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Base Year
Historical Period
Forecast Period
Landed costs in Europe stayed the highest anywhere this year, and the gap widened again in the first half, USD 1,145/MT in Q1 up to USD 1,230/MT by Q2, a 7.4% jump, as Red Sea disruptions piled freight costs on top of crude palm oil that was already expensive. European buyers are basically bidding against each other now for a shrinking pool of Southeast Asian cargoes. Worldwide, prices moved from USD 945/MT to USD 1,012/MT, up 7.1%. For the second half, expect something in the USD 980 to 1,080/MT range globally. Indonesia's biodiesel mandate is really the thing driving this, it keeps pulling palm oil out of oleochemical supply faster than most buyers had priced in. As for the product: soap noodles come from saponifying fatty acids, sourced from palm oil, palm kernel oil, or tallow depending on the market, with sodium hydroxide, then drying and extruding the mix into pellets that go straight to soap plants. The standard grade is an 80:20 palm to palm kernel blend used in most toilet and laundry bars, while higher total-fatty-matter grades go into premium products. Almost all demand traces back to soap manufacturing, where noodles are basically the semi-finished input, add fragrance and colour, press into shape, done. Industrial cleaning bars take the rest. What actually moves this market: crude palm oil costs, Indonesia's mandate, and freight disruption.
H2 looks firm. Indonesia keeps ratcheting up its biodiesel mandate every few months, pulling more crude palm oil toward energy use and away from oleochemical processors, and that's become a structural cost floor rather than something temporary. Add in weather-related harvest disruption in the main producing provinces, and there's real tightness layered on top of the mandate pressure.
A further escalation of Indonesia's biodiesel target, or more bad weather hitting the harvest, would push prices above this range fairly quickly. If Red Sea shipping normalises, or Indonesia and Malaysia see a better harvest than expected, buying pressure would ease and prices would come down.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 980 - 1,080 | Biodiesel mandate and freight costs keep pressure on |
| Indonesia | 890 - 970 | Direct feedstock access keeps Indonesia cheapest |
| Malaysia | 915 - 1,000 | Export hub pricing tracks CPO closely |
| India | 960 - 1,050 | Import dependency and PFAD costs keep pricing firm |
| China | 930 - 1,020 | Tallow-blend flexibility softens feedstock exposure |
| Europe | 1,150 - 1,260 | Freight premium and refuge demand keep prices highest |
USD 925/MT, up 6.6% from USD 868/MT. Still cheapest on this list, but only just.
Why did the price of Soap Noodles change in Q2 2026 in Indonesia?
The biodiesel mandate kept siphoning crude palm oil away from oleochemical use, that pull hasn't let up at all. Export orders from soap manufacturers held up fine, enough to keep prices firm rather than let them soften.
USD 958/MT, up 6.8% from USD 897/MT, following the same regional pressure hitting Indonesia.
Why did the price of Soap Noodles change in Q2 2026 in Malaysia?
Regional crude palm oil costs tracked the same tightness affecting the whole area. Buyers kept competing for cargoes out of both Malaysian and Indonesian ports, which kept pricing firm across both origins.
USD 1,012/MT, up 7.1% from USD 945/MT, the sharpest move of anyone this quarter.
Why did the price of Soap Noodles change in Q2 2026 in India?
Import costs for palm and PFAD kept rising as the global supply stayed tight. Domestic soap makers bought steadily anyway, there wasn't really an alternative given how tight the import market had become.
USD 981/MT, up 6.9% from USD 918/MT, as both of China's usual cost levers moved at once.
Why did the price of Soap Noodles change in Q2 2026 in China?
Tallow and palm costs both firmed together this quarter, narrowing the blend-flexibility edge China normally has over markets stuck with palm alone. Domestic manufacturers kept buying near USD 981/MT regardless.
USD 1,230/MT, up 7.4% from USD 1,145/MT. Still the priciest market by a wide margin, and the gap only grew.
Why did the price of Soap Noodles change in Q2 2026 in Europe?
Red Sea disruptions kept freight and insurance costs elevated on cargoes taking the long route round Africa. On top of that, buyers switching away from volatile sunflower and rapeseed oil supply added extra demand for palm-based grades, pushing the premium even higher.
Indonesia jumped 15.2% to USD 868/MT from USD 753/MT in Q4, one of the sharpest moves anywhere in this report.
Crude palm oil surged as Indonesia's biodiesel mandate pulled more domestic supply toward energy use, tightening what was left for oleochemical processors.
A severe La Nina event made things worse. Record rainfall and flooding across North Sumatra disrupted harvesting and transport between mills and refineries, and spot prices jumped sharply within the quarter as a result.
Why did the price of Soap Noodles change in Q1 2026 in Indonesia?
Indonesia's biodiesel mandate diverted crude palm oil supply away from oleochemical use. Severe weather then compounded that tightness by disrupting harvesting and logistics on top of it.
Malaysia climbed 14.9% to USD 897/MT from USD 781/MT.
Crude palm oil costs rose in step with Indonesian tightness, buyers were increasingly competing for a shrinking pool of export-grade material across both origins.
Weather disruption in nearby producing regions added its own urgency to Malaysian contracts too, reinforcing the upward move rather than offsetting it.
Why did the price of Soap Noodles change in Q1 2026 in Malaysia?
Crude palm oil costs rose in tandem with regional tightness. Weather disruption in nearby regions added further urgency to export negotiations.
India climbed 14.9% to USD 945/MT from USD 822/MT.
Landed costs jumped as global feedstock disruptions raised prices for Indian manufacturers who rely heavily on Southeast Asian imports.
Domestic soap producers kept buying through it, which is really the whole reason the price move stuck instead of reversing once the initial shock passed.
Why did the price of Soap Noodles change in Q1 2026 in India?
Global feedstock disruptions raised landed costs for Indian buyers. Steady demand from domestic producers meant the increase held.
China rose 14.9% to USD 918/MT from USD 799/MT.
Palm import costs climbed alongside the broader Southeast Asian tightness, and domestic tallow costs firmed too on steady rendering volumes from the livestock sector.
Manufacturers kept buying despite both feedstocks getting more expensive at once, supporting the move to USD 918/MT rather than pulling back on it.
Why did the price of Soap Noodles change in Q1 2026 in China?
Palm import costs and domestic tallow costs firmed together this quarter. Manufacturers kept procurement steady despite that dual pressure.
Europe posted the sharpest jump of any market, up 15.7% to USD 1,145/MT from USD 990/MT in Q4, extending its lead as the most expensive region tracked.
Red Sea disruptions forced most Southeast Asian cargoes onto the longer route round the Cape of Good Hope, adding an estimated USD 60 to 80 per metric ton in freight and insurance alone.
Supply shocks in sunflower and rapeseed oil markets pushed European buyers back toward palm-based noodles at the same time, intensifying competition for cargoes and pushing prices to USD 1,145/MT.
Why did the price of Soap Noodles change in Q1 2026 in Europe?
Red Sea disruptions added significant freight and insurance costs on cargoes routed via the Cape of Good Hope. Refuge demand from buyers switching away from volatile competing oils made things worse.
Soap noodles held fairly steady through the first three quarters of 2025, firmed a bit in Q4 as biodiesel-related tightening began, then jumped hard in Q1 2026 on a combined feedstock and weather shock, and kept climbing into Q2. USD 742/MT in Q2 2025, USD 768/MT in Q3, USD 799/MT in Q4, a jump to USD 945/MT in Q1 2026, then USD 1,012/MT in Q2. That's a 36.4% gain across the window, and Indonesia's mandate, weather disruption, and Red Sea freight costs explain nearly all of it.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q2 2026 | 1,012 | +7.1% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2026 | 945 | +18.3% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 799 | +4.0% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 768 | +3.5% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2025 | 742 | - | - Stable |
| Q3 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
2025 built slowly for soap noodles, steady soap-bar demand meeting a crude palm oil cost backdrop that firmed gradually all year rather than in one move. The global average opened near USD 705/MT in Q1 and closed at USD 799/MT by Q4, up 13.3%. Feedstock availability tightened bit by bit as the year went on, setting up the much sharper Q1 2026 spike once weather disruption piled on top of the mandate pressure already building.
Indonesia moved from about USD 655/MT to USD 753/MT by Q4, up 15.0%. Domestic demand recovered through the year, and the mandate's climb from B35 toward B40 kept tightening feedstock competition as 2025 wore on.
Malaysia rose from USD 682/MT to USD 781/MT, up 14.5%, tracking the broader Southeast Asian trend as crude palm oil costs firmed and export demand held up.
India climbed from USD 718/MT to USD 822/MT, up 14.5%. Domestic demand kept growing and import costs rose right alongside it, a reminder of how exposed India's import dependency leaves it to Southeast Asian supply cycles.
China rose from USD 698/MT to USD 799/MT, up 14.5%. Domestic demand recovered while both tallow and palm import costs firmed, narrowing the blend-flexibility edge China usually holds over more palm-dependent markets.
Europe climbed from USD 862/MT to USD 990/MT, up 14.8%, the widest gain of any market here. Rising crude palm oil costs combined with early Red Sea freight disruption, and the premium over Asian origin markets kept widening as the year went on.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Soap Noodles Price Intelligence
Soap noodle prices move on crude palm oil economics, Indonesia's biodiesel mandate, and freight costs along a handful of export routes, and that's exactly what we watch across every producing and consuming region on this list. Numbers alone don't tell buyers much without the story behind them. If you need soap noodle pricing data, a custom market read, or procurement advisory tailored to your supply chain, get in touch.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
Toilet and laundry soap bar manufacturing, mostly. Soap noodles are the semi-finished input, add fragrance and colour, press into bars. Industrial and institutional cleaning bar production makes up most of what's left.
Q2 2026: USD 925/MT in Indonesia, USD 958/MT in Malaysia, USD 1,012/MT in India, USD 981/MT in China, USD 1,230/MT in Europe. Europe stays the most expensive on freight premiums and refuge demand for palm-based grades.
Prices jumped from USD 799/MT in Q4 2025 to USD 945/MT in Q1 on a combined feedstock and weather shock, then climbed further to USD 1,012/MT in Q2 as biodiesel-linked tightness didn't let up. Freight disruption added pressure on top.
Indonesia's biodiesel mandate kept pulling crude palm oil away from oleochemical use, and a severe weather event disrupted harvesting and logistics in the same producing provinces. That combination pushed the market to USD 945/MT by quarter-end.
A global range of USD 980 to 1,080/MT looks likely, supported by Indonesia's tightening biodiesel mandate and feedstock availability that stays constrained across producing regions.
Europe sits at the top on freight premiums from Red Sea disruption and refuge demand for palm-based grades. India and China land in the middle on import dependency and blend economics, while Indonesia stays cheapest with direct access to domestic crude palm oil.
This gets refreshed once a month. If you need live pricing, get in touch with the team directly.
Crude palm oil costs matter most, followed by Indonesia's biodiesel mandate and freight disruption along major export routes. Any feedstock shock or freight cost change tends to show up across every regional market fairly quickly.
Indonesia and Malaysia hold the largest production capacity as the world's leading crude palm oil suppliers, with India and China as major converting and consuming markets. A biodiesel mandate shift or weather disruption ripples through all of these within a quarter or two.
Time production contracts around crude palm oil cost cycles, and keep an eye on Indonesia's biodiesel mandate progression as your leading structural cost signal. Forward coverage ahead of anticipated weather or freight-driven spikes tends to be the better play.
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