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Vinyl Chloride Monomer Pricing, Demand and Supply Overview
2025
Base Year
2023-2025
Historical Period
2026-2027
Forecast Period
Market Overview
Vinyl chloride monomer prices in Germany, the highest-cost reporting region, rose 4.9% across 2025, climbing from USD 0.82/KG in Q1 to USD 0.86/KG by Q4 as recovering PVC construction demand and firmer ethylene feedstock costs supported the market. Globally, the average rose from USD 0.693/KG to USD 0.715/KG, a 3.2% gain. For the remainder of 2026, a global average of USD 0.72-0.86/KG is expected, with continued recovery on Middle East ethylene tightness and PVC sector procurement.
Vinyl chloride monomer is a colourless, flammable gas produced by the thermal cracking of ethylene dichloride, which is itself made by the chlorination of ethylene. The largest pull comes from polyvinyl chloride resin production for construction applications such as pipes, profiles, and flooring, followed by packaging, automotive, and medical products. Ethylene and chlorine feedstock costs, PVC sector demand from construction, and regional cracking capacity all feed into the price.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Price Forecast for 2026
The balance of supply and demand for vinyl chloride monomer through the rest of 2026 leans firm. Middle East shipping disruptions constrained ethylene feedstock inflows, raising the production cost floor for EDC and VCM crackers. PVC demand from the construction sector is recovering gradually in North America and India.
The main upside risk is sustained ethylene and chlorine cost inflation alongside a broad construction recovery. The main downside risk is weak European building activity and Chinese overcapacity in VCM and PVC that limits price recovery.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/KG) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 0.72 - 0.86 | PVC recovery meets firmer ethylene and chlorine costs |
| United States | 0.72 - 0.86 | Steady PVC pipe and profile demand holds the market firm |
| China | 0.50 - 0.62 | Large VCM capacity keeps it the most affordable source |
| Germany | 0.86 - 1.00 | High energy and compliance costs keep it the most expensive |
| India | 0.76 - 0.90 | Growing PVC pipes and construction demand holds a firm middle |
For the Quarter Ending March 2026
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices Q1 2026:
- United States: USD 0.76/KG
- China: USD 0.55/KG
- Germany: USD 0.90/KG
- India: USD 0.80/KG
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in the United States
US vinyl chloride monomer prices averaged USD 0.76/KG in Q1 2026, up 5.6% from USD 0.72/KG in Q4 2025. Firmer ethylene feedstock costs from Middle East supply tightness raised EDC and VCM cracking expenses. Spring PVC pipe and profile season procurement supported consistent buying through the quarter.
Why did the price of Vinyl Chloride Monomer change in Q1 2026 in the United States?
Firmer ethylene feedstock costs from Middle East disruptions raised EDC cracking expenses. Spring PVC pipe and construction profile procurement lifted buying from the sector. Reduced import inflows from tighter Asian VCM availability supported domestic spot pricing.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in China
Chinese vinyl chloride monomer prices averaged USD 0.55/KG in Q1 2026, up 5.8% from USD 0.52/KG in Q4 2025, the lowest among the tracked markets. Post-holiday PVC and construction sector restocking lifted buying from VCM consumers. Firmer ethylene costs provided a moderate cost floor despite ample domestic capacity.
Why did the price of Vinyl Chloride Monomer change in Q1 2026 in China?
Post-holiday PVC sector restocking lifted procurement from domestic VCM consumers. Firmer ethylene feedstock costs provided a moderate production cost floor. Large domestic VCM capacity kept China the most affordable market despite the recovery.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in Germany
German vinyl chloride monomer prices averaged USD 0.90/KG in Q1 2026, up 4.7% from USD 0.86/KG in Q4 2025, the highest among the tracked markets. Higher ethylene and chlorine feedstock costs elevated EDC and VCM production expenses. Gradual European construction and infrastructure demand provided steady buying support.
Why did the price of Vinyl Chloride Monomer change in Q1 2026 in Germany?
Higher ethylene and chlorine feedstock costs raised EDC and VCM production expenses. Gradual European construction recovery supported steady PVC-linked procurement. Middle East shipping disruptions added freight premiums to ethylene import costs.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in India
Indian vinyl chloride monomer prices averaged USD 0.80/KG in Q1 2026, up 5.3% from USD 0.76/KG in Q4 2025. Growing PVC pipe and construction material demand supported buying. Firmer import-linked ethylene costs raised the production and landed cost floor through the quarter.
Why did the price of Vinyl Chloride Monomer change in Q1 2026 in India?
Growing infrastructure-linked PVC pipe and construction material demand lifted procurement. Firmer import-linked ethylene costs raised the production floor for domestic EDC/VCM units. Middle East freight premiums elevated the landed cost of imported VCM and EDC.
For the Quarter Ending December 2025
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices Q4 2025:
- United States: USD 0.72/KG
- China: USD 0.52/KG
- Germany: USD 0.86/KG
- India: USD 0.76/KG
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in the United States
US vinyl chloride monomer prices averaged USD 0.72/KG in Q4 2025, firming on the quarter. Steady PVC construction demand and consistent EDC/VCM plant operations maintained market balance. Stable ethylene feedstock costs held the production floor firm near USD 0.72/KG.
Why did the price of Vinyl Chloride Monomer change in Q4 2025 in the United States?
Steady PVC construction demand maintained consistent VCM procurement from downstream. Stable ethylene feedstock costs held the EDC and VCM production floor firm. Balanced domestic supply and demand kept the market firm near USD 0.72/KG into year-end.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in China
Chinese vinyl chloride monomer prices averaged USD 0.52/KG in Q4 2025, easing from the Q3 level. Weak PVC demand from the property sector and ample VCM capacity maintained downward pressure. Year-end destocking by resin producers held prices near USD 0.52/KG.
Why did the price of Vinyl Chloride Monomer change in Q4 2025 in China?
Weak PVC demand from the property and construction sector reduced VCM procurement. Ample domestic VCM capacity and high operating rates maintained comfortable supply. Year-end resin producer destocking added downward pressure near USD 0.52/KG.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in Germany
German vinyl chloride monomer prices averaged USD 0.86/KG in Q4 2025, firming through the quarter. Steady industrial and construction PVC demand supported buying. Firmer energy and chlorine costs held the production floor elevated near USD 0.86/KG into year-end.
Why did the price of Vinyl Chloride Monomer change in Q4 2025 in Germany?
Steady industrial and construction PVC demand maintained consistent VCM procurement. Firmer energy and chlorine feedstock costs supported the elevated production floor. Limited European VCM supply flexibility held the market firm near USD 0.86/KG.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in India
Indian vinyl chloride monomer prices averaged USD 0.76/KG in Q4 2025, firming modestly. Growing infrastructure and PVC pipe demand supported procurement. Stable import availability and domestic EDC production maintained supply balance near USD 0.76/KG.
Why did the price of Vinyl Chloride Monomer change in Q4 2025 in India?
Growing infrastructure and PVC pipe procurement supported the firming tone. Stable import flows and domestic EDC production maintained balanced supply. Firm ethylene costs held the production floor near USD 0.76/KG into year-end.
Quarterly Vinyl Chloride Monomer Price Trends
Global vinyl chloride monomer prices followed a broadly firming arc through 2025 with a brief Q3 pause before a strong Q1 2026 advance. The average rose from USD 0.693/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 0.708/KG in Q2, eased to USD 0.695/KG in Q3, then firmed to USD 0.715/KG in Q4 and USD 0.753/KG in Q1 2026, a net gain of about 8.7% over the window. PVC recovery and firmer feedstock costs drove the trend.
| Quarter | Price (USD/KG) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q1 2026 | 0.753 | +5.3% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 0.715 | +2.9% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 0.695 | -1.8% | ↓ Falling |
| Q2 2025 | 0.708 | +2.2% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2025 | 0.693 | - | - Stable |
| Q2 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
What was Vinyl Chloride Monomer Price in 2025?
Vinyl chloride monomer prices firmed through 2025 despite a brief Q3 softening. The global average opened at USD 0.693/KG in Q1 and closed near USD 0.715/KG in Q4, a full-year gain of about 3.2%. Recovering PVC demand from North America and India, firmer ethylene feedstock costs, and improved chlorine economics supported the gradual upward trend.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in the United States in 2025
US prices firmed from about USD 0.68/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 0.72/KG by Q4, a gain of 5.9%. Steady PVC construction demand and consistent plant operations maintained an upward bias through the year despite a brief Q3 softening.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in China in 2025
Chinese prices fell from roughly USD 0.55/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 0.52/KG by Q4, a decline of 5.5%, the only region to weaken. Weak property and construction sector VCM demand and large domestic VCM capacity maintained consistent downward pressure.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in Germany in 2025
German prices firmed from about USD 0.82/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 0.86/KG by Q4, a gain of 4.9%. Steady industrial PVC demand and firmer energy and chlorine costs supported the market. Germany maintained the highest price level throughout the year.
Vinyl Chloride Monomer Prices in India in 2025
Indian prices firmed from roughly USD 0.72/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 0.76/KG by Q4, a gain of 5.6%. Growing infrastructure-linked PVC pipe demand drove consistent buying. Steady import-linked feedstock costs supported the gradual climb.
How We Can Help
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Vinyl Chloride Monomer Price Intelligence
Expert Market Research tracks vinyl chloride monomer prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region. The team traces causation through ethylene and chlorine feedstock economics, PVC and construction sector demand cycles, and regional EDC cracking capacity. Contact Expert Market Research today for vinyl chloride monomer pricing data, bespoke market analysis, and strategic procurement advisory.
Key Questions Answered in the Report
Polyvinyl chloride resin production takes virtually all of the global output, used in construction pipes, window profiles, flooring, packaging, and medical devices. Construction activity drives the dominant demand cycle for VCM globally.
The Q1 2026 average was USD 0.76/KG in the United States, USD 0.55/KG in China, USD 0.90/KG in Germany, and USD 0.80/KG in India. Germany remains the highest-priced market.
The global average rose from USD 0.693/KG in Q1 2025 to about USD 0.715/KG in Q4, a full-year gain of around 3.2%, with a brief Q3 softening from weaker Asian demand.
Recovering PVC demand from North American and Indian construction, firmer ethylene and chlorine feedstock costs, and improved chlor-alkali economics supported the upward trend through most of the year.
The global average is expected in the USD 0.72 to 0.86/KG range for the rest of 2026, with continued recovery as PVC construction demand improves and Middle East ethylene tightness maintains the cost floor.
Germany sits highest on energy and compliance costs, the United States and India hold a firm middle on PVC demand growth, and China prices lowest on large VCM capacity.
This report is updated monthly. For real-time pricing intelligence, contact the Expert Market Research team directly.
Prices respond mainly to ethylene and chlorine feedstock costs, PVC and construction sector demand, and EDC cracking capacity utilisation. Property sector cycles, especially in China, can cause sharp regional price divergences within a single quarter.
Asia Pacific leads with China holding the largest integrated EDC-VCM-PVC capacity, followed by North America and Europe. Any ethylene or chlorine feedstock shift ripples across markets within one to two quarters.
Buyers can use quarterly trends and forecasts to time PVC and VCM contracts, build cover when ethylene or chlorine signals a tightening market, and monitor construction activity as a leading demand indicator.
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