TMT Rebar Price Trend and Forecast: Top 10 Leading Trading Countries and Regions - Latest Edition [2026]

The Expert Market Research pricing report on TMT REBAR provides insights into the top 10 leading trading countries and regions.

Thermo-mechanically treated (TMT) rebar prices have observed many fluctuations across different regions in 2024. Various factors, such as shifts in economic policies, variable raw material costs, and fluctuations in industrial demand, contributed to these changes. Q1 2025 witnessed a complex interplay of factors influencing TMT rebar prices globally, with regional disparities reflecting local economic conditions, policy decisions, and market dynamics. Different price trends were observed in major markets – North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe, which reflected global trade conditions and changes in consumption patterns.

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In late 2024, TMT rebar exhibited varied price trends across different regions. Subdued demand cause by unstable economic conditions resulted in a downward trend of prices in USA. Moderate price increases were observed in China and Turkey. While Europe saw price contraction of TMT rebar with competitive pricing from imports influencing the price decline in the region. Similarly, India also saw drop in prices owing to weakening of demand in infrastructure industry.

TMT REBAR Price Forecast

TMT rebar observed different price trends across regions in 2024. In Asia Pacific, the slight price increase in October was seen in China with weak demand in the construction industry, macroeconomic trends and forces at play, and volatility in consumption patterns contributing to price change in the region. In India, a gradual decrease in TMT rebar prices was observed following a slight price increase in early 2024. While stability of prices was observed in Europe, prices declined in Italy due to elevated costs of scrap materials and high fuel costs. In the USA, supply chain disruptions and economic uncertainties led to price movements in 2024, with the drop in prices seen in late 2024.

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Looking ahead, TMT rebar prices are likely to experience fluctuations in 2025 due to varying market landscapes across different regions. In the USA stability in prices is expected after the presidential elections easing economic certainty however bottlenecks in the supply chain and changes in fiscal and monetary policy might offset price stability. In China, prices might see a recovery on stabilization of demand. While the volatile competitive landscape in Europe might exert pressure on TMT rebar prices.

Global Trade and Supply Chain Implications

TMT rebar prices are closely linked to global market dynamics and supply chain networks. In 2024, changes in financial policies and international trade patterns played a significant role in influencing pricing. Countries like Turkey and Italy saw pricing pressures due to increased competition from lower-cost imports, which disrupted domestic market stability and influenced demand dynamics. These trends highlight the growing interdependence between local pricing and global trade flows in the steel sector.

In addition, policy shifts in China, particularly credit reforms and economic stimulus measures, contributed to fluctuations in demand and price levels. Unforeseen disruptions, such as Hurricane Helen and labor strikes by port workers in the USA, added further volatility by delaying shipments, reducing supply availability, and driving up logistics costs. Together, these factors created an unpredictable pricing environment for TMT rebar across multiple regions.

Feedstock Analysis

Change in prices of key feedstock materials such as iron ore and metallurgical coal has a significant effect on the demand for steel production, thereby affecting TMT Rebar prices. The beginning of 2024 saw a decline in the prices of iron ore owing to political tensions and changing trade policies. However, later increases in the price of iron ore and metallurgical coal drove up TMT Rebar manufacturing expenses. In Europe, rising scrap costs in some regions have led to many businesses scaling back on operations, affecting TMT Rebar availability and price dynamics.

Demand and Supply Outlook for TMT REBAR

In 2025, TMT rebar prices are expected to be subject to market uncertainty and shifting consumption trends in industries such as steel, construction and infrastructure. A strong demand forecast for TMT rebars suggests that the growth of the steel industry in India could drive a price increase there, while the manufacturing boost in the USA under the new administration in 2025 may impact price trends in that region. Trade and tariff policies might affect market dynamics. While competitive imports in Europe and Turkey might result in stagnation of domestic demand in these areas. However, the growing need for seismic-adaptive infrastructure and advancements in technology would boost sales, with political uncertainty and changes in the price of raw materials having an impact on TMT bar price trends. Econometric market analysis also suggests that continued volatility in upstream raw materials and policy variables will remain key influencers of TMT rebars pricing through 2025.

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Historical Price Data and Analysis:

• In-depth review of prices (including feedstock) over the past 5 years.
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• Detailed industry analysis of current supply and demand trends, along with projections for how these dynamics are expected to evolve during the forecast period.
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