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Plums prices in the United States, the highest-cost reporting region during the current quarter, eased 19.2% in Q2 2026 to USD 2,100.00/MT from USD 2,600.00/MT in Q1, as domestic harvest volumes increased seasonally and eased the tight off-season conditions that had characterized the winter months. Chilean prices, by contrast, rose 18.2% to USD 1,950.00/MT as the Southern Hemisphere counter-season harvest wound down and Northern Hemisphere demand shifted back toward domestic supply. Globally, the average fell from USD 2,083.00/MT in Q1 to USD 1,904.00/MT in Q2, an 8.6% decline, reflecting the pronounced seasonal pattern that characterizes this market. For H2 2026, a global average of USD 1,600.00-2,400.00/MT is expected, with seasonal harvest cycles across both hemispheres likely to continue driving substantial quarter-to-quarter swings.
Plums are a stone fruit cultivated across temperate growing regions worldwide, consumed fresh and processed into dried prunes, juices, and preserves. Global supply follows a distinctly counter-seasonal pattern between Northern Hemisphere producers, including the United States, Germany, and China, which harvest primarily from mid-summer through early autumn, and Southern Hemisphere producers led by Chile, which harvest during the Northern Hemisphere winter months and supply that market during its off-season. This counter-seasonal trade relationship means global average pricing reflects a constantly shifting mix of in-season, lower-cost domestic supply and off-season, higher-cost imported supply across different regions throughout the year. Seasonal harvest timing and weather conditions, counter-seasonal Southern Hemisphere import supply, and fresh and processed demand cycles are what drive prices in this market.
The outlook for Plums through H2 2026 points to continued pronounced seasonal swings as this market moves through its established counter-seasonal trade pattern. Northern Hemisphere harvest volumes should continue increasing through the summer months, easing pricing in the United States, Germany, and China, while Chilean export volumes are expected to build again ahead of the next Southern Hemisphere harvest cycle later in the year.
The main upside risk is a weather-related disruption to Northern Hemisphere summer harvests, which could tighten supply and push prices higher than currently forecast during what is typically the lower-priced season. The main downside risk is a larger-than-expected harvest across major producing regions combined with softer fresh and processed demand, which could extend seasonal price softness further than currently expected.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 1,600.00 - 2,400.00 | Seasonal harvest cycles drive substantial quarter-to-quarter swings |
| United States | 1,650.00 - 2,700.00 | Widest seasonal swing of any region tracked here |
| Germany | 1,650.00 - 2,350.00 | European harvest timing drives continued seasonal swings |
| Chile | 1,600.00 - 2,350.00 | Counter-seasonal export supply moves opposite Northern Hemisphere markets |
| China | 1,300.00 - 1,750.00 | Large domestic production keeps this the most affordable market |
US Plums prices averaged USD 2,100.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 19.2% from USD 2,600.00/MT in Q1, as increasing domestic harvest volumes eased the tighter off-season conditions of the winter months.
Why did the price of Plums change in Q2 2026 in the United States?
Increasing domestic harvest volumes across major growing regions continued easing the tighter, higher-priced conditions that had characterized this market during the winter off-season months.
German prices averaged USD 1,950.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 13.3% from USD 2,250.00/MT in Q1, tracking the same seasonal easing evident across Northern Hemisphere markets.
Why did the price of Plums change in Q2 2026 in Germany?
European harvest timing continued moving this market into its seasonally lower-priced period as domestic supply increased.
Chilean prices averaged USD 1,950.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 18.2% from USD 1,650.00/MT in Q1, as the Southern Hemisphere counter-season harvest wound down and export volumes tightened.
Why did the price of Plums change in Q2 2026 in Chile?
As the Southern Hemisphere counter-season harvest wound down, export volumes available to Northern Hemisphere off-season markets tightened, supporting firmer pricing even as demand from those markets began shifting back toward domestic supply.
Chinese prices, the lowest of the four regions, averaged USD 1,550.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 8.8% from USD 1,700.00/MT in Q1, tracking the broader Northern Hemisphere seasonal pattern.
Why did the price of Plums change in Q2 2026 in China?
Large domestic production continued keeping this market the most affordable tracked here, tracking the same seasonal easing pattern evident across other Northern Hemisphere producing regions.
US prices rose 8.3% in Q1 2026 to USD 2,600.00/MT from USD 2,400.00/MT in Q4 2025, reflecting tighter off-season supply conditions during the winter months.
Why did the price of Plums change in Q1 2026 in the United States?
Tighter off-season supply conditions during the winter months, when this market relies more heavily on Southern Hemisphere counter-seasonal imports, continued supporting elevated pricing relative to the peak domestic harvest season.
German prices rose 7.1% in Q1 2026 to USD 2,250.00/MT from USD 2,100.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking the same off-season tightness.
Why did the price of Plums change in Q1 2026 in Germany?
European off-season supply conditions continued supporting elevated pricing during the winter months, consistent with the broader counter-seasonal trade pattern evident across this market.
Chilean prices fell 2.9% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,650.00/MT from USD 1,700.00/MT in Q4 2025, as the Southern Hemisphere harvest reached its peak supply period.
Why did the price of Plums change in Q1 2026 in Chile?
The Southern Hemisphere harvest reached its peak supply period, easing pricing as abundant domestic and export supply became available to serve Northern Hemisphere off-season demand.
Chinese prices rose 6.2% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,700.00/MT from USD 1,600.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking the broader Northern Hemisphere off-season pattern.
Why did the price of Plums change in Q1 2026 in China?
Tighter domestic off-season supply conditions during the winter months continued supporting elevated pricing, consistent with the broader Northern Hemisphere seasonal pattern.
Global Plums prices moved through a pronounced seasonal cycle across the period covered in this report, easing through the middle quarters of 2025 as Northern Hemisphere harvests peaked, before climbing sharply into the winter off-season as Southern Hemisphere counter-seasonal imports became the primary supply source, then easing again as the 2026 Northern Hemisphere harvest cycle began.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q2 2026 | 1,904.00 | -8.6% | ↓ Falling |
| Q1 2026 | 2,083.00 | +5.3% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 1,978.00 | +11.9% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 1,767.00 | -3.2% | ↓ Falling |
| Q2 2025 | 1,825.00 | - | - Stable |
| Q3 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
Plums followed a genuinely seasonal pattern across every market covered in this report through 2025, with Northern Hemisphere prices easing through the mid-year harvest season before climbing into the winter off-season, while Chile's counter-seasonal pattern moved in the opposite direction, illustrating the constantly shifting supply mix that characterizes this market.
US prices firmed from about USD 2,200.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,400.00/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 9.1%, masking a sharp mid-year seasonal dip to USD 1,700.00/MT in Q3 during peak domestic harvest.
German prices firmed from about USD 2,000.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,100.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 5.0%, tracking the same seasonal harvest-driven pattern.
Chilean prices declined from about USD 1,800.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,700.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 5.6%, reflecting this market's counter-seasonal pattern relative to Northern Hemisphere producers.
Chinese prices firmed from about USD 1,500.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,600.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 6.7%, tracking the broader Northern Hemisphere seasonal pattern.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Plums Price Intelligence
Expert Market Research tracks Plums prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining seasonal harvest timing and weather condition data, counter-seasonal Southern Hemisphere import supply signals, and fresh and processed demand cycle trends into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the pronounced seasonal patterns covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this widely consumed stone fruit is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
This stone fruit is consumed fresh and processed into dried prunes, juices, and preserves.
The Q2 2026 global average was USD 1,904.00/MT, ranging from USD 1,550.00/MT in China to USD 2,100.00/MT in the United States.
The global average rose from USD 1,978.00/MT in Q4 2025 to USD 2,083.00/MT in Q1 2026 before falling to USD 1,904.00/MT in Q2, reflecting the pronounced seasonal pattern that characterizes this market.
Global supply follows a distinctly counter-seasonal pattern between Northern Hemisphere producers, which harvest from mid-summer through early autumn, and Southern Hemisphere producers led by Chile, which harvest during the Northern Hemisphere winter, meaning global pricing reflects a constantly shifting mix of in-season and off-season, imported supply.
The global average is expected in the USD 1,600.00-2,400.00/MT range, with seasonal harvest cycles across both hemispheres likely to continue driving substantial quarter-to-quarter swings.
China holds the lowest cost among the regions tracked here given large domestic production, while pricing in the United States, Germany, and Chile fluctuates seasonally depending on each region's position in the harvest cycle.
This report is updated monthly. For real-time pricing intelligence, connect with the Expert Market Research team.
Seasonal harvest timing and weather conditions, counter-seasonal Southern Hemisphere import supply, and fresh and processed demand cycles.
China maintains the largest overall production volume, with the United States and various European countries significant Northern Hemisphere producers, and Chile the leading Southern Hemisphere counter-seasonal exporter.
Buyers can plan purchases around the predictable seasonal harvest cycles covered in this report, monitor Southern Hemisphere counter-seasonal supply availability given its outsized influence during Northern Hemisphere winter months, and benchmark supplier quotes against the tracked price ranges.
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