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Base Year
Historical Period
Forecast Period
RBD palm olein prices dipped in mid-2025 before firming through the year and into early 2026. In Malaysia, a leading origin, the average held near USD 1.14/KG in the first quarter and USD 1.13/KG by the fourth, broadly steady, while importing markets firmed on rising freight and biodiesel demand. RBD palm olein is the refined, bleached, and deodorised liquid fraction of palm oil, used widely as a cooking and frying oil, in food processing, and as a biodiesel feedstock. The largest pull comes from edible-oil consumption in Asia, followed by food manufacturing, oleochemicals, and biofuel blending. Its price moves with a clear set of drivers. Plantation output and yields, biodiesel blending mandates, export duties, freight, and competition from soft oils all feed into it. A soft patch in mid-2025 gave way to a firmer tone as supply tightened and biofuel demand grew.
The balance of supply and demand for RBD palm olein through the rest of 2026 leans firm. Biodiesel blending mandates in major producing countries are set to rise, lifting feedstock demand and tightening the exportable surplus. Weather risk tied to dry conditions adds to supply concern, while higher freight after the mid-year disruption around the Strait of Hormuz raises landed costs for importers. The main upside risk is a sharper production shortfall alongside stronger biofuel demand. The main downside risk is cheaper competing soft oils and softer import buying, which can cap gains in price-sensitive markets.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/KG) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 1.10 - 1.22 | Firmer biofuel demand and tighter supply lift the tone |
| Malaysia | 1.10 - 1.22 | Steady output and biodiesel demand support origin values |
| Indonesia | 1.02 - 1.14 | Large output keeps it the lowest-cost origin |
| India | 1.18 - 1.32 | Import duties and freight keep it the highest-priced market |
| China | 1.12 - 1.24 | Steady food demand and import costs firm the market |
Malaysian RBD palm olein prices averaged USD 1.16/KG in Q1 2026, up 2.7% from USD 1.13/KG in Q4 2025. Firmer crude palm oil values and steady export demand supported origin quotes, while a seasonal dip in production tightened availability. Rising biodiesel demand across the region added support, lifting offers through the quarter.
Why did the price of RBD Palm Olein change in Q1 2026 in Malaysia?
Firmer crude palm oil values and a seasonal production dip tightened supply, while biodiesel demand grew. Both forces lifted origin quotes across the quarter.
Indonesian RBD palm olein prices averaged USD 1.08/KG in Q1 2026, up 2.9% from USD 1.05/KG in Q4 2025, the lowest among the tracked markets as the leading origin. A higher biodiesel blending target lifted domestic feedstock demand and trimmed the exportable surplus, while firmer reference prices supported quotes. Large output kept Indonesia the cheapest source despite the gain.
Why did the price of RBD Palm Olein change in Q1 2026 in Indonesia?
A higher biodiesel target lifted feedstock demand and trimmed exports, while firmer reference prices supported quotes. Large output kept Indonesia the lowest-cost origin.
Indian RBD palm olein prices averaged USD 1.25/KG in Q1 2026, up 3.3% from USD 1.21/KG in Q4 2025, the highest among the tracked markets. Import duties and higher freight lifted landed costs, and firmer origin values added to the rise. Restocking after lean inventories supported buying, pushing quotes higher through the quarter.
Why did the price of RBD Palm Olein change in Q1 2026 in India?
Import duties, higher freight, and firmer origin values lifted landed costs. Restocking after lean inventories added support, keeping India the highest-priced market.
Chinese RBD palm olein prices averaged USD 1.18/KG in Q1 2026, up 2.6% from USD 1.15/KG in Q4 2025. Steady food and food-processing demand met firmer origin and freight costs, lifting import-linked quotes. Year-end restocking and tighter vessel availability added support, holding the market firm through the quarter.
Why did the price of RBD Palm Olein change in Q1 2026 in China?
Steady food demand met firmer origin and freight costs, lifting import-linked quotes. Restocking and tight shipping added support across the quarter.
Malaysian RBD palm olein prices averaged USD 1.13/KG in Q4 2025, firmer through the quarter. Steady export demand and year-end buying supported origin values, while production held near seasonal norms. Firmer crude palm oil futures and a softer ringgit lent support, holding the average near USD 1.13/KG into year-end.
Why did the price of RBD Palm Olein change in Q4 2025 in Malaysia?
Steady export demand and firmer crude palm oil values supported origin quotes. A softer ringgit added support, holding the market near USD 1.13/KG.
Indonesian RBD palm olein prices averaged USD 1.05/KG in Q4 2025, the lowest among origins. Reliable production and sustained export flows kept supply ample, while domestic biodiesel demand absorbed a growing share of output. Year-end export momentum to major buyers lent modest support, holding the average near USD 1.05/KG.
Why did the price of RBD Palm Olein change in Q4 2025 in Indonesia?
Ample production met steady exports and rising biodiesel use, keeping prices low. Year-end buying lent modest support near USD 1.05/KG.
Indian RBD palm olein prices averaged USD 1.21/KG in Q4 2025, firmer on the quarter. Import duties and freight kept landed costs elevated, and a pickup in import buying after lean stocks supported the market. Firmer origin values added to the rise, holding the average near USD 1.21/KG into year-end.
Why did the price of RBD Palm Olein change in Q4 2025 in India?
Import duties, freight, and firmer origin values kept landed costs high. A pickup in import buying supported the market near USD 1.21/KG.
Chinese RBD palm olein prices averaged USD 1.15/KG in Q4 2025, gently firmer on the quarter. Steady food demand and year-end restocking supported buying, while import costs held the floor. Tighter vessel availability lent modest support, holding the average near USD 1.15/KG into year-end.
Why did the price of RBD Palm Olein change in Q4 2025 in China?
Steady food demand and restocking met firm import costs, supporting prices. Tighter shipping held the average near USD 1.15/KG.
Global RBD palm olein prices traced a shallow dip and steady recovery across the six-quarter window. The average eased from USD 1.140/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 1.100/KG by Q2 before firming to USD 1.135/KG in Q4 and reaching USD 1.165/KG by Q1 2026, a net gain of about 2.2%. Weak mid-year import demand and ample stocks drove the dip, while rising biodiesel demand, tighter supply, and firmer freight lifted the average into early 2026.
| Quarter | Price (USD/KG) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q1 2026 | 1.165 | +2.6% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 1.135 | +1.8% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 1.115 | +1.4% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2025 | 1.100 | -3.5% | ↓ Falling |
| Q1 2025 | 1.140 | - | - Stable |
| Q2 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
RBD palm olein prices were broadly steady through 2025 with a soft middle and a firmer close. The global average opened at USD 1.140/KG in Q1, dipped to USD 1.100/KG by Q2, and closed near USD 1.135/KG in Q4, a slight full-year easing of about 0.4%. Three forces shaped the year. Weak mid-year import demand and high stocks pressured the market, competition from cheaper soft oils added headwinds, and rising biodiesel demand firmed the tone late in the year.
Malaysian prices held near USD 1.14/KG in Q1 2025 and eased slightly to USD 1.13/KG by Q4, broadly steady across the year. A soft mid-year patch on weak import demand gave way to firmer values as crude palm oil rose and biodiesel demand grew. Steady output and export interest kept the origin balanced through the year.
Indonesian prices eased from about USD 1.07/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 1.05/KG by Q4, a slight decline of around 1.9%. Large output and sustained exports kept supply ample, while a rising biodiesel mandate absorbed a growing share of production. Reliable supply held Indonesia as the lowest-cost origin throughout the year.
Indian prices rose from roughly USD 1.19/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 1.21/KG by Q4, a gain of 1.7%. Import duties and freight kept landed costs elevated, and buying firmed late in the year after lean inventories. Competition from cheaper soft oils capped the rise, keeping India the highest-priced market.
Chinese prices held near USD 1.16/KG in Q1 2025 and eased slightly to USD 1.15/KG by Q4, a small decline of about 0.9%. Steady food and processing demand supported the market, while ample origin supply and competing oils capped gains. Firmer import costs late in the year held the average broadly steady.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time RBD Palm Olein Price Intelligence
Expert Market Research tracks RBD palm olein prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, explaining not just that prices moved but precisely why. We trace causation through plantation output, biodiesel mandates, export duties, freight, and competition from soft oils, alongside food and food-processing demand. Our forecasts draw on production data, trade flows, and policy signals across all reporting regions. Contact Expert Market Research today for RBD palm olein pricing data, bespoke market analysis, and strategic procurement advisory.
Edible-oil consumption as a cooking and frying oil takes the largest share, followed by food manufacturing, oleochemicals, and biodiesel blending. Asian food demand drives most of the consumption.
The Q1 2026 average was USD 1.16/KG in Malaysia, USD 1.08/KG in Indonesia, USD 1.25/KG in India, and USD 1.18/KG in China, mostly on an FOB to CIF basis. India remains the highest-priced market on import costs.
The global average eased from USD 1.140/KG in Q1 2025 to a mid-year low before recovering to about USD 1.135/KG in Q4, a slight full-year easing of around 0.4%, as late-year biodiesel demand offset weak mid-year buying.
Rising biodiesel blending mandates lifted feedstock demand and trimmed the exportable surplus, while tighter supply, weather risk, and higher freight firmed the tone into early 2026.
The global average is expected in the USD 1.10 to 1.22/KG range for the rest of 2026, assuming firmer biofuel demand and tighter supply hold while cheaper soft oils cap the upside.
India sits at the top on import duties and freight, China firms on food demand and import costs, Malaysia holds a steady origin value, and Indonesia prices lowest as the largest-output origin.
This report is updated monthly. For real-time pricing intelligence, contact the Expert Market Research team directly.
Prices respond mainly to plantation output and weather, biodiesel mandates, export duties, and freight, along with competition from soybean and sunflower oils. Currency shifts and import demand can amplify moves across markets.
Indonesia and Malaysia dominate production and exports, while India and China are the largest importers. Because supply is concentrated, any output or policy change ripples across markets within one to two months.
Buyers can use quarterly trends and forecasts to time imports, choose between spot and forward cover, and build stock ahead of biodiesel-driven tightness. Regional price gaps also help teams weigh origins and competing soft oils when palm turns costly.
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