LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Price Trend and Forecast 2026-2027

Market Overview

Germany's position as the highest-cost LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) market held through H1 2026, with prices there rising just above 1.2%, recovering from near USD 1,075/MT in Q1 to about USD 1,088/MT in Q2. Agriculture film restocking picked up at nearly the same point that ethylene costs firmed, and the two moving together lifted the German price faster than either would have alone. Globally, the average moved from close to USD 1,000/MT in Q1 to roughly USD 1,015/MT in Q2, a close to 1.5% gain. For H2 2026, a global average of USD 1,000-1,070/MT is expected, with agriculture and packaging film demand providing steady support against a still-ample supply base. Global LLDPE capacity is estimated near 28 million tonnes a year, roughly a quarter larger than LDPE capacity, reflecting the resin's broader use across film, sacks, and rotomoulding applications.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) is produced through the copolymerisation of ethylene with an alpha-olefin comonomer such as butene or hexene, giving a linear-chain resin with higher tensile strength and puncture resistance than conventional LDPE. The stretch and shrink film for pallet wrapping & agriculture mulch takes the largest share of consumption, with heavy-duty sacks, cable jacketing, and rotomoulded containers rounding out demand. ExxonMobil, Reliance Industries, Sinopec, and Dow all run large LLDPE swing units, so the resin often trades alongside LDPE while responding to its own comonomer cost base.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Price Forecast for 2026

Gradual stabilisation looks like the right way to describe LLDPE's supply-demand picture through H2 2026. Agriculture film orders began recovering in the second quarter as greenhouse growers resumed pre-paid production runs, and pallet wrap converters restocked after running lean through the first quarter. The warehouse and logistics activity, a key driver of stretch wrap demand, has also picked up seasonally heading into the second half.

A faster-than-expected agriculture demand recovery outpacing available supply is the main upside risk here. Renewed producer competition for volume, or a comonomer cost pullback, would be the more likely downside path, easing the market back toward the lower end of the forecast band. A further risk sits in swing capacity, since producers can shift output between LDPE and LLDPE within weeks if the price spread between the two resins moves far enough.

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices Q2 2026:

• United States: USD 1,028/MT
• China: USD 972/MT
• Germany: USD 1,088/MT
• India: USD 1,090/MT

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in the United States

US LLDPE prices averaged just above USD 1,028/MT in Q2 2026, up near 1.3% from just under USD 1,015/MT in Q1. The stretch wrap converters placed larger orders as warehouse activity picked up heading into summer. Distribution centres reported the busiest restocking period in more than a year during May.

Why did the price of LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) change in Q2 2026 in the United States?

Stretch wrap converters rebuilt inventory as warehouse and logistics activity firmed. The comonomer costs ticked up modestly, adding a small amount of production cost. The export interest from Latin America added a further layer of support.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in China

Chinese LLDPE prices averaged near USD 972/MT in Q2 2026, up about 1.5% from about USD 958/MT in Q1. The domestic film converters returned to more normal buying after a slow start to the year. The traders described sentiment as cautiously improving, though still short of fully confident. The provincial data showed agricultural film factory utilisation climbing above 70% for the first time since the previous autumn, a threshold several converters watch closely as a signal that restocking has genuinely taken hold.

Why did the price of LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) change in Q2 2026 in China?

Film converters returned to steadier order patterns after a slow Q1. The producers trimmed export discounts slightly as domestic demand firmed. Agricultural mulch film orders from northern provinces added a modest boost ahead of the summer planting window.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in Germany

German LLDPE prices averaged close to USD 1,088/MT in Q2 2026, up close to 1.2% from roughly USD 1,075/MT in Q1, the highest among tracked markets. Agriculture film orders supported the modest gain.

Why did the price of LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) change in Q2 2026 in Germany?

Greenhouse and mulch film orders picked up with the start of the growing season. The firming ethylene feedstock cost raised the production floor this quarter, more than any single order pattern on its own. Logistics along the Rhine ran smoothly, avoiding the delivery delays seen in some prior quarters. The German market held its position as the highest-cost region for a second straight quarter.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in India

Indian LLDPE prices averaged just above USD 1,090/MT in Q2 2026, up roughly 1.5% from just under USD 1,074/MT in Q1. The greenhouse growers resumed pre-paid production runs, and mulch film demand improved gradually through the quarter. The domestic producers reported the strongest order intake since late 2025.

Why did the price of LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) change in Q2 2026 in India?

Greenhouse growers resumed pre-paid production orders, lifting film demand. The mulch film demand improved gradually as the planting season approached. The comonomer import costs firmed slightly alongside broader ethylene prices. A pickup in rural credit availability supported earlier-than-usual purchases of agricultural inputs.

For the Quarter Ending March 2026

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices Q1 2026:

• United States: USD 1,015/MT
• China: USD 958/MT
• Germany: USD 1,075/MT
• India: USD 1,074/MT

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in the United States

US prices averaged near USD 1,015/MT in Q1 2026, down roughly 4.2% from Q4 2025. The warehouse activity was slow to build after the holidays, and stretch wrap orders stayed light through most of the quarter. The producers used the lull to schedule routine maintenance work. The rail car availability, which had been a bottleneck for inland converters through most of 2025, eased noticeably in January, cutting average delivery lead times by roughly four days compared with the same point last year.

Why did the price of LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) change in Q1 2026 in the United States?

Post-holiday warehouse and logistics activity was slow to build. The stretch wrap converters kept orders light through most of the quarter. A stronger dollar made US export cargoes slightly less competitive into Latin American markets.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in China

Chinese prices averaged about USD 958/MT in Q1 2026, down about 8.3% from Q4 2025, the sharpest drop among tracked markets. Downstream mulch film demand was unusually slow to restart, leaving producers with heavy inventory. Several converters reported delaying purchases into March in anticipation of further declines.

Why did the price of LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) change in Q1 2026 in China?

Mulch film demand was slow to restart after the New Year holiday. Producer inventory built up, prompting steep discounting to clear volume. Downstream converters delayed restocking, waiting for clearer price signals. Weak construction sentiment nationally added a further layer of caution to buyer behaviour.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in Germany

German prices averaged close to USD 1,075/MT in Q1 2026, down near 3.2% from Q4 2025. The winter greenhouse activity was limited, and buyers worked through carryover inventory before placing fresh orders. The producers described the quarter as the quietest since early 2024.

Why did the price of LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) change in Q1 2026 in Germany?

Winter greenhouse film demand stayed limited across the quarter. The buyers worked through carryover stock and held off on fresh orders. The energy costs stayed moderate, giving producers little reason to push offers higher.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in India

Indian prices averaged roughly USD 1,074/MT in Q1 2026, down just under 0.4% from Q4 2025, essentially flat. Pre-season caution kept greenhouse orders muted this quarter, with several growers waiting on early-season yield estimates before committing to larger film purchases.

Why did the price of LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) change in Q1 2026 in India?

Growers held off on large orders ahead of the new planting season. The comonomer costs stayed steady, keeping the production floor flat. Sack and cable jacketing demand added only routine, unremarkable support through the quarter.

Quarterly LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Price Trends

Global LLDPE prices eased through most of the window tracked here before a modest rebound, moving from just above USD 1,120/MT in Q2 2025 to just under USD 1,015/MT in Q2 2026, a net decline of just above 9.4%. The market bottomed in Q1 2026 on slow post-holiday restocking, before agriculture film demand and firmer comonomer costs lifted Q2 back above the prior quarter. The Q2 rebound, though modest in absolute terms, marked the first quarter-on-quarter gain in over a year.

What was LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Price in 2025?

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) prices eased through most of 2025 as new capacity built up faster than film demand could absorb it. The global average opened near USD 1,150/MT in Q1 2025 and closed about USD 1,042/MT by Q4, a full-year decline of close to 9.4%. The pace of decline was fairly even across the four quarters, without one period standing out.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in the United States in 2025

US prices eased from close to USD 1,140/MT in Q1 2025 to roughly USD 1,060/MT by Q4, a decline of roughly 7.0%, as producer volumes built through the year and stretch wrap converters grew more selective about which grades they carried in inventory.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in China in 2025

Chinese prices eased from just above USD 1,020/MT in Q1 2025 to just under USD 945/MT by Q4, a decline of about 7.4%, with large domestic capacity keeping the market well supplied. The export volumes to South Asia held broadly steady across the year.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in Germany in 2025

German prices eased from near USD 1,190/MT in Q1 2025 to about USD 1,110/MT by Q4, a decline of near 6.7%, on soft agriculture and packaging film demand. The import competition from the Middle East built steadily through the second half of the year.

LLDPE (Linear Low-Density Polyethylene) Prices in India in 2025

Indian prices eased from close to USD 1,130/MT in Q1 2025 to roughly USD 1,078/MT by Q4, a decline of just under 4.6%, as import competition intensified while domestic film demand cooled. The domestic producers held operating rates steady and did not cut output in response.

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