the most uncertainty here.

A weather disruption during the autumn harvest window would tighten premium-grade supply fast and push prices toward the top of the range. Run the scenario in reverse, though, and a larger-than-expected harvest arriving on schedule would ease buying pressure and pull the market back down.

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

Chestnuts Prices Q2 2026:

• Germany: USD 6.61/KG
• Italy: USD 4.72/KG
• Turkey: USD 2.74/KG
• China: USD 1.49/KG

Chestnuts Prices in Germany

Germany averaged USD 6.61/KG in Q2 2026, the priciest of the four markets in this report and up 4.1% from Q1's USD 6.35/KG. Import dependency simply kept doing what it always does here, and the stored crop thinning out further didn't help either.

Why did the price of Chestnuts change in Q2 2026 in Germany?

Retail demand for the premium roasted and vacuum-packed formats stayed firm even as off-season stock kept shrinking. Germany imports almost everything it sells, mostly from Southern Europe and Turkey, and that dependency is really what keeps its landed cost the highest of the four markets tracked here. Freight and handling costs added a bit more on top.

Chestnuts Prices in Italy

Italy came in at USD 4.72/KG in Q2 2026, up 3.7% from USD 4.55/KG in Q1, as premium domestic branding and steady EU export demand kept the market firm through the off-season.

Why did the price of Chestnuts change in Q2 2026 in Italy?

The premium attached to Italy's domestic crop held up even as stored volume thinned out. Export demand toward Switzerland and other EU destinations stayed steady too. The gap between premium and standard grade widened a bit further, which is really what held the average near USD 4.72/KG.

Chestnuts Prices in Turkey

Turkey averaged USD 2.74/KG in Q2 2026, up 3.4% from USD 2.65/KG in Q1, as Turkish supply's growing role in the EU import mix firmed things up.

Why did the price of Chestnuts change in Q2 2026 in Turkey?

EU buyers kept turning to Turkish supply as Chinese shipments into Europe pulled back further, and that shift alone lifted demand. Domestic Turkish consumption stayed steady in parallel, pushing the market to near USD 2.74/KG.

Chestnuts Prices in China

China averaged USD 1.49/KG in Q2 2026, up 2.8% from USD 1.45/KG in Q1, as domestic demand firmed modestly ahead of the new harvest season.

Why did the price of Chestnuts change in Q2 2026 in China?

Domestic retail and processing demand firmed a bit, and that alone was enough to lift the market, even with demand described as generally subdued this season. Stored crop from the prior harvest kept drawing down. China's harvest is simply so large that it stays the most affordable market tracked here regardless, at roughly USD 1.49/KG.

For the Quarter Ending March 2026

Chestnuts Prices Q1 2026:

• Germany: USD 6.35/KG
• Italy: USD 4.55/KG
• Turkey: USD 2.65/KG
• China: USD 1.45/KG

Chestnuts Prices in Germany

Germany's Q1 2026 average landed at USD 6.35/KG, up 3.4% from Q4 2025.

Off-season reliance on stored crop and imports kept the market firming as the quarter went on. Retail chains and specialty food channels kept up steady procurement through the winter roasting season, even as available volume from the prior autumn harvest kept shrinking.

Freight costs held elevated the whole quarter, which is a big part of why the market sat near USD 6.35/KG.

Why did the price of Chestnuts change in Q1 2026 in Germany?

Shrinking stored volume from the prior harvest was the main thing firming the market through winter. Freight costs stayed elevated too. Together, that pulled the market up to close to USD 6.35/KG ahead of Q2.

Chestnuts Prices in Italy

Italy's Q1 2026 average came in at USD 4.55/KG, up 3.2% from Q4 2025.

The winter retail season for premium roasted product kept demand firm, and export orders toward other EU markets held steady right alongside it. Stored crop from the domestic autumn harvest kept drawing down through the quarter.

Put those together, and that's what firmed the market to roughly USD 4.55/KG.

Why did the price of Chestnuts change in Q1 2026 in Italy?

The winter retail season for premium roasted product kept demand firm through the quarter. Export orders toward other EU markets held steady. Buyers saw the average land near USD 4.55/KG as the stored crop thinned.

Chestnuts Prices in Turkey

Turkey's Q1 2026 average reached USD 2.65/KG, up 3.1% from Q4 2025.

Domestic winter consumption stayed firm, and export interest from EU buyers started building ahead of the coming season. Stored crop from the autumn harvest worked through its usual seasonal drawdown.

The market firmed gradually to near USD 2.65/KG as the quarter progressed.

Why did the price of Chestnuts change in Q1 2026 in Turkey?

Firm domestic winter consumption, combined with building EU export interest, is what supported the gradual gains, even as the stored crop kept drawing down in the background. The average landed near USD 2.65/KG.

Chestnuts Prices in China

China's Q1 2026 average was USD 1.45/KG, up 2.8% from Q4 2025.

Domestic winter retail demand held broadly steady, even with broader seasonal demand described as generally subdued. Stored crop from the autumn harvest continued its usual seasonal drawdown.

The market firmed modestly to close to USD 1.45/KG heading into spring.

Why did the price of Chestnuts change in Q1 2026 in China?

Broadly steady domestic winter retail demand is what supported the modest firming. The stored crop kept drawing down through the quarter. The quarter closed with the average near USD 1.45/KG.

Quarterly Chestnuts Price Trends

Look at six quarters of chestnut pricing and the pattern is clear: a steady climb, the seasonal stock drawdown between harvests stacking on top of firm retail and confectionery demand the whole way. The average rose from USD 3.18/KG in Q2 2025 to USD 3.26/KG in Q3, USD 3.35/KG in Q4, USD 3.42/KG in Q1 2026, then USD 3.55/KG in Q2 2026, a net gain of about 11.6% across the window. The seasonal storage-drawdown cycle and that widening premium-versus-standard split are what's kept this trend so consistent.

What was Chestnuts Price in 2025?

2025 was a steady year of gains for chestnuts. Firm retail and confectionery demand met the usual seasonal storage drawdown across every major importing region, and the global average opened near USD 3.05/KG in Q1 before finishing at USD 3.35/KG by Q4, a full-year gain of 9.8%. The widening gap between premium and standard grades, steady European import demand, and Turkey's growing export role all kept the trend moving the same direction all year.

Chestnuts Prices in Germany in 2025

Germany's price firmed from USD 5.85/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 6.28/KG by Q4, a gain of 7.4%. Import dependency and rising freight costs were the main story, and retail demand for the premium roasted format never really let up either, staying firm across all four quarters. Germany doesn't really grow chestnuts at any meaningful scale, so the market rides almost entirely on what Southern Europe and Turkey ship.

Chestnuts Prices in Italy in 2025

Italy's price firmed from USD 4.20/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 4.48/KG by Q4, a gain of about 6.7%. Premium domestic branding, combined with steady EU export demand, carried the climb. Italian chestnuts have a reputation for quality that lets the domestic crop command a premium even in years when the wider European supply looks comfortable.

Chestnuts Prices in Turkey in 2025

Turkey's price firmed from USD 2.35/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 2.58/KG by Q4, a gain of 9.8%, the steepest domestic move among the tracked markets. Turkish shipments increasingly filled the gap left by pulling-back Chinese volumes, and that growing EU export role is what sustained the trend.

Chestnuts Prices in China in 2025

China's price firmed from USD 1.30/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 1.41/KG by Q4, a gain of about 8.5%. Domestic retail and processing demand firmed steadily through the year, even as broader consumer demand was described as generally subdued. China's harvest is just too large for that gain to threaten its spot as the most affordable market tracked here.

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Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Chestnuts Price Intelligence

We keep a continuous read on chestnut prices across every producing and consuming region that matters. Harvest-season weather, storage and cold-chain logistics, and that widening premium-versus-standard grade split all factor into how we build our forecasts, alongside production estimates and trade flow data. Need chestnut pricing data, a custom market analysis, or help thinking through procurement strategy? Get in touch.