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Global Fresh Milk Market Size, Share, Analysis, Forecast: By Type: Whole/Full-Fat, Reduced-Fat (2%), Low-Fat (1%), Fat-Free; By Application: Household, Commercial; Regional Analysis; Market Dynamics: SWOT Analysis, Porter’s Five Forces Analysis, Key Indicators for Demand, Key Indicators for Price; Competitive Landscape; 2024-2032
Global Fresh Milk Market Outlook
The fresh milk market is aided by the growing milk production globally. The global output in 2023 stood at over 890.85 million tonnes, rising by 2.1% from 2018. Production is expected to grow further in the forecast period of 2024-2032, to reach approximately 1073.90 million tonnes in 2032.
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In the coming decade, the milk production is expected to witness an average annual increase of 1.8%. Majority of the milk and dairy products are consumed as fresh dairy products accounting for almost 50% of the total global production.
In the forecast period, Asia will account for 70% of the increase in the global production due to expanding population and increasing disposable incomes. Milk production in emerging economies is expected to rise annually by 3%, with the majority consumed as fresh and dairy products. Pakistan and India account for most of the projected increase in the global milk production in the forecast period. These two countries are expected to contribute more than one-quarter of the total global production in 2027. Most of the surplus production in these two countries is expected to be consumed as fresh milk and dairy products. In India, over 65% of the total production is consumed as fresh milk.
Europe and North America will be the other major milk producing regions in the forecast period. The growth in milk production is expected to be slow in the forecast period at less than 1% annually. Even though the herd size has been declining, the milk yields have been growing in these regions. The yield in the European Union is projected to grow by 1.2% per annum in the next five years. While the market share of European Union countries in terms of production is similar to that of India, India is expected to surpass the European Union in the coming years in terms of its total output.
Market Segmentation
Fresh milk can either be fresh whole/full-fat, low-fat, skim, modified, ultra-filtration, lactose reduced or lactose-free food, flavoured, and fortified. It contains multiple essential nutrients required for daily human consumption.
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The market in this EMR report is bifurcated into:
- Whole/Full-Fat
- Reduced-Fat (2%)
- Low-Fat (1%)
- Fat-Free
The report analyses the fresh milk market in North America, Latin America, Middle East and Africa, Europe, and Asia Pacific regions.
Market Analysis
The fresh milk market is being driven by the continuous expansion in the exports of fluid milk, which saw a 4% increase in 2017 after witnessing a robust growth of 16% in 2016. With rising health awareness among the consumers globally, its demand has been witnessing a growth in recent years. Retailers are coming up with innovative packaging solutions aimed at increasing the shelf life, which will, in turn, boost the sales in the forecast period. With a rising number of dairies transitioning into organic milk production, the fresh milk market is projected to grow further. In the US, organic milk accounted for 18% of the total sales. Currently, flavoured milk is the leading segment in the fresh milk market.
The fresh milk market has received impetus for its growth in the European Union due to the specialisation and restructuring of its production industry since the scrapping of the milk quotas in 2016. In the Americas, the rising population and growing milk production are aiding the growth of the market. Milk production in Latin America and the Caribbean region is projected to grow by 18% by 2027, although its market share in the global market is expected to remain stable. China, a major importer of dairy products, will increase its domestic production of milk in the coming years by 1.5% per annum. However, its contribution to the global milk production is expected to remain the same, as most of its production will be consumed domestically as fresh milk and dairy products. In developing countries, where the milk production is expected to grow faster than in developed countries, 85% of this increased production will be used in the production of fresh milk and dairy products. Globally, the consumption of fresh dairy is thus expected to grow faster than processed dairy products, growing annually by 2.1% in the forecast period.
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Competitive Landscape
The report gives a detailed analysis of the following key players in the global fresh milk market, looking into their capacity, market share, and latest developments like mergers and acquisitions, capacity additions, and plant turnarounds:
- Nestle SA
- China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited
- Arla Foods Group
- Cooperativa Central Dos Produtores Rurais De Minas Gerais Ltda. (Itambe)
- Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation Ltd. (Amul)
- DMK Deutsches Milchkontor GmbH
- Dairy Farmers of America, Inc.
The EMR report gives an in-depth insight into the market by providing a SWOT analysis as well as an analysis of Porter’s Five Forces.
Key Highlights of the Report
| REPORT FEATURES | DETAILS |
| Base Year | 2023 |
| Historical Period | 2018-2023 |
| Forecast Period | 2024-2032 |
| Scope of the Report |
Historical and Forecast Trends, Industry Drivers and Constraints, Historical and Forecast Market Analysis by Segment:
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| Breakup by Type |
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| Breakup by Application |
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| Breakup by Region |
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| Market Dynamics |
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| Competitive Landscape |
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| Companies Covered |
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| Report Price and Purchase Option | Explore our purchase options that are best suited to your resources and industry needs. |
| Delivery Format | Delivered as an attached PDF and Excel through email, with an option of receiving an editable PPT, according to the purchase option. |
*At Expert Market Research, we strive to always give you current and accurate information. The numbers depicted in the description are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the final EMR report.
1 Preface
2 Report Coverage – Key Segmentation and Scope
3 Report Description
3.1 Market Definition and Outlook
3.2 Properties and Applications
3.3 Market Analysis
3.4 Key Players
4 Key Assumptions
5 Executive Summary
5.1 Overview
5.2 Key Drivers
5.3 Key Developments
5.4 Competitive Structure
5.5 Key Industrial Trends
6 Snapshot
6.1 Global
6.2 Regional
7 Opportunities and Challenges in the Market
8 Global Fresh Milk Market Analysis
8.1 Key Industry Highlights
8.2 Global Fresh Milk Historical Market (2018-2023)
8.3 Global Fresh Milk Market Forecast (2024-2032)
8.4 Global Fresh Milk Market by Type
8.4.1 Whole/Full-Fat
8.4.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.4.1.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
8.4.2 Reduced-Fat (2%)
8.4.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.4.2.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
8.4.3 Low-Fat (1%)
8.4.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.4.3.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
8.4.4 Fat-Free
8.4.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.4.4.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
8.5 Global Fresh Milk Market by Application
8.5.1 Household
8.5.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.5.1.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
8.5.2 Commercial
8.5.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.5.2.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
8.6 Global Fresh Milk Market by Region
8.6.1 North America
8.6.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.6.1.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
8.6.2 Europe
8.6.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.6.2.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
8.6.3 Asia Pacific
8.6.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.6.3.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
8.6.4 Latin America
8.6.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.6.4.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
8.6.5 Middle East and Africa
8.6.5.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
8.6.5.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
9 North America Fresh Milk Market Analysis
9.1 United States of America
9.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
9.1.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
9.2 Canada
9.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
9.2.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10 Europe Fresh Milk Market Analysis
10.1 United Kingdom
10.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
10.1.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10.2 Germany
10.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
10.2.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10.3 France
10.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
10.3.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10.4 Italy
10.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
10.4.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10.5 Others
11 Asia Pacific Fresh Milk Market Analysis
11.1 China
11.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
11.1.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
11.2 Japan
11.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
11.2.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
11.3 India
11.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
11.3.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
11.4 ASEAN
11.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
11.4.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
11.5 Australia
11.5.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
11.5.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
11.6 Others
12 Latin America Fresh Milk Market Analysis
12.1 Brazil
12.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
12.1.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
12.2 Argentina
12.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
12.2.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
12.3 Mexico
12.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
12.3.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
12.4 Others
13 Middle East and Africa Fresh Milk Market Analysis
13.1 Saudi Arabia
13.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
13.1.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
13.2 United Arab Emirates
13.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
13.2.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
13.3 Nigeria
13.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
13.3.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
13.4 South Africa
13.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
13.4.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
13.5 Others
14 Market Dynamics
14.1 SWOT Analysis
14.1.1 Strengths
14.1.2 Weaknesses
14.1.3 Opportunities
14.1.4 Threats
14.2 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
14.2.1 Supplier’s Power
14.2.2 Buyer’s Power
14.2.3 Threat of New Entrants
14.2.4 Degree of Rivalry
14.2.5 Threat of Substitutes
14.3 Key Indicators for Demand
14.4 Key Indicators for Price
15 Value Chain Analysis (HS Code-0402)
16 Trade Data Analysis
16.1 Major Exporting Countries
16.1.1 By Value
16.1.2 By Volume
16.2 Major Importing Countries
16.2.1 By Value
16.2.2 By Volume
17 Price Analysis
12.1 North America Historical Price Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2032)
12.2 Europe Historical Price Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2032)
12.3 Asia Pacific Historical Price Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2032)
12.4 Latin America Historical Price Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2032)
12.5 Middle East and Africa Historical Price Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2032)
18 Competitive Landscape
18.1 Market Structure
18.2 Company Profiles
18.2.1 Nestle S.A
18.2.1.1 Company Overview
18.2.1.2 Product Portfolio
18.2.1.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
18.2.1.4 Certifications
18.2.2 China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited
18.2.2.1 Company Overview
18.2.2.2 Product Portfolio
18.2.2.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
18.2.2.4 Certifications
18.2.3 Arla Foods Group
18.2.3.1 Company Overview
18.2.3.2 Product Portfolio
18.2.3.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
18.2.3.4 Certifications
18.2.4 Cooperativa Central Dos Produtores Rurais De Minas Gerais Ltda.
18.2.4.1 Company Overview
18.2.4.2 Product Portfolio
18.2.4.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
18.2.4.4 Certifications
18.2.5 Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation Ltd. (Amul)
18.2.5.1 Company Overview
18.2.5.2 Product Portfolio
18.2.5.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
18.2.5.4 Certifications
18.2.6 DMK Deutsches Milchkontor GmbH
18.2.6.1 Company Overview
18.2.6.2 Product Portfolio
18.2.6.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
18.2.6.4 Certifications
18.2.7 Dairy Farmers of America, Inc.
18.2.7.1 Company Overview
18.2.7.2 Product Portfolio
18.2.7.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
18.2.7.4 Certifications
18.2.8 Others
19 Key Trends and Developments in the Market
List of Key Figures and Tables
1. Global Fresh Milk Market: Key Industry Highlights, 2018 and 2032
2. Global Fresh Milk Historical Market: Breakup by Type (USD Million), 2018-2023
3. Global Fresh Milk Market Forecast: Breakup by Type (USD Million), 2024-2032
4. Global Fresh Milk Historical Market: Breakup by Application (USD Million), 2018-2023
5. Global Fresh Milk Market Forecast: Breakup by Application (USD Million), 2024-2032
6. Global Fresh Milk Historical Market: Breakup by Region (USD Million), 2018-2023
7. Global Fresh Milk Market Forecast: Breakup by Region (USD Million), 2024-2032
8. North America Fresh Milk Historical Market: Breakup by Country (USD Million), 2018-2023
9. North America Fresh Milk Market Forecast: Breakup by Country (USD Million), 2024-2032
10. Europe Fresh Milk Historical Market: Breakup by Country (USD Million), 2018-2023
11. Europe Fresh Milk Market Forecast: Breakup by Country (USD Million), 2024-2032
12. Asia Pacific Fresh Milk Historical Market: Breakup by Country (USD Million), 2018-2023
13. Asia Pacific Fresh Milk Market Forecast: Breakup by Country (USD Million), 2024-2032
14. Latin America Fresh Milk Historical Market: Breakup by Country (USD Million), 2018-2023
15. Latin America Fresh Milk Market Forecast: Breakup by Country (USD Million), 2024-2032
16. Middle East and Africa Fresh Milk Historical Market: Breakup by Country (USD Million), 2018-2023
17. Middle East and Africa Fresh Milk Market Forecast: Breakup by Country (USD Million), 2024-2032
18. North America Historical Price Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2032)
19. Europe Historical Price Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2032)
20. Asia Pacific Historical Price Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2032)
21. Latin America Historical Price Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2032)
22. Middle East and Africa Historical Price Trends (2018-2023) and Forecast (2024-2032)
23. Major Exporting Countries by Value
24. Major Importing Countries by Value
25. Major Exporting Countries by Volume
26. Major Importing Countries by Volume
27. Global Fresh Milk Market Structure
Key Questions Answered in the Report
The global fresh milk market reached a production volume of about 890.85 million tonnes in 2023.
The production volume of fresh milk is expected to reach approximately 1073.90 million tonnes by 2032.
The major drivers of the industry such as rising disposable incomes, increasing population, and the rising dairy industry.
The rising health consciousness among the consumers is expected to be a key trend guiding the growth of the market.
North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East and Africa are the leading regions in the market.
The leading types of fresh milk in the market include whole/full-fat, reduced-fat (2%), low-fat (1%), and fat-free.
The significant application segments of the market include household and commercial.
The key players in the fresh milk market include Nestle SA, China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, Arla Food Group, Cooperativa Central Dos Produtores Rurais De Minas Gerais Ltda. (Itambe), Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation Ltd. (Amul), DMK Deutsches Milchkontor GmbH, and Dairy Farmers of America, Inc., among others.
Analyst Review
The global fresh milk market attained a production volume of 890.85 million tons in 2023, driven by the growth in consumption. Aided by the rising production in North America and Europe, the industry is projected to reach a production volume of 1073.90 million tonnes by 2032.
EMR’s meticulous research methodology delves deep into the industry, covering the macro and micro aspects of the industry. Based on types, the market can be segmented into organic whole/full-fat, reduced-fat (2%), and low-fat (1%), fat-free. On the basis of application, the market can be divided between household and commercial. The major regional markets are North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Middle East and Africa. The key players in the above industry include Nestle SA, China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited, Arla Food Group, Cooperativa Central Dos Produtores Rurais De Minas Gerais Ltda. (Itambe),
Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation Ltd. (Amul), DMK Deutsches Milchkontor GmbH, Dairy Farmers of America, Inc., Others.
EMR’s research methodology uses a combination of cutting-edge analytical tools and the expertise of their highly accomplished team, thus, providing their customers with market insights that are accurate, actionable, and help them remain ahead of their competition.
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