Tomato Paste Price Trend and Forecast 2026-2027

Tomato Paste prices in Germany, the highest-cost reporting region, eased 3.3% in Q2 2026 to USD 1,470.00/MT from USD 1,520.00/MT in Q1, as new-season fresh tomato supply began easing the tighter processing conditions that had characterized this market through the winter months. US prices eased 3.6% to USD 1,320.00/MT, tracking the broader seasonal pattern as processing operations across major producing regions began ramping up ahead of the new harvest. Globally, the average fell from USD 1,243.00/MT in Q1 to USD 1,198.70/MT in Q2, a 3.6% decline, following a sharp 5.4% gain in Q1 that itself followed an even larger 14.5% surge in Q4 2025 as processing-season inventories tightened sharply ahead of the winter window. For H2 2026, a global average of USD 800.00-1,500.00/MT is expected, with processing-season harvest timing typically driving the largest swings in this market.

Tomato Paste is a concentrated tomato product produced by cooking down fresh tomatoes and removing excess water, yielding a thick, deep red paste with a long shelf life relative to fresh or lightly processed tomato products. It serves as a foundational ingredient in pasta sauces, pizza toppings, soups, stews, and countless other culinary applications, valued by food manufacturers and foodservice operators for its concentrated flavor and ease of storage and transport. Because tomato processing is highly seasonal, concentrated around the late-summer harvest in major producing regions like California, southern Europe, and northern China, this market experiences pronounced seasonal price swings tied to processing-campaign timing, with the tightest supply and highest prices typically occurring just before the new processing season begins. Fresh tomato harvest yields and weather conditions, food manufacturing and foodservice demand, and processing plant capacity utilization are what drive prices in this market.

Tomato Paste Price Forecast for 2026

The outlook for Tomato Paste through H2 2026 points to continued seasonal swings as this market moves through its established processing-season cycle. New-season fresh tomato supply is expected to ease pricing through the middle of the year as processing plants across California, southern Europe, and northern China ramp up operations, before the market tightens again into the pre-harvest window ahead of the next processing cycle.

The main upside risk is an adverse weather event affecting fresh tomato yields in major processing regions during the critical growing season, which could tighten processed inventory availability and push prices higher than currently forecast. The main downside risk is a larger-than-expected harvest combined with softer food manufacturing and foodservice demand, which could extend the current seasonal easing further than currently expected.

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

Tomato Paste Prices Q2 2026:

• Germany: USD 1,470.00/MT
• United States: USD 1,320.00/MT
• India: USD 1,020.00/MT
• China: USD 905.00/MT

Tomato Paste Prices in Germany

German Tomato Paste prices averaged USD 1,470.00/MT in Q2 2026, the highest of any region tracked here, down 3.3% from USD 1,520.00/MT in Q1, as new-season fresh tomato supply from southern European processing regions began easing the tighter winter conditions that had characterized this import-reliant market through the prior quarter. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Why did the price of Tomato Paste change in Q2 2026 in Germany?

New-season fresh tomato supply from southern European processing regions continued easing the tighter winter conditions that had characterized this import-reliant market, even as this market remained the highest-cost of the four regions tracked in this report. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Tomato Paste Prices in United States

US prices averaged USD 1,320.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 3.6% from USD 1,370.00/MT in Q1, as California processing operations began ramping up ahead of the new harvest, easing the tighter pre-season inventory conditions recorded earlier in the year. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Why did the price of Tomato Paste change in Q2 2026 in United States?

California processing operations continued ramping up ahead of the new harvest, easing the tighter pre-season inventory conditions recorded earlier in the year, even as steady demand from pasta sauce and pizza topping manufacturers kept underlying consumption firm. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Tomato Paste Prices in India

Indian prices averaged USD 1,020.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 3.8% from USD 1,060.00/MT in Q1, as growing food manufacturing demand continued supporting this market even as new-season processing supply began easing the tighter conditions recorded in the prior quarter. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Why did the price of Tomato Paste change in Q2 2026 in India?

Continued growth in demand from India's expanding food manufacturing and foodservice sector kept buyers competing for available tomato paste supply, even as new-season processing volumes began easing prices from the tighter conditions recorded earlier in the year. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

Tomato Paste Prices in China

Chinese prices, the lowest of the four regions, averaged USD 905.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 3.7% from USD 940.00/MT in Q1, as northern China's substantial processing base continued keeping this market comparatively affordable relative to Western and Indian benchmarks through the quarter. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

Why did the price of Tomato Paste change in Q2 2026 in China?

Northern China's substantial tomato processing base continued keeping Chinese offers the most competitive of any region tracked here, even as new-season supply began flowing into the market and pulling prices down from the tighter winter conditions. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

For the Quarter Ending March 2026

Tomato Paste Prices Q1 2026:

• Germany: USD 1,520.00/MT
• United States: USD 1,370.00/MT
• India: USD 1,060.00/MT
• China: USD 940.00/MT

Tomato Paste Prices in Germany

German prices rose 4.8% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,520.00/MT from USD 1,450.00/MT in Q4 2025, extending the tighter winter processing-season conditions that had driven a sharp Q4 surge across this import-reliant European market. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Why did the price of Tomato Paste change in Q1 2026 in Germany?

Tighter processed tomato inventory availability, tied to this market's pronounced seasonal cycle and its structural reliance on imports from southern European processing regions, continued supporting elevated pricing ahead of the new processing season. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

Tomato Paste Prices in United States

US prices rose 5.4% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,370.00/MT from USD 1,300.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking continued pre-season inventory tightness ahead of the new California processing harvest. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Why did the price of Tomato Paste change in Q1 2026 in United States?

Pre-season inventory tightness continued supporting elevated pricing as California processing operations awaited the transition to new-season fresh tomato supply, consistent with the pronounced seasonal pattern that characterizes this market. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Tomato Paste Prices in India

Indian prices rose 6.0% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,060.00/MT from USD 1,000.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking the broader global processing-season tightness affecting tomato paste supply availability. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

Why did the price of Tomato Paste change in Q1 2026 in India?

Growing demand from India's expanding food manufacturing sector, combined with the broader global processing-season tightness affecting supply availability, continued supporting elevated pricing through the quarter ahead of new-season processing volumes. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Tomato Paste Prices in China

Chinese prices rose 5.6% in Q1 2026 to USD 940.00/MT from USD 890.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking the broader global processing-season tightness even as northern China's substantial domestic processing capacity remained strong. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Why did the price of Tomato Paste change in Q1 2026 in China?

Tighter global processing-season inventory conditions continued supporting elevated pricing even as northern China's substantial domestic processing base kept the pace of the increase comparatively moderate relative to import-reliant Western markets. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

Quarterly Tomato Paste Price Trends

Global Tomato Paste prices eased through the middle quarters of 2025 during peak processing-season supply availability, before climbing sharply into Q4 as processing-season inventories tightened ahead of the new harvest, a pattern that continued into a further Q1 2026 gain before new-season fresh tomato supply eased prices again through the second quarter, illustrating this market's characteristically pronounced seasonal swings. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

What was Tomato Paste Price in 2025?

Tomato Paste followed a genuinely pronounced seasonal pattern across every market covered in this report through 2025, with prices easing through the mid-year peak processing season before climbing sharply into the winter pre-harvest tightness recorded across every region by year-end, a hallmark of this market's characteristically dramatic seasonal swings relative to other agricultural products tracked in this pipeline. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Tomato Paste Prices in Germany in 2025

German prices firmed from about USD 1,400.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,450.00/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 3.6%, masking a sharp mid-year seasonal dip to USD 1,280.00/MT in Q3 during peak processing supply availability. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Tomato Paste Prices in United States in 2025

US prices firmed from about USD 1,250.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,300.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 4.0%, tracking the same pronounced seasonal harvest-timing pattern evident across other regions covered in this report. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Tomato Paste Prices in India in 2025

Indian prices firmed from about USD 950.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,000.00/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 5.3%, the strongest annual increase of the four regions, tracking growing food manufacturing demand through the year. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

Tomato Paste Prices in China in 2025

Chinese prices firmed from about USD 850.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 890.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 4.7%, tracking the broader global processing-season tightness through the year. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

How We Can Help

Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Tomato Paste Price Intelligence

Expert Market Research tracks Tomato Paste prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining fresh tomato harvest yield and weather condition data, food manufacturing and foodservice demand signals, and processing plant capacity utilization trends into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the pronounced seasonal patterns covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this essential concentrated food ingredient is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.