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Corn Syrup Price Trends and Outlook: Market Volatility, Supply Dynamics, and Future Projections

2025

Base Year

2023-2025

Historical Period

2026-2027

Forecast Period

The EMR pricing report on Corn Syrup provides insights into the top 10 leading trading countries and regions.

Considerable transformations in the corn syrup market outlook are emerging due to regulatory changes and evolving customer needs. A proposed ban on high fructose corn syrup HFCS in the US by Mr. Roberts F. Kennedy Junior has created a panic syndrome among corn cultivators, particularly in western Ohio, which produces 8 percent of US corn crops for sweetener synthesis. In Q1 2025, the global corn syrup market experienced a mixed price trend, starting with a sharp increase in January due to tight supply and rising costs, followed by a decline in February as the market stabilized, and a resurgence in March due to supply constraints and increased demand.

Corn Syrup HFCS-42 (dry) Price (USD/MT) YoY Change, FOB Midwest USA
Month 2023 Price 2024 Price YoY Change Expert Market Research Price Prediction for 2025
October 932 USD/MT 869 USD/MT - 7% Prices are expected to trend upward, driven by tightening supply and sustained demand growth
November 932 USD/MT 869 USD/MT - 7%
December 932 USD/MT 869 USD/MT - 7%

Get Real-Time Prices (Monthly, Quarterly, and Yearly) - Download Free Sample

Yields of corn could plummet by 1.4 billion bushels, which may result in a decrease in the prices of raw corn as well as corn syrup. However, the food and beverage industry across the world is placing corn syrup at the forefront, and thus, the global demand is expected to rise continuously. This sector is expected to expand consistently, reaching USD 13.5 billion by 2031.

Corn Syrup Price Forecast

Broader macroeconomic factors affecting corn syrup price forecast include regulatory uncertainty, global demand, and commodity price trends in the year 2025. If the proposed HFCS ban takes effect, U.S. demand may drop instantaneously, resulting in an advantageous drop in prices. At the same time, the international demand, especially from the Asia-Pacific and Latin America, remains strong, which could help to stabilise overall market price forecast. The global high-fructose corn syrup (HFCS) sector is expected to exceed USD 10.24 billion by 2030, driven by steady annual growth.

Corn Syrup Price Forecast

Get Real-Time Prices (Monthly, Quarterly, and Yearly) - Download Free Sample

While the domestic market is expected to fluctuate, corn syrup will remain an essential ingredient for processed foods, beverages, and confectionery. Volatility in price is expected to persist, although fluctuations in consumer tastes and policy changes may be short-lived. Demand for cheaper alternatives to sweeteners already indicates an upward price correction as long as the world consumes more.

Global Trade and Supply Chain Implications

Leading Exporting Countries Leading Importing Countries Major Suppliers
China Mexico Archer Daniels Midland Company (USA)
USA Canada Cargill, Incorporated (USA)
South Korea Japan Ingredion Incorporated (USA)
Mexico Indonesia Global Sweeteners Holdings Limited (China)
Argentina Philippines COFCO Rongshi Bio-technology Co., Ltd. (China)
Brazil Vietnam DAESANG Corporation (South Korea)
Thailand Colombia Tate & Lyle PLC (UK)
India South Korea Roquette Frères (France)

The growth drivers of the corn syrup market include expanding trade conditions and challenges across the supply chain. Low supplies in South America have contracted supplies and pushed up prices, as U.S. exports of corn have risen so strongly in early 2025, pushing their prices higher too, as inclement weather-related problems in Brazil and Argentina compromise worldwide supplies.

Rising transportation and commodity costs once again are largely due to supply chain issues and trade policies. Increased port congestion, fuel prices, and labour shortages have been raising freight costs and, thus, driving up the consumer price of corn syrup. The intricacies of supply chains due to trade restrictions and tariffs, however, complicate the costs associated both with imports as well as exports. Part of this internal demand may be impacted by possible regulatory limitations on the supply of high-fructose corn syrup.

Global Trade and Supply Chain Implications

Feedstock Analysis

For the crop season 2025-2026, expectations are geared toward higher production of corn, which is the primary feedstock for corn syrup. Uncertainties coming from South America still pose the main global supply risks. Included among the feedstocks are sulphur dioxide, hydrochloric acid, and enzymes, which all put pressure on input costs. The environmental regulation of sulphur dioxide has raised processing costs, while further increased demand from competing industries has put further pressure on hydrochloric acid inputs. Besides, recent disruptions in biotech manufacturing have paved the path for price volatility in enzymes, ramping up the pressures on costs. In addition, the surging corn syrup prices rise from the escalation of corn input prices. The price hikes in corn usually trigger rising costs for syrup producers. The added climatic-related supply issues are further complicated by trade barriers, which impose additional layers of cost relating to price volatility, further complicating the producers' pricing strategies.

Demand and Supply Outlook for Corn Syrup

The corn syrup industry is positioned somewhere in between, with looming regulatory reforms and evolving consumer health sentiment for 2025. Econometric market analysis also suggests that a strong drop in HFCS production might cause disruptions to the corn supply chain, compelling producers to look for alternative ways to market their corn. Notwithstanding the rising health issues, corn syrup remains a cheap and versatile sweetener that is very hard to replace altogether in large-scale food manufacturing.

As the cycles begin to unfold, there could be short-term trailing prices, with U.S. pricing likely to continue to be volatile, supplemented by global demand trends. Given the nature of the regulatory uncertainty, commodity pricing competition, and continuing food applications, corn syrup pricing may very well oscillate for time to come, but long-term market stability could be observed. The industry stakeholders need to monitor developments in policy and demands so that they are able to gear themselves for developments in the landscape.

Report Features Coverage - Detail Report Annual Subscription
Product Name Corn Syrup
Report Coverage Price Forecasting and Historical Analysis: Monthly historical prices (2021-2024), short- and long-term price forecasts (2025-2026), scenario forecasts (most probable, optimistic, pessimistic)
Regional and Grade-wise Market Breakdown: The top 10 countries in terms of production, consumption, export, and import, regional insights (USA, North West Europe, China, India, South East Asia, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, Nigeria, GCC, Japan, South Korea, etc.).
Grade Wise Price Trends with Incoterms: Variation in price by product grade and specifications, and Incoterms.
Price Drivers and Cost Structure: Feedstock correlations, production costs, market competition, government policies, economic factors
Supply and Demand Analysis: Regional supply-demand analysis (North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, etc.), company-level and grade-level supply-demand, plant shutdown, expansion, force majeure,  details
Trade Balance Analysis: Historical deficit and surplus countries, net importers and exporters, Product movement, Supply Chain, Freight, Duties and Taxes
Production Cost Breakdown: Direct and indirect cost breakdowns: raw material, labour, processing, packaging, overhead, R&D, taxes
Profitability Assessment: Profit margin evaluations
Industry News and Macroeconomic Context: Geopolitical events, policy updates, GDP, inflation, exchange rates, and their impact on coal prices
Data Overview: Macroeconomic Impact, Supply-Demand, Government/Industry Inputs, Custom Insights
Currency USD (Data can also be provided in the local currency)
Customization Scope The report can also be customised based on the requirements of the customer
Post-Sale Analyst Support Till the end of the subscription
Data Access Lifetime Access, Visualisation
Delivery Format PDF and Excel through email (We can also provide the editable version of the report in PPT/Word format on special request)

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