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Corrugated Paper Pricing, Demand and Supply Overview
Corrugated Paper prices in Germany, the highest-cost reporting region, rose 1.6% in Q2 2026 to USD 262.00/MT from USD 258.00/MT in Q1, recovering modestly from softer conditions recorded through most of 2025. Chinese prices, which had surged 16.3% in Q4 2025 alone as Northeast Asia entered a seasonal procurement cycle, eased 1.9% to USD 265.00/MT, confirming that the Q4 elevation was a temporary demand-cycle spike rather than a structural shift. Indian prices continued their steady, four-quarter descent, down 1.1% to USD 178.00/MT, the most concerning trajectory of any region tracked in this report. Globally, the average held essentially flat at USD 245.08/MT in Q2, matching USD 245.16/MT in Q1. For H2 2026, a global average of USD 220.00-280.00/MT is expected, with recovered fiber costs and regional demand cycles likely to keep this market moving within its established narrow band.
Corrugated Paper, the fluted paper medium used between the liner boards of corrugated cardboard, is produced predominantly from recycled old corrugated containers, commonly abbreviated OCC, alongside smaller volumes of virgin kraft pulp for higher-strength applications. It serves as an essential input for e-commerce shipping cartons, retail packaging, and industrial containerboard applications, with demand closely tracking global e-commerce growth and broader packaging industry trends. Regional pricing has diverged sharply beneath a deceptively narrow global average: Northeast Asia, the largest regional market in this study, experiences sharp seasonal procurement-driven swings, while India has faced a sustained structural decline tied to domestic oversupply. Recovered fiber and OCC costs, e-commerce and packaging industry demand, and regional seasonal procurement cycles are what drive prices in this market.
Corrugated Paper Price Forecast for 2026
The outlook for Corrugated Paper through H2 2026 points to continued movement within the market's established narrow global band, even as regional stories remain sharply divergent. Northeast Asian pricing should continue reflecting seasonal procurement cycle swings tied to recovered fiber supply tightness, while India's structural oversupply conditions are likely to keep that market under continued pressure absent a meaningful change in domestic capacity utilization.
The main upside risk is a repeat of the Q4 2025 Northeast Asian seasonal procurement surge, or a broader tightening of recovered fiber and OCC supply, which could push the global average higher than currently forecast. The main downside risk is a continuation of India's structural oversupply conditions combined with softer global e-commerce packaging demand, which could extend the current price pressure further.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 220.00 - 280.00 | Recovered fiber costs and regional demand cycles keep this market range-bound |
| Germany | 250.00 - 280.00 | Steady European packaging demand sustains the highest price |
| United States | 250.00 - 275.00 | Balanced supply and demand keep this market comparatively stable |
| China | 250.00 - 300.00 | Seasonal procurement cycles drive periodic swings |
| India | 165.00 - 195.00 | Structural oversupply keeps this the most affordable market |
For the Quarter Ending June 2026
Corrugated Paper Prices Q2 2026:
- Germany: USD 262.00/MT
- United States: USD 265.00/MT
- China: USD 265.00/MT
- India: USD 178.00/MT
Corrugated Paper Prices in Germany
German Corrugated Paper prices averaged USD 262.00/MT in Q2 2026, the highest of any region tracked here, up 1.6% from USD 258.00/MT in Q1, recovering modestly from softer conditions recorded through most of 2025.
Why did the price of Corrugated Paper change in Q2 2026 in Germany?
Input costs, particularly recovered fiber and energy, moved modestly, with steady European packaging industry demand supporting this market's continued modest recovery.
Corrugated Paper Prices in the United States
US prices averaged USD 265.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 1.1% from USD 262.00/MT in Q1, holding comparatively stable relative to the sharper regional swings elsewhere.
Why did the price of Corrugated Paper change in Q2 2026 in the United States?
Broadly manageable regional demand conditions kept this market within its established stable range, avoiding the sharper seasonal swings seen in Northeast Asia.
Corrugated Paper Prices in China
Chinese prices averaged USD 265.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 1.9% from USD 270.00/MT in Q1, continuing to correct after the sharp seasonal procurement surge recorded in Q4 2025.
Why did the price of Corrugated Paper change in Q2 2026 in China?
Northeast Asia corrected as the seasonal procurement cycle that had driven the sharp Q4 2025 surge eased, confirming that elevation had been a temporary demand-cycle spike rather than a structural shift.
Corrugated Paper Prices in India
Indian prices, the lowest of the four regions, averaged USD 178.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 1.1% from USD 180.00/MT in Q1, continuing the steady, four-quarter descent that has characterized this market since its Q2 2025 peak.
Why did the price of Corrugated Paper change in Q2 2026 in India?
Domestic oversupply conditions continued weighing on Indian pricing, extending the steady, four-quarter descent from this market's Q2 2025 peak and making it the most concerning regional trajectory from a buyer's perspective.
For the Quarter Ending March 2026
Corrugated Paper Prices Q1 2026:
- Germany: USD 258.00/MT
- United States: USD 262.00/MT
- China: USD 270.00/MT
- India: USD 180.00/MT
Corrugated Paper Prices in Germany
German prices rose 1.2% in Q1 2026 to USD 258.00/MT from USD 255.00/MT in Q4 2025, a modest recovery after softening through most of 2025.
Why did the price of Corrugated Paper change in Q1 2026 in Germany?
The steady global level reflected a market where input costs, particularly recovered fiber and energy, moved modestly and regional demand conditions were broadly manageable, supporting a gradual recovery in German pricing.
Corrugated Paper Prices in the United States
US prices rose 0.8% in Q1 2026 to USD 262.00/MT from USD 260.00/MT in Q4 2025, holding within the stable range that has characterized this market.
Why did the price of Corrugated Paper change in Q1 2026 in the United States?
Broadly manageable regional demand conditions kept US pricing within its established stable range, consistent with the steady global level evident through most of the period.
Corrugated Paper Prices in China
Chinese prices fell 7.8% in Q1 2026 to USD 270.00/MT from USD 293.00/MT in Q4 2025, as Northeast Asia corrected following the sharp Q4 seasonal procurement surge.
Why did the price of Corrugated Paper change in Q1 2026 in China?
The global average pulled back as Northeast Asia corrected and India continued its descent, confirming that the Q4 elevation, driven by recovered paper supply tightness entering a seasonal procurement cycle, was a temporary demand-cycle spike rather than a structural shift.
Corrugated Paper Prices in India
Indian prices fell 5.3% in Q1 2026 to USD 180.00/MT from USD 190.00/MT in Q4 2025, continuing the steady descent from this market's Q2 2025 peak.
Why did the price of Corrugated Paper change in Q1 2026 in India?
India's corrugated paper price trajectory in 2025 was the most concerning from a buyer's perspective, falling steadily from its Q2 2025 peak as domestic oversupply conditions continued weighing on this market.
Quarterly Corrugated Paper Price Trends
Global Corrugated Paper prices moved within a narrow band of USD 0.26-0.27 per kilogram through most of 2025, but that surface calm concealed dramatically different regional stories, with a sharp Northeast Asian seasonal procurement surge in Q4 2025 lifting the global average temporarily even as India posted a steady, structural four-quarter decline from its Q2 2025 peak that continued unabated into 2026.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q2 2026 | 245.08 | -0.0% | ↓ Falling |
| Q1 2026 | 245.16 | -2.9% | ↓ Falling |
| Q4 2025 | 252.54 | +3.5% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 244.08 | -2.4% | ↓ Falling |
| Q2 2025 | 250.18 | - | — Stable |
| Q3 2026 | In Progress | - | — In Progress |
What was Corrugated Paper Price in 2025?
Corrugated Paper told a genuinely divided regional story across 2025. China posted the strongest annual gain given the sharp Q4 seasonal procurement surge, the United States held essentially flat, Germany eased modestly, and India stood apart with the steepest annual decline of any region tracked in this report, falling steadily from its Q2 2025 peak on sustained domestic oversupply.
Corrugated Paper Prices in Germany in 2025
German prices eased from about USD 270.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 255.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 5.6%, tracking modestly softer European demand conditions through most of the year.
Corrugated Paper Prices in the United States in 2025
US prices held essentially flat across 2025, moving from about USD 260.00/MT in Q1 to USD 260.00/MT by Q4, reflecting this market's characteristically stable trajectory.
Corrugated Paper Prices in China in 2025
Chinese prices surged from about USD 250.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 293.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 17.2%, the strongest annual increase of the four regions, driven almost entirely by the sharp Q4 seasonal procurement surge.
Corrugated Paper Prices in India in 2025
Indian prices declined from about USD 210.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 190.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 9.5%, the steepest annual decline of the four regions, falling steadily from a Q2 2025 peak of USD 220.00/MT on sustained domestic oversupply.
How We Can Help
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Corrugated Paper Price Intelligence
Expert Market Research tracks Corrugated Paper prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining recovered fiber and OCC cost data, e-commerce and packaging industry demand signals, and regional seasonal procurement cycle trends into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the sharply divergent regional trends covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this essential packaging material is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.
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Key Questions Answered in the Report
It serves as an essential input for e-commerce shipping cartons, retail packaging, and industrial containerboard applications, produced predominantly from recycled old corrugated containers alongside smaller volumes of virgin kraft pulp.
The Q2 2026 global average was USD 245.08/MT, ranging from USD 178.00/MT in India to USD 265.00/MT in the United States and China.
The global average fell from USD 252.54/MT in Q4 2025 to USD 245.16/MT in Q1 2026 and held essentially flat at USD 245.08/MT in Q2, as a sharp Northeast Asian Q4 seasonal procurement surge corrected while India's structural decline continued.
India's corrugated paper price trajectory was the most concerning of any region tracked, falling steadily from a Q2 2025 peak of USD 220.00/MT as domestic oversupply conditions continued weighing on this market for four consecutive quarters.
The global average is expected in the USD 220.00-280.00/MT range, with recovered fiber costs and regional demand cycles likely to keep this market moving within its established narrow band.
India holds by far the lowest cost among the regions tracked here given sustained structural oversupply, while the United States and China carry the highest costs.
This report is updated monthly. For real-time pricing intelligence, connect with the Expert Market Research team.
Recovered fiber and OCC costs, e-commerce and packaging industry demand, and regional seasonal procurement cycles.
Northeast Asia, dominated by Chinese production, represents the largest regional market, with Germany, the United States, and India also significant producing and consuming markets tied to their domestic packaging industries.
Buyers can monitor Northeast Asian seasonal procurement cycles and recovered fiber supply conditions given their outsized influence on this market, time forward purchases around the quarterly breakdowns in this report, and benchmark supplier quotes against the tracked price ranges given the scale of regional divergence.
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