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Sudan remained by far the priciest Millet market tracked, rising just above 5.4% in Q2 2026 to near USD 2.75/KG from about USD 2.61/KG in Q1, and it was ongoing conflict-driven disruption to agricultural production and distribution that kept the market dramatically elevated. The global average climbed from close to USD 0.8875/KG to near USD 0.9150/KG, a gain of roughly 3.1%. As we can see, Sudan's price reflects a genuine humanitarian and food security crisis rather than typical market dynamics, and excluding that outlier, the other three markets tracked here moved only modestly, with the global average likely to run in the USD 0.85 to 1.05/KG range through the second half of the year.
Millet refers to a group of small-seeded cereal grains, including pearl millet, sorghum, and finger millet, grown predominantly in rainfed, semi-arid regions across South Asia and Africa. India stands as the undisputed global leader in both production and consumption, accounting for roughly forty percent of world volume from a production base of approximately thirteen million tons, a figure that quadruples that of the second-largest producing country. Long a staple in rural diets and food security systems, millet has also experienced growing urban demand in recent years as a nutritious, sustainable health food. Because production is concentrated in rainfed agricultural systems, growing-season rainfall, regional political stability affecting agricultural production and distribution, and the balance between traditional dietary demand and growing health-food consumption are what really move the price from quarter to quarter.
The conflict affecting Sudan's agricultural production and distribution shows no clear sign of resolving, which points toward continued dramatic elevation in that market through H2 2026, even as the other markets tracked here should follow more typical seasonal patterns. India's massive production scale should continue keeping global average pricing comparatively modest outside of the Sudan outlier.
A further deterioration in Sudan's agricultural conditions could be what pushes that market's prices even higher, with limited ability to forecast given the humanitarian nature of the disruption. A resolution of the underlying conflict, or a particularly strong harvest in India moderating the broader global average, could be what eases pricing pressure instead.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/KG) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 0.85 - 1.05 | Sudan's crisis-driven pricing dominates the global figure |
| Sudan | 2.70 - 3.10 | Conflict-driven food security crisis sustains dramatic elevation |
| Mali | 0.40 - 0.46 | Typical seasonal patterns keep pricing comparatively stable |
| Nigeria | 0.23 - 0.27 | Ample domestic supply keeps pricing among the lowest |
| India | 0.20 - 0.26 | Massive production scale sustains gradual softening |
Sudan stayed by far the priciest market tracked, with the price moving from about USD 2.61/KG to near USD 2.75/KG, a gain of just above 5.4%. It was continued food security deterioration, tied to the ongoing conflict affecting agricultural production and distribution, that carried the increase.
Why did the price of Millet change in Q2 2026 in Sudan?
Conflict-driven disruption to planting, harvest, and distribution has continued weighing on Sudan's domestic supply, and it is this deterioration, rather than any change in underlying demand, that has kept pricing here dramatically above every other market tracked, reflecting genuine scarcity rather than typical seasonal or trade-driven price movement.
The Malian price moved from about USD 0.42/KG to near USD 0.43/KG, a gain of just above 2.4%. It was steady regional demand, together with typical seasonal supply conditions, that carried the modest increase.
Why did the price of Millet change in Q2 2026 in Mali?
Mali's millet market has stayed comparatively stable this year, and it is this stability, reflecting typical seasonal supply and demand patterns in the Sahel region, that stands in sharp contrast to the crisis-driven volatility seen in neighboring Sudan.
The Nigerian price eased from about USD 0.26/KG to near USD 0.25/KG, a decline of just above 3.8%. It was ample domestic supply, together with typical seasonal demand conditions, that gave the market room to ease.
Why did the price of Millet change in Q2 2026 in Nigeria?
Nigeria's domestic millet production has stayed adequate relative to demand this year, and it is this supply adequacy, combined with typical seasonal consumption patterns, that has kept Nigerian pricing on a gradual downward path, among the most affordable of the markets tracked here.
The Indian price eased from about USD 0.24/KG to near USD 0.23/KG, a decline of just above 4.2%. It was a large domestic harvest, together with India's position as the dominant global producer, that gave the market room to ease further.
Why did the price of Millet change in Q2 2026 in India?
India accounts for roughly forty percent of the world's total millet volume, drawing on a production base that quadruples that of the second-largest producing country, and it is this scale, combined with steady government-supported cultivation, that has kept Indian domestic pricing on a gradual downward path even as urban demand for the grain grows as a health food.
The price reached close to USD 2.61/KG in Q1 2026, a rise of just above 13.5% from Q4 2025. It was continued conflict-driven disruption to agricultural production and distribution networks that pushed the market sharply higher.
Why did the price of Millet change in Q1 2026 in Sudan?
The conflict affecting Sudan has continued disrupting both planting and harvest cycles as well as the distribution networks that move grain to markets, and it was this compounding disruption, rather than any single new development, that drove one of the sharpest quarterly increases recorded across this entire pipeline of tracked commodities.
The price reached close to USD 0.42/KG in Q1 2026, a rise of just above 3.7% from Q4 2025. It was steady demand from regional consumption, together with typical seasonal supply conditions, that pushed the market modestly higher.
Why did the price of Millet change in Q1 2026 in Mali?
Regional demand held its usual steady pace entering the year, and it was this consistency, meeting typical seasonal supply conditions across the Sahel growing region, that drove the modest Malian increase.
The price eased to close to USD 0.26/KG in Q1 2026, a decline of just above 1.9% from Q4 2025. It was ample domestic supply, together with typical seasonal demand conditions, that gave the market room to ease.
Why did the price of Millet change in Q1 2026 in Nigeria?
Domestic supply stayed ample entering the year, and it was this adequacy, meeting typical seasonal demand patterns, that let Nigerian pricing ease modestly through the quarter.
The price eased to close to USD 0.24/KG in Q1 2026, a decline of just above 4.0% from Q4 2025. It was ample domestic harvest supply, together with steady demand, that gave the market room to ease.
Why did the price of Millet change in Q1 2026 in India?
The domestic harvest came in ample relative to demand this quarter, and it was this supply adequacy, meeting steady consumption from both traditional rural diets and growing urban health-food demand, that let Indian pricing ease modestly.
This market moved unevenly through 2025 before Sudan's crisis dramatically widened the range in 2026. Close to USD 0.68/KG in Q1 2025 rose to about USD 0.75/KG, near USD 0.82/KG, and eased to close to USD 0.80/KG by Q4, before jumping to about USD 0.8875/KG in Q1 2026 and near USD 0.9150/KG in Q2 as Sudan's conflict-driven pricing pulled the average sharply higher. That is a rise of roughly 34.6% across the full window.
| Quarter | Price (USD/KG) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q2 2026 | 0.9150 | +3.1% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8875 | +10.9% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 0.8000 | -2.4% | ↓ Falling |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8200 | +9.3% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7500 | - | - Stable |
| Q3 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
It was ongoing conflict disrupting Sudan's agricultural production and distribution, pulling that market's price up dramatically, that drove most of the 2025 movement in the global average, even as India, Mali, and Nigeria moved on their more typical seasonal patterns. The global average opened near USD 0.68/KG in Q1 and climbed to close to USD 0.80/KG by Q4, a rise of just above 17.6% for the year, masking the sharp divergence between Sudan's crisis and the comparative stability elsewhere.
Sudan's price climbed from about USD 1.80/KG in Q1 2025 to near USD 2.30/KG by Q4, a rise of just above 27.8% for the year, an extraordinary move even before the further acceleration into 2026. It was ongoing conflict disrupting agricultural production and distribution that drove this dramatic climb through 2025, a pattern distinct from every other market tracked here, where prices moved gradually rather than in response to a genuine humanitarian crisis.
Mali's price climbed from about USD 0.38/KG in Q1 2025 to near USD 0.40/KG by Q4, a rise of just above 5.3% for the year. It was steady regional demand that drove the gradual climb through 2025, consistent with the typical seasonal patterns that have long characterized this market.
Nigeria's price eased from about USD 0.27/KG in Q1 2025 to near USD 0.26/KG by Q4, a decline of just above 3.7% for the year. It was ample domestic supply, meeting steady but unremarkable demand, that defined the gradual softening through 2025.
India's price eased from about USD 0.27/KG in Q1 2025 to near USD 0.25/KG by Q4, a decline of just above 7.4% for the year. It was India's massive production scale, as the world's dominant millet producer accounting for roughly forty percent of global volume, meeting demand that has not kept pace with supply growth, that drove the gradual softening through 2025 and into the following year.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Millet Price Intelligence
The Millet market splits sharply between India's massive, comparatively stable production base and smaller African markets where regional political and security conditions can dominate pricing entirely, so Expert Market Research tracks growing-season rainfall and harvest conditions closely alongside regional stability factors and the balance between traditional dietary demand and growing health-food consumption across the four markets covered here. This is combined with trade flow data to build the forecasts. For Millet pricing data, custom analysis, or procurement strategy support, the team is glad to help.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
It serves as a dietary staple in rainfed, semi-arid agricultural regions across South Asia and Africa, and has increasingly gained popularity as an urban health food valued for its nutritional content and sustainability.
As of Q2 2026, Sudan averages near USD 2.75/KG, Mali about USD 0.43/KG, Nigeria close to USD 0.25/KG, and India roughly USD 0.23/KG. Sudan is dramatically more expensive than every other market tracked due to an ongoing conflict-driven food security crisis.
The global average climbed from close to USD 0.80/KG in Q4 2025 up to about USD 0.8875/KG in Q1 2026, then near USD 0.9150/KG in Q2, a gain of just above 3.1%, driven almost entirely by Sudan's ongoing crisis rather than broader market dynamics.
Ongoing conflict in Sudan has disrupted both agricultural production, including planting and harvest cycles, and the distribution networks that move grain to markets. This reflects a genuine food security crisis rather than typical seasonal or trade-driven price movement.
The global average is likely to run in the USD 0.85 to 1.05/KG range, though this figure is heavily influenced by Sudan's crisis-driven pricing, with the other three markets tracked expected to stay comparatively stable.
Sudan carries a price dramatically above every other market due to its ongoing conflict-driven food security crisis. Mali sits at a moderate level reflecting typical Sahel market conditions, and Nigeria and India price lowest thanks to ample domestic supply.
This report gets refreshed each month. Contact the team directly for real-time pricing.
Growing-season rainfall sits at the core, given how concentrated production is in rainfed agricultural systems. Regional political stability affecting agricultural production and distribution, and the balance between traditional dietary demand and health-food consumption, add further influence.
India dominates global production and consumption, accounting for roughly forty percent of world volume from a base of approximately thirteen million tons. Nigeria, Mali, and other Sahel-region countries represent significant additional producing regions.
Growing-season rainfall reports in the major producing regions are usually the earliest signal worth tracking for typical seasonal price movement. For markets affected by conflict or political instability, monitoring regional security conditions directly is essential, since those factors can dominate pricing entirely regardless of underlying supply and demand fundamentals.
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