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Aluminium Alloy Ingot Pricing, Demand and Supply Overview
2025
Base Year
2023-2025
Historical Period
2026-2027
Forecast Period
Market Overview
Aluminium Alloy Ingot prices in the United States, the highest-cost reporting region, rose 2.2% in Q2 2026 to USD 4,550.00/MT from USD 4,450.00/MT in Q1, holding on to an extraordinary spike driven by rail congestion, weather delays constraining Canadian inflows, and tariffs raising landed import costs. Japan and Germany both posted sharp Q1 gains of their own, up 12.85% and 7.15% respectively quarter-over-quarter, as import premium hikes, constrained scrap availability, and elevated electricity costs compounded across the board. Globally, the average rose from USD 3,403.76/MT in Q1 to USD 3,496.20/MT in Q2, a 2.7% gain. For H2 2026, a global average of USD 3,250.00-3,850.00/MT is expected, with high import premiums and logistics risk likely to persist.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot, most commonly the ADC12 die-casting grade widely used in automotive and consumer electronics manufacturing, is produced by alloying primary or recycled aluminium with silicon, copper, and other elements to achieve specific casting and mechanical properties. It serves as the essential feedstock for high-pressure die-casting operations producing automotive engine blocks, transmission housings, and structural components, alongside consumer electronics enclosures and industrial hardware. Its price sits on top of the underlying primary aluminium market, with an additional premium reflecting alloying costs, scrap availability, and die-caster demand cycles. LME aluminium prices and import premiums, scrap availability and feedstock costs, and automotive die-caster demand are what drive prices in this market.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Price Forecast for 2026
The outlook for Aluminium Alloy Ingot through H2 2026 points to continued near-term firmness amid high import premiums and persistent logistics risk. Robust automotive call-offs and steady scrap inflows should continue supporting die-caster demand, while constrained feedstock availability, tighter port inventories, and elevated electricity tariffs across major consuming regions are expected to keep production costs and landed prices elevated.
The main upside risk is a further escalation of shipping-route disruptions or additional Canadian supply constraints, which could push prices higher than currently forecast. The main downside risk is a faster-than-expected resolution of logistics bottlenecks combined with softer automotive production, which would ease some of the current price pressure.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 3,250.00 - 3,850.00 | High import premiums and logistics risk persist |
| United States | 4,350.00 - 4,850.00 | Rail congestion and tariffs sustain the highest regional cost |
| Japan | 3,150.00 - 3,500.00 | Import premium hikes and yen depreciation support continued gains |
| Germany | 3,150.00 - 3,500.00 | Robust importer demand and energy costs drive continued firming |
| China | 2,400.00 - 2,700.00 | Domestic supply keeps this the most affordable market |
For the Quarter Ending June 2026
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices Q2 2026:
- United States: USD 4,550.00/MT
- Japan: USD 3,280.00/MT
- Germany: USD 3,290.00/MT
- China: USD 2,520.00/MT
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in the United States
US Aluminium Alloy Ingot prices averaged USD 4,550.00/MT in Q2 2026, the highest of any region tracked here, up 2.2% from USD 4,450.00/MT in Q1, as robust automotive call-offs and steady scrap inflows continued maintaining die-caster demand and supporting upward price momentum.
Why did the price of Aluminium Alloy Ingot change in Q2 2026 in the United States?
Rail congestion and weather delays continued constraining Canadian inflows, reducing spot tonnage and tightening short-term supply, while robust automotive call-offs and steady scrap inflows maintained die-caster demand, supporting continued upward price momentum.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in Japan
Japanese prices averaged USD 3,280.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 3.2% from USD 3,177.00/MT in Q1, as import premium hikes and constrained scrap availability continued raising landed costs.
Why did the price of Aluminium Alloy Ingot change in Q2 2026 in Japan?
Yen depreciation and higher freight and insurance premiums continued increasing import costs, pressuring ADC12 offers upward, while regional disruptions and vessel rerouting created short-term imbalances that spurred opportunistic buying.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in Germany
German prices averaged USD 3,290.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 2.9% from USD 3,197.00/MT in Q1, as robust importer demand continued supporting price pressure.
Why did the price of Aluminium Alloy Ingot change in Q2 2026 in Germany?
Robust importer demand continued driving spot price pressure, with the production cost trend climbing due to higher bauxite and electricity expenses across the region.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in China
Chinese prices averaged USD 2,520.00/MT in Q2 2026, the lowest of the four regions, up 2.9% from USD 2,450.00/MT in Q1, as domestic supply conditions kept this market the most affordable tracked in this report.
Why did the price of Aluminium Alloy Ingot change in Q2 2026 in China?
Domestic aluminium alloy production capacity kept Chinese offers the most competitive of any region tracked here, even as the broader global aluminium cost environment pushed prices modestly higher in step with the rest of the market.
For the Quarter Ending March 2026
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices Q1 2026:
- United States: USD 4,450.00/MT
- Japan: USD 3,177.00/MT
- Germany: USD 3,197.00/MT
- China: USD 2,450.00/MT
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in the United States
US prices surged 20.3% in Q1 2026 to USD 4,450.00/MT from USD 3,700.00/MT in Q4 2025, one of the sharpest quarterly moves recorded anywhere in this report.
Why did the price of Aluminium Alloy Ingot change in Q1 2026 in the United States?
Rail congestion and weather delays constrained Canadian inflows, reducing spot tonnage and tightening short-term supply, while tariffs and winter energy spikes raised landed import costs, further elevating domestic production cost pressures, even as robust automotive call-offs and steady scrap inflows maintained die-caster demand.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in Japan
Japanese prices surged 12.85% in Q1 2026 to USD 3,177.00/MT from USD 2,815.00/MT in Q4 2025, driven by import premia.
Why did the price of Aluminium Alloy Ingot change in Q1 2026 in Japan?
Import premium hikes and constrained scrap availability raised landed costs, tightening supply for domestic casters, while yen depreciation and higher freight and insurance premiums increased import costs, pressuring ADC12 offers upward as regional disruptions and vessel rerouting created short-term imbalances.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in Germany
German prices surged 7.15% in Q1 2026 to USD 3,197.00/MT from USD 2,984.00/MT in Q4 2025, driven by shortages.
Why did the price of Aluminium Alloy Ingot change in Q1 2026 in Germany?
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Spot Price pressure persisted as the Price Index advanced on robust importer demand, while the Production Cost Trend climbed due to higher bauxite and electricity expenses affecting regional smelters.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in China
Chinese prices rose 8.9% in Q1 2026 to USD 2,450.00/MT from USD 2,250.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking the broader global aluminium cost environment.
Why did the price of Aluminium Alloy Ingot change in Q1 2026 in China?
The broader global aluminium cost environment, tied to Strait of Hormuz disruptions and rising bauxite and energy costs affecting smelters worldwide, pushed Chinese alloy ingot prices higher even as domestic supply conditions kept this market comparatively affordable.
Quarterly Aluminium Alloy Ingot Price Trends
Global Aluminium Alloy Ingot prices firmed steadily through 2025 before accelerating dramatically in Q1 2026, when rail congestion, weather delays, tariffs, and Strait of Hormuz-related shipping disruptions combined to push prices sharply higher across every region, with the United States posting one of the most extreme single-quarter moves recorded anywhere in this report.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q2 2026 | 3,496.20 | +2.7% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2026 | 3,403.76 | +13.6% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 2,996.76 | +5.0% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 2,855.00 | +5.1% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2025 | 2,716.00 | - | — Stable |
| Q3 2026 | In Progress | - | — In Progress |
What was Aluminium Alloy Ingot Price in 2025?
Aluminium Alloy Ingot firmed steadily across every market covered in this report through 2025, tracking gradually rising LME aluminium prices and import premiums alongside firm automotive die-caster demand, setting the stage for the dramatic acceleration that followed once rail congestion, tariffs, and Strait of Hormuz-related disruptions intensified in early 2026.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in the United States in 2025
US prices firmed from about USD 3,400.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 3,700.00/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 8.8%, well before the extraordinary Q1 2026 spike that followed.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in Japan in 2025
Japanese prices firmed from about USD 2,600.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,815.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 8.3%, tracking rising import premiums through the year.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in Germany in 2025
German prices firmed from about USD 2,750.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,984.00/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 8.5%, tracking rising bauxite and electricity costs.
Aluminium Alloy Ingot Prices in China in 2025
Chinese prices firmed from about USD 2,100.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,250.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 7.1%, the smallest annual gain of the four regions given ample domestic supply.
How We Can Help
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Aluminium Alloy Ingot Price Intelligence
Expert Market Research tracks Aluminium Alloy Ingot prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining LME aluminium and import premium data, scrap availability and feedstock cost trends, and automotive die-caster demand signals into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the extraordinary volatility covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this essential die-casting feedstock is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.
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*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
Key Questions Answered in the Report
It serves as the essential feedstock for high-pressure die-casting operations producing automotive engine blocks, transmission housings, and structural components, alongside consumer electronics enclosures and industrial hardware.
The Q2 2026 global average was USD 3,496.20/MT, ranging from USD 2,520.00/MT in China to USD 4,550.00/MT in the United States.
The global average rose from USD 2,996.76/MT in Q4 2025 to USD 3,403.76/MT in Q1 2026, a 13.6% surge, and then to USD 3,496.20/MT in Q2, driven by rail congestion, tariffs, and shipping disruptions.
Rail congestion and weather delays constrained Canadian inflows, reducing spot tonnage and tightening short-term supply, while tariffs and winter energy spikes raised landed import costs, further elevating domestic production cost pressures even as robust automotive call-offs maintained firm demand.
The global average is expected in the USD 3,250.00-3,850.00/MT range, with high import premiums and logistics risk likely to persist.
China holds the lowest cost given ample domestic supply, while the United States carries by far the highest cost among the regions tracked here given rail congestion and tariff pressures.
This report is updated monthly. For real-time pricing intelligence, connect with the Expert Market Research team.
LME aluminium prices and import premiums, scrap availability and feedstock costs, and automotive die-caster demand.
China maintains substantial domestic production capacity, with the United States, Japan, and Germany relying more heavily on imports and scrap-based recycling to supply their domestic die-casting industries.
Buyers can monitor LME aluminium prices, import premium trends, and logistics conditions given their outsized influence on this market, time forward purchases around the quarterly breakdowns in this report, and benchmark supplier quotes against the tracked price ranges.
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