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Germany remained the priciest Lettuce market tracked, though it eased just above 3.2% in Q2 2026, to near USD 1.82/KG from about USD 1.88/KG in Q1, as broader wholesale benchmark softening worked through the import-dependent market. The global average moved from close to USD 1.53/KG down to about USD 1.46/KG over the same quarter, a decline of just above 4.6%. What stands out here is the United States, where Salinas Valley wholesale carton prices have fallen to roughly half the level seen a year earlier on significant regional oversupply, and the global average is likely to run in the USD 1.40 to 1.60/KG range through the second half of the year.
Lettuce is a leafy vegetable crop grown across a range of climates, encompassing iceberg, romaine, leaf, and specialty varieties, consumed fresh in salads and as a garnish across foodservice and retail channels. The United States, Spain, and India represent major producing regions with distinct growing seasons, while Germany and other Northern European markets depend significantly on imports to meet demand. Because lettuce is a highly perishable crop with short growing cycles, regional growing conditions and yields, particularly in major production areas like California's Salinas Valley, along with typical seasonal supply and demand patterns, are what really move the price from quarter to quarter.
The Salinas Valley oversupply conditions that have pulled United States pricing down sharply this year should continue moderating through H2 2026 as growing conditions normalize, while the other markets tracked follow their more typical, gradual seasonal patterns. Steady demand across all four markets should keep providing some support regardless.
A weather disruption in any major growing region, which would reduce yields and tighten supply faster than the market currently anticipates, could be what pushes prices back above this forecast. A continuation of the favourable growing conditions behind the current oversupply could be what keeps prices closer to the lower end instead.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/KG) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 1.40 - 1.60 | United States oversupply keeps pressure on the average |
| Germany | 1.75 - 1.95 | Import-dependent market tracks broader wholesale softening |
| United States | 1.60 - 1.85 | Salinas Valley oversupply should moderate gradually |
| Spain | 1.35 - 1.50 | Steady export supply to Northern Europe |
| India | 0.85 - 0.95 | Adequate domestic supply keeps India the most affordable |
Germany stayed the priciest market tracked, though the price eased from about USD 1.88/KG to near USD 1.82/KG, a decline of just above 3.2%. It was the broader softening in global wholesale benchmarks, together with steady import flows, that gave the market room to ease.
Why did the price of Lettuce change in Q2 2026 in Germany?
Germany relies on imports to fill much of its lettuce demand, and it is this dependence that lets the broader oversupply conditions affecting major production regions pass through to German wholesale pricing, even as the country continues to carry the highest absolute cost among the four markets tracked here.
The United States price eased from about USD 1.85/KG to near USD 1.70/KG, a decline of just above 8.1%. It was continued oversupply in the Salinas Valley, a major production region, together with weak wholesale demand, that drove the sharp decline.
Why did the price of Lettuce change in Q2 2026 in United States?
Wholesale carton prices out of the Salinas Valley have fallen dramatically this year, running roughly half the level seen a year earlier and well below the five-year average, and it is this significant regional oversupply, reflecting favourable growing conditions and strong yields, that has pulled United States pricing down sharply across both quarters tracked here.
The Spanish price eased from about USD 1.48/KG to near USD 1.42/KG, a decline of just above 4.1%. It was steady export supply, together with the broader softening in wholesale benchmarks affecting European import markets, that gave the market room to ease.
Why did the price of Lettuce change in Q2 2026 in Spain?
Spain remains a major supplier to Northern European markets, and it is this export role that ties Spanish pricing closely to the broader European demand picture, which has softened somewhat as the season's supply has stayed generally ample.
The Indian price eased from about USD 0.92/KG to near USD 0.89/KG, a decline of just above 3.3%. It was steady domestic supply, together with typical seasonal demand conditions, that gave the market room to ease.
Why did the price of Lettuce change in Q2 2026 in India?
India's domestic lettuce market has stayed well supplied this year, and it is this adequacy, combined with typical seasonal demand, that has kept Indian pricing on a gradual downward path consistent with the broader global trend.
The price eased to close to USD 1.88/KG in Q1 2026, a decline of just above 3.6% from Q4 2025. It was softening import costs, together with typical seasonal supply conditions, that pressured the market lower.
Why did the price of Lettuce change in Q1 2026 in Germany?
Import costs eased as the oversupply conditions affecting major production regions, particularly the United States, began working through the broader wholesale market, and it was this softening, meeting typical seasonal demand, that pushed German pricing lower.
The price fell to close to USD 1.85/KG in Q1 2026, a decline of just above 11.9% from Q4 2025. It was a sharp oversupply condition emerging in the Salinas Valley production region, with wholesale carton prices falling well below the five-year average, that drove the steep decline.
Why did the price of Lettuce change in Q1 2026 in United States?
Salinas Valley wholesale carton prices dropped to roughly half the level recorded a year earlier and came in below the five-year average, reflecting a significant regional supply surplus, and it was this oversupply, rather than any demand-side weakness, that drove the sharp United States decline this quarter.
The price eased to close to USD 1.48/KG in Q1 2026, a decline of just above 4.5% from Q4 2025. It was typical seasonal supply conditions, together with steady export demand, that characterized the quarter.
Why did the price of Lettuce change in Q1 2026 in Spain?
Seasonal supply conditions stayed typical for the period, and it was this adequacy, meeting steady but unremarkable export demand, that kept Spanish pricing on its gradual downward path.
The price eased to close to USD 0.92/KG in Q1 2026, a decline of just above 3.2% from Q4 2025. It was steady domestic supply, together with typical seasonal demand conditions, that characterized the quarter.
Why did the price of Lettuce change in Q1 2026 in India?
Domestic supply conditions stayed steady entering the year, and it was this adequacy, meeting typical seasonal demand, that kept Indian pricing on its gradual downward path.
This market eased through most of 2025 before the United States oversupply accelerated the decline sharply in 2026. Close to USD 1.76/KG in Q1 2025 slid to about USD 1.72/KG, near USD 1.68/KG, and close to USD 1.64/KG by Q4, before falling further to about USD 1.53/KG in Q1 2026 and near USD 1.46/KG in Q2. That is a decline of roughly 17.0% across the window, with the Salinas Valley oversupply driving most of the 2026 acceleration.
| Quarter | Price (USD/KG) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q2 2026 | 1.46 | -4.6% | ↓ Falling |
| Q1 2026 | 1.53 | -6.7% | ↓ Falling |
| Q4 2025 | 1.64 | -2.4% | ↓ Falling |
| Q3 2025 | 1.68 | -2.3% | ↓ Falling |
| Q2 2025 | 1.72 | - | - Stable |
| Q3 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
It was generally adequate supply conditions across every market tracked, meeting steady but unremarkable demand, that drove the gradual 2025 decline, well before the sharp Salinas Valley oversupply that followed in early 2026. The global average opened near USD 1.76/KG in Q1 and eased to close to USD 1.64/KG by Q4, a decline of just above 6.8% for the year, with every quarter posting a decline.
The German price eased from about USD 2.05/KG in Q1 2025 to near USD 1.95/KG by Q4, a decline of just above 4.9% for the year, though it held the highest absolute cost among the four markets tracked throughout. It was steady but not exceptional demand, meeting generally adequate import supply, that defined the gradual softening through 2025.
The United States price eased from about USD 2.35/KG in Q1 2025 to near USD 2.10/KG by Q4, a decline of just above 10.6% for the year, before the far sharper Salinas Valley oversupply drove prices down further in early 2026. It was generally adequate supply conditions through most of the year that kept prices trending gradually lower, well before the dramatic regional surplus that followed.
The Spanish price eased from about USD 1.62/KG in Q1 2025 to near USD 1.55/KG by Q4, a decline of just above 4.3% for the year. It was generally adequate supply conditions, meeting steady export demand to Northern European markets, that defined the gradual softening through 2025.
The Indian price eased from about USD 1.00/KG in Q1 2025 to near USD 0.95/KG by Q4, a decline of just above 5.0% for the year. It was generally adequate domestic supply conditions that defined the gradual softening through 2025.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Lettuce Price Intelligence
The Lettuce market moves quickly given how perishable this crop is, so Expert Market Research tracks growing conditions and yields in the major production regions closely, particularly California's Salinas Valley, alongside typical seasonal supply and demand patterns across the four markets covered here. This is combined with trade flow data to build the forecasts. For Lettuce pricing data, custom analysis, or procurement strategy support, the team is glad to help.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
Fresh consumption in salads and as a garnish across foodservice and retail channels accounts for the large majority of demand, spanning iceberg, romaine, leaf, and specialty varieties.
As of Q2 2026, Germany averages near USD 1.82/KG, the United States about USD 1.70/KG, Spain close to USD 1.42/KG, and India roughly USD 0.89/KG. Germany's import dependence keeps it the priciest of the four.
The global average kept falling, from close to USD 1.64/KG in Q4 2025 down to about USD 1.53/KG in Q1 2026, then near USD 1.46/KG in Q2, a decline of just above 4.6%. The Salinas Valley oversupply in the United States drove much of the decline.
Wholesale carton prices out of California's Salinas Valley, a major production region, fell to roughly half the level recorded a year earlier and below the five-year average, reflecting favourable growing conditions and strong yields that created a significant regional supply surplus.
The global average is likely to run in the USD 1.40 to 1.60/KG range, with the United States oversupply continuing to keep pressure on the average even as it gradually moderates through the back half of the year.
Germany carries the highest cost as an import-dependent market. The United States sits below that even after its sharp decline, Spain in the middle as a major exporter, and India prices lowest thanks to ample domestic supply.
Monthly updates are standard here, and the team is available directly for real-time pricing needs.
Regional growing conditions and yields sit at the core, given how perishable this crop is and how concentrated major production is in specific growing regions like California's Salinas Valley. Typical seasonal supply and demand patterns add further influence.
The United States, Spain, and India represent major producing regions with distinct growing seasons, while Germany and other Northern European markets depend significantly on imports to meet demand.
Growing condition reports out of major production regions, particularly California's Salinas Valley, are usually the earliest signal worth tracking, since this perishable crop's pricing can shift quickly on yield surprises. Watching seasonal transition timing across regions also helps anticipate typical supply and demand swings.
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