Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Price Trend and Forecast 2026-2027

PVC pricing split sharply by region in Q2 2026. India led the pack, up 10.8% to USD 924.00/MT from USD 834.00/MT in Q1, after the government trimmed an import duty exemption that had been keeping cheaper cargoes flowing in. Germany, already the priciest of the four markets tracked, rose a further 6.4% to USD 1,080.00/MT on tight European capacity and continued anti-dumping caution around Asian imports. The United States and Japan moved more modestly, up 4.5% and 3.8%. Averaged across all four, the global price climbed from USD 783.50/MT to USD 835.50/MT, a 6.6% gain that masks just how differently each region got there. PVC is made by polymerizing vinyl chloride monomer, itself derived from ethylene and chlorine, making it one of the most widely produced plastics in the world. Roughly two-thirds of global output goes into construction, mainly pipes, window frames, siding, and flooring, with the rest split across packaging, cables, and medical-grade tubing. Because it sits downstream of both the oil and chlor-alkali chains, PVC pricing tends to move with ethylene costs, energy prices, and whatever trade policy happens to be shaping import flows in a given region at the time. Regional capacity utilization adds a further layer on top of that, since a producer running near full output has far less flexibility to absorb a sudden demand spike than one with spare capacity in reserve.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Price Forecast for 2026

India's duty change looks like a lasting shift rather than a one-quarter blip, so expect that market to keep trading at a premium to its old level through the rest of 2026. Europe's tightness should persist too, since the anti-dumping measures keeping Asian volumes out aren't going anywhere soon. The US and Japan, both better supplied, look set for a calmer second half, with only gradual, ethylene-cost-driven movement expected. Any material change to that outlook would most likely come from a shift in trade policy rather than from feedstock costs alone, given how much of this quarter's divergence traced back to regulatory rather than production-side factors.

A further tightening of Indian import policy or an unexpected European capacity outage could push prices toward the top of the ranges below. A reversal of the Indian duty change or a pickup in Asian export volumes into Europe would instead pull the global average back toward the lower end. A meaningful shift in ethylene feedstock costs, tied as they are to broader energy markets, remains a wildcard that could move the range in either direction independent of the trade-policy story.

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices Q2 2026:

• India: USD 924.00/MT
• Germany: USD 1,080.00/MT
• United States: USD 648.00/MT
• Japan: USD 690.00/MT

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in India

India closed Q2 2026 at USD 924.00/MT, up 10.8% from USD 834.00/MT in Q1. The government trimmed a longstanding import duty exemption on select PVC grades, and domestic converters scrambled to secure volume before the change took full effect.

Why did the price of Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) change in Q2 2026 in India?

The duty adjustment changed the underlying economics overnight for anyone still relying on the exempted import route. Buyers who had grown used to those cheaper cargoes had little choice but to absorb the difference or shift toward pricier domestic supply, and several smaller converters reported renegotiating existing contracts mid-quarter to reflect the new cost structure.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in Germany

Germany's price rose 6.4% in Q2 2026, from USD 1,015.00/MT to USD 1,080.00/MT, extending a run that's kept the region the most expensive of the four tracked here. Anti-dumping duties on Asian cargoes remained firmly in place, and European producers ran close to full capacity all quarter.

Why did the price of Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) change in Q2 2026 in Germany?

With cheaper Asian volumes still effectively priced out of the market, German buyers have limited room to shop around. A cold snap that briefly slowed one regional cracker added a bit more tightness on top of an already firm baseline, though the disruption was short-lived and didn't meaningfully change the quarter's overall trajectory.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in the United States

Up 4.5% in Q2 2026, from USD 620.00/MT to USD 648.00/MT. Domestic ethylene costs ticked up slightly, and export demand from Latin American buyers picked up a touch, though supply stayed comfortably ahead of any real shortage.

Why did the price of Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) change in Q2 2026 in the United States?

US producers still have plenty of headroom, so this was a mild cost-pass-through move rather than anything supply-driven. A few Gulf Coast plants ran planned maintenance, but nothing that meaningfully dented overall output, and inventory levels across the domestic supply chain stayed comfortably within normal range throughout.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in Japan

Japan rose 3.8% in Q2 2026, from USD 665.00/MT to USD 690.00/MT, the smallest move of the four markets. Domestic construction demand held steady, and feedstock costs drifted up only slightly through the quarter.

Why did the price of Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) change in Q2 2026 in Japan?

Japan's well-supplied domestic market kept this one of the calmer stories this quarter. Buyers here weren't exposed to either India's policy shift or Europe's capacity squeeze, so the price just tracked ordinary feedstock cost movement, with no meaningful disruption on either the supply or demand side to speak of.

For the Quarter Ending March 2026

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices Q1 2026:

• India: USD 834.00/MT
• Germany: USD 1,015.00/MT
• United States: USD 620.00/MT
• Japan: USD 665.00/MT

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in India

India's Q1 2026 price came in at USD 834.00/MT, up 3.2% from USD 808.00/MT in Q4 2025. Construction-season restocking ran on its usual seasonal schedule, with import volumes still flowing under the duty exemption at that point.

Why did the price of Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) change in Q1 2026 in India?

This was an ordinary seasonal quarter for Indian PVC demand, well before the duty change reshaped the picture. Converters bought roughly as much as they normally do heading into the busier construction months, with no early signs yet of the policy shift that would reshape the market the following quarter.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in Germany

Germany rose 3.6% in Q1 2026, from USD 980.00/MT to USD 1,015.00/MT, continuing a steady climb that's kept it the priciest market tracked. Anti-dumping measures were already in effect, holding back cheaper Asian supply.

Why did the price of Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) change in Q1 2026 in Germany?

Nothing new drove Q1 - the anti-dumping backdrop was already the dominant factor shaping this market, and the modest gain reflected ordinary quarterly demand rather than any fresh disruption, consistent with the steady, policy-driven premium the region has carried for some time.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in the United States

US prices climbed 3.3% in Q1 2026, from USD 600.00/MT to USD 620.00/MT, tracking a mild uptick in ethylene feedstock costs. Domestic supply stayed ample throughout the quarter.

Why did the price of Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) change in Q1 2026 in the United States?

A modest feedstock cost increase passed through fairly directly, with no supply constraints of note to amplify it further, keeping this one of the more predictable quarters in the recent series.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in Japan

Japan rose 3.1% in Q1 2026 to USD 665.00/MT from USD 645.00/MT in Q4 2025, in line with the broader steady pattern seen across most of 2025.

Why did the price of Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) change in Q1 2026 in Japan?

Domestic demand and feedstock costs both moved only slightly, keeping this the least eventful of the four markets in Q1, a role it would largely keep in Q2 as well, since neither India's policy shift nor Europe's capacity squeeze had any direct bearing on the well-supplied Japanese market.

Quarterly Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Price Trends

The six-quarter run shows a market on a gradual, mostly steady climb through 2025, followed by a sharper regional split once India's duty change and Europe's tightening capacity both hit in Q2 2026. The table below tracks the global average and the pace of change each quarter.

What was Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Price in 2025?

Over the full year, PVC's global average rose from USD 726.92/MT in Q2 2025 to USD 835.50/MT in Q2 2026, a 14.9% climb. Most of 2025 saw a slow, steady drift upward on general construction demand; the sharper acceleration only showed up in Q2 2026, once India's policy shift and Europe's capacity squeeze both landed at once, a combination that pushed the pace of increase well above the steadier rate seen through most of the prior year.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in India in 2025

From USD 780.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 808.00/MT by Q4, a 3.6% rise, driven by steady construction-sector demand growth. The sharper move came only after Q1 2026 ended, once the import duty exemption was trimmed, marking a clear break from the steadier pace of increase seen through most of 2025.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in Germany in 2025

Germany went from about USD 920.00/MT to USD 980.00/MT across 2025, up 6.5%, as anti-dumping measures progressively tightened the supply of cheaper Asian material available to European converters, a trend that continued building through the first half of 2026 as well.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in the United States in 2025

The smallest gain of the four regions - USD 585.00/MT to USD 600.00/MT, up 2.6% - reflecting ample domestic ethylene-derived supply and limited import competition throughout the year, a pattern that held steady even as other tracked regions saw sharper moves.

Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) Prices in Japan in 2025

Japan rose from USD 625.00/MT to USD 645.00/MT over 2025, up 3.2%, the calmest of the four markets, with steady domestic construction demand and no notable feedstock disruptions, making Japan the most consistently calm of the four markets across the full annual period.

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Expert Market Research tracks PVC pricing across major production and consumption regions, giving procurement and sourcing teams a clear view of where policy shifts, capacity constraints, and feedstock costs are likely to move the market next. Our coverage follows both the upstream ethylene-chlorine chain and downstream construction demand drivers that ultimately set regional pricing. Whether you're managing pipe and profile manufacturing, packaging film production, or broader plastics procurement, our analysts can help you benchmark supplier quotes, anticipate regional divergence, and plan purchases around the trade and capacity dynamics shaping this market. Reach out to discuss custom research or a closer look at any of the regions covered here, including scenario analysis tailored to your specific supply footprint and contract renewal timeline.