LLDPE Price Trend and Forecast: Top 10 Leading Trading Countries and Regions - Latest Edition [2026]

The Expert Market Research pricing report on LLDPE provides insights into the top 10 leading trading countries and regions.

In the first week of November 2024, LLDPE price trends showed different trends across regions. In Europe, prices declined, while in the U.S., they remained steady due to weak demand from sectors like packaging, construction, and automotive. In Q1 2025, global LLDPE prices generally trended upward, driven by strong early-quarter demand, seasonal restocking, and supply disruptions across key regions. However, March saw a broad shift as demand softened, supply stabilized, and buyer caution emerged amid economic and trade uncertainties. Overall, despite regional variances, LLDPE markets closed the quarter with modest gains and signs of weakening momentum.

Get Real-Time Prices (Monthly, Quarterly, and Yearly) - Download Free Sample

Among the three types of LLDPE C4, C6, and C8; C4 is the most traded. It is widely used in packaging, including flexible containers, shrink/stretch wraps, and films. Its durability and puncture resistance allow for thinner films, helping reduce material costs. C4 LLDPE is also used in products like toys, household goods, automotive interior panels, and wire insulation, all which influence price movements.

LLDPE Price Forecast

In Europe, LLDPE prices stayed stable despite bad weather causing delays in transportation. The construction industry is slowly recovering, thanks to EU funding, which helps support demand. However, car sales are still low, which prevents prices from going up much.

Get Real-Time Prices (Monthly, Quarterly, and Yearly) - Download Free Sample

In the U.S., LLDPE prices have gone up significantly due to cold weather and factory maintenance-reduced supply. There was a rushed demand from the buyers to secure materials before prices rose further. Broader macroeconomic factors affecting LLDPE price forecast include trade policies such as tariffs on Chinese imports and temporary changes for Canada and Mexico. Although production stabilisation in the year-end with high raw material costs and strong demand from other countries is likely to keep U.S. prices high in February.

Global Trade and Supply Chain Implications

China is among the world's top net importers of LLDPE. And between 2025 and 2035, its domestic LLDPE production is predicted to run at an average of 72% capacity. The country's net imports are therefore expected to decrease from 5.9 million tons per year to 4.5 million tons per year between 2020 and 2024.  LLDPE prices increased because of buyers hoarding supply due to strong demand over the summer and the beginning of hurricane season in the US.

A price decline is anticipated in Europe in the upcoming weeks because of excess and sluggish economic growth in China and the United States. Despite a decline in the cost of energy and raw materials, prices rose in Asia. Imports were delayed because of high shipping costs and supply shortages that were made worse by traffic at Singapore's transshipment port. Due to steady demand, prices in China stayed steady, but in other Asian nations, prices skyrocketed as companies scrambled to purchase LLDPE in large quantities to prevent future shortages. All things considered, a combination of supply chain interruptions, seasonal variations in demand, and worldwide economic circumstances influenced the market outlook.

Feedstock Analysis

In September of 2023, an increase in the feedstock of ethylene caused a 9% rise in the prices of LLDPE in Europe. This hike was contributed by an escalating upstream Naphtha and Crude oil prices, which surged amid production cuts and global supply constraints. Price increases were also a result of regional LLDPE factories operating at lower output rates and supply being further constrained by limited import availability. Also, regional LLDPE factories produced at slower rates, and supply was further limited by the scarcity of imports, which raised prices.

By December 2023, the LLDPE market in the USA saw a contrasting situation with price declines due to falling Ethylene and upstream Naphtha prices. The economic slowdown and a decline in the price of crude oil were the main causes of this collapse. While LLDPE's domestic demand stayed steady, Asian traders' desire for exports declined, with few enquiries coming from Latin America and Europe. This explains that the downward trajectory of ethylene prices had, in turn, affected the dynamics of the LLDPE market.

Demand and Supply Outlook for LLDPE

In the coming years, it is expected that LLDPE will see a huge demand and utilisation.  LLDPE usage was 74% as of 2024, but there is anticipation of a further increment of 88% in 2025, indicating a high demand.  It is projected that by 2027, the utilisation rate will have surpassed full capacity (100%) for the first time, reaching 112%. Econometric market analysis also suggests that this could be seen as a sign of overproduction, excessive demand, or even a rise in imports to satisfy the demand forecast. The rate is also anticipated to decrease by 109% by 2030.

Gain a competitive edge with Expert Market Research's comprehensive price forecasting reports. Dive deep into the latest market dynamics and price outlook for your specific materials, ensuring you stay ahead of the curve with actionable insights and strategic foresight.

What Our Reports Include:

Historical Price Data and Analysis:

• In-depth review of prices (including feedstock) over the past 5 years.
• Visualizations and trend analysis to identify historical patterns and seasonality.

Supply and Demand Analysis:

• Detailed industry analysis of current supply and demand trends shaping the market, along with projections for how these dynamics are expected to evolve during the forecast period.
• Insights from our extensive supplier and trader network, government websites, industry bodies, and global trade data.

Latest Industry News:

• Up-to-date information on recent developments and geopolitical events.
• Pricing analysis of how these events are likely to impact future prices.

Key Macroeconomic Indicators:

• Evaluation of economic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and PMI.
• Insights into how these indicators affect prices.

Price Outlook:

• Forecasted price trends analysis for the next 2 years using statistical modelling and fundamental & technical price analysis.
• Scenario analysis and potential price fluctuations.

Why Choose Our Reports?

• Accurate Data: Our reports are based on reliable data sources, including primary interviews, government websites, and industry bodies.
• Comprehensive Insights: We offer a holistic view of the market, considering all factors related to demand, supply, macroeconomic environment, and input costs.
• Timely Updates: Reports are updated monthly, with options for quarterly or semi-annual subscriptions.
• Expert Support: Our team of analysts is available for consultations and customized requirements.

Key Benefits:

• Informed Procurement Decisions: Gain insights on when to buy and how to negotiate better, mitigating the impact of price volatility.
• Competitive Advantage: Leverage our robust and time-tested forecasting methodology to stay ahead in the market.
• Actionable Insights: Make better market decisions with detailed market forecasts and analysis.