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Mexico Chiller Market Report Overview
The Mexico chiller market attained a value of USD 233.51 Million in 2025 and is projected to expand at a CAGR of 5.40% through 2035. The market is further expected to achieve USD 395.10 Million by 2035. The increasing demand for AI processing load, manufacturing localization, and higher efficiency requirements are driving the growth of the market for highly efficient chillers with intelligent controls, environmentally friendly refrigerants, and lifecycle services in Mexico for vital industrial applications.
Key Market Trends and Insights
- AI data centers are driving demand for high-density cooling, liquid-assisted thermal management, intelligent controls, and energy-efficient chiller architectures across Mexico.
- Manufacturers are adopting low-GWP refrigerants, inverter compressors, and digital monitoring to improve efficiency, regulatory compliance, and lifecycle performance for industrial buyers.
- Nearshoring is expanding process-cooling requirements across automotive, electronics, plastics, and food manufacturing, encouraging modular systems and stronger local service networks.
Market Size & Forecast
- Market Size in 2025: USD 233.51 Million
- Projected Market Size in 2035: USD 395.10 Million
- CAGR from 2026 to 2035: 5.40%
- Fastest-Growing Regional Market: Bajio
The Mexico chiller market is evolving owing to increased efficiency and application-specific cooling amid the growth of data centers and industries. In June 2024, Alliance Air, a brand of Daikin Applied, expanded its production capacity at Tijuana with the construction of a USD 121 million and 460,000-square foot manufacturing plant to aid the provision of sustainable data center cooling services in North America. This is estimated to provide over 1,000 production jobs and 1,150 permanent jobs.
Furthermore, demand in the Mexico chiller market is being shaped by expanding manufacturing activities, energy regulations, and efficient process cooling. INEGI estimated that there were 5,211 IMMEX manufacturing establishments in December 2025. Thus, there is an installed base of processes, comfort, and equipment cooling facilities. This trend is driving buyers to invest in chillers that have good part load performance, control, low-GWP refrigerants, and overall efficiency.
Two key driving factors influencing the choice of products are the construction of data centers driven by artificial intelligence which is boosting the cooling capacity per unit space. Second is the manufacturing localization which is leading to a greater demand for reliable process cooling systems. Moreover, in November 2025, Danfoss expanded its Monterrey factory to increase production capacity, strengthen regional supply chains, and meet growing demand across the American market.
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Key Trends and Recent Developments
HiRef started the construction of its first plant in Mexico, reinforcing its local production capacity, and setting up the company to meet increased regional demand for cooling equipment. Chiller manufacturers can increase local production, establish service agreements, and deliver their products faster to customers in industrial and commercial sectors in Mexico.
Danfoss commenced the production of oil-free check valves in Monterrey, thus improving the availability of components and delivering effective chiller and heat pump systems. Manufacturers can source their important components locally and use oil-free technology, widening the Mexico chiller market scope.
A plan for a new facility in Tijuana by Daikin was made to manufacture data center cooling systems to meet increasing demand for AI infrastructure and increase production capacity to serve global customers. Companies in the Mexico chiller market can design high-capacity and energy-efficient cooling solutions for data centers and forge alliances with hyperscalers and digital infrastructure companies.
Baltimore Aircoil Company established its first manufacturing plant in Nuevo León, thus enhancing its production, logistics, and distribution capacity in regional cooling markets. Cooling-equipment manufacturers can create regional manufacturing facilities, enhance their distribution network, and offer improved technical assistance to industrial and commercial clients in Latin America.
AI Data Centers Are Redefining Chiller Performance Requirements
The data center pipeline in Mexico is driving cooling providers towards more dense thermal architectures rather than traditional comfort cooling. Schneider Electric announced in March 2026 that AI loads in Mexico could range from 30 to 80 kW per rack, leading to the need for liquid cooling in cases when air cooling approaches thermal limits. Moreover, in September 2025, Schneider featured its liquid cooling solutions in Querétaro after its purchase of Motivair. Aligning with such trends in the Mexico chiller market, in September 2026, Telxius opened a carrier-neutral Cancun edge data center with redundant cooling systems, supporting AI workloads and strengthening Mexico’s digital infrastructure.
Energy Efficiency Regulations Speed up Low-GWP Chillers
Mexico's tightening energy efficiency regulation landscape is impacting how buyers in commercial and industrial segments choose cooling equipment. In September 2025, CONUEE issued its new regulations of NOM-011-ENER-2025 regarding the seasonal efficiency of central, packaged, and split air conditioners, including changes to labeling that must include refrigerant information. Leveraging such Mexico chiller market developments, in August 2026, Atera Energy committed USD 350 million to Mexican on-site power generation and energy-efficiency projects, targeting industrial facilities and data centers.
Nearshoring Is Expanding Demand for Factory-Scale Cooling Systems
The nearshoring trend in the Mexico chiller market is motivating manufacturers to expand their manufacturing capacity in Mexico, resulting in prospects of chillers for process cooling applications, clean rooms, machines, and comfort purposes. Companies like Danfoss are expanding their production facilities by adding three production lines and doubling its space to manufacture HVAC components. In April 2026, Honeywell showcased reliable energy-management solutions helping manufacturers improve efficiency, strengthen resilience, and support Mexico’s expanding nearshoring operations.
Growth in Food and Beverage Industry Is Resulting in Growing Demand for Process Cooling
Food and beverage manufacturers are increasing their production capacity, resulting in demand in the Mexico chiller market. In January 2025, Nestlé Mexico declared an investment program worth USD 1 billion for 2025 to 2027, which will involve production facilities in Veracruz, Guanajuato, Querétaro, and the State of Mexico, and one distribution center. Moreover, in September 2025, the Mexican bottling industry of Coca-Cola declared an investment worth USD 85 million for the Jugos del Valle-Santa Clara plant located in Jalisco state, expanding by two production lines.
Retrofit and Lifecycle Services Are Becoming Competitive Differentiators
Chiller installed base of Mexico is giving rise to after-market opportunities as building owners look for ways to improve efficiency without stopping their work. In one such example, the Torre Mayor project by Johnson Controls upgraded the existing YORK 900 tons centrifugal chiller with Metasys automation and achieved energy savings of up to 45% during partial load. Suppliers are therefore focusing on predictive maintenance, control upgrade, refrigerant and emergency rentals, redefining the Mexico chiller market dynamics. In July 2026, DECACLIMA presented retrofit solutions for refurbishing air handling units, improving energy efficiency, reducing operating costs, and extending equipment lifespans.
Mexico Chiller Industry Segmentation
The Expert Market Research's report titled “Mexico Chiller Market Report and Forecast 2026-2035” offers a detailed analysis of the market based on the following segments:
Market Breakup by Type of Cooling
- Water Cooled
- Air Cooled
Key Insight: The water-cooled chillers are used in places where there is constant heavy-duty work to be done in centralized heat rejection systems. On the other hand, air-cooled chillers are preferred when simple installation of the system is of prime importance, boosting growth in the Mexico chiller market. In May 2025, Smardt introduced ECO-AEROMOD, a modular air-cooled chiller platform offering energy efficiency, scalable capacity, and flexible installation for commercial applications.
Market Breakup by Compressor Type
- Screw Chillers
- Scroll Chillers
- Reciprocating Chillers
- Centrifugal Chillers
- Absorption Chillers
Key Insight: Screw chillers are preferred for industrial applications requiring reliable performance under variable loads, while scroll chillers are commonly used in smaller commercial and industrial facilities. As per the Mexico chiller market report, reciprocating chillers continue to be useful in cases where simpler mechanical design and moderate capacity are required. For large centralized facilities that require high capacity and efficiency, centrifugal chillers find applications. For absorption chillers, special locations having waste heat availability are ideal.
Market Breakup by End Use
- Food and Beverage
- Chemicals and Petrochemicals
- Medical and Pharmaceutical
- Plastics
- Others
Key Insight: Food and beverages continue to be an important application for the overall Mexico chiller market growth since production processes involve temperatures that need to be controlled at various stages. Chemistry and petrochemical sectors use chillers for controlling reaction temperatures, temperature control in their process, and protection of equipment. Hospitals and pharmaceutical firms need accuracy, redundancy, monitoring, and verified temperatures. The plastics industry requires cooling of process temperatures for tools, moldings, and machinery in their production process.
Market Breakup by Region
- Baja California
- Northern Mexico
- The Bajio
- Central Mexico
- Pacific Coast
- Yucatan Peninsula
Key Insight: The Central Mexico region is essential for providing cooling systems for concentrated commercial, institutional, and industrial use, while Baja California requires cooling systems due to manufacturing and border-related facilities that require efficient thermal systems. The Northern Mexico chiller market growth is driven by export manufacturing as well as heavy industry loads, while The Bajio region is becoming increasingly popular because of its auto and advanced manufacturing. The Pacific Coast region is driven by hospitality, food processing, and climate factors, while the Yucatan Peninsula needs humidity resistant cooling systems.
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Mexico Chiller Market Share
Water-cooled chillers lead the market growth as large facilities prioritize capacity and efficiency
Water-cooled chillers continue to dominate the Mexico chiller market owing to the need for higher capacities and stable performance from commercial and industrial facilities that emphasize reliable heat rejection. The ability of such machines to handle continuous loads is of particular importance when dealing with process-based facilities. In addition, users are considering options to improve overall efficiency through the optimization of condenser water use, variable speed pumping, and automation technologies. Suppliers are increasingly offering complete solutions comprising chillers, pumps, cooling towers, and building management systems. For example, in August 2026, Ecochillers joined Gradian’s expanded thermal management platform, combining high-efficiency chillers, heat pumps, and cooling systems for data centers and industrial applications.
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Air-cooled chillers are the fastest growing cooling segment in the Mexico chiller market as users look for easier installations, reduced water consumption and more versatile application. The suitability of air-cooled chillers for factory and commercial buildings, as well as for situations when water is not readily available or operation of the cooling tower is problematic, increases their adoption. Suppliers are also improving their designs with better inverter compressors, heat exchangers and modular systems to ensure good performance in the high-temperature Mexican environment.
By compressor type, screw chillers dominate the market as industrial buyers balance capacity, reliability, efficiency
The screw segment of compressors accelerates the Mexico chiller market revenue growth due to its balanced combination of capacity, reliability, and flexibility of operation within facilities. The ability to operate under changing loads makes them applicable for manufacturing plants, food processing, plastic and chemical industries where it is necessary to provide reliable, chilled water supply. In January 2024, Carrier introduced a lower-GWP refrigerant option for its AquaForce 30HX water-cooled screw chiller, supporting sustainability and regulatory compliance.
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Scroll compressors observe rapid growth in the Mexico chiller market due to the importance of small-sized equipment, silent operation, and efficient operation at variable loads in commercial sector. Invertor scroll technology provides the opportunity to vary the capacity of the equipment without constant starting and stopping of conventional compressors.
By end use, the food and beverage sector accounts for a major share of the market as processors prioritize thermal process control
Food and beverages represent the major end-use application in the Mexico chiller market since processors need to cool processes like fermentation, mixing, packing, cold storage, and ingredients. Chillers facilitate cooling at temperatures at which variation may influence quality of product and efficiency of process. Customers tend to select systems managing loads by consuming less amounts of water and energy. Hygiene in heat transfer, remote monitoring, heat recovery, and controls of refrigeration with respect to plant utilities may help suppliers to stand out. For instance, in February 2026, Sterling expanded GPL and LHE chillers for food and beverage production, supporting precise temperature control and operational efficiency.
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Medical and pharmaceuticals represent the fastest growing end-use application in the Mexico chiller market since manufacturers and healthcare organizations need accurate cooling in order to provide stability and sterility of products and equipment. Chillers should be selected because of stability, reliability, redundancy, and accuracy of delivery of chilled water. For pharmaceutical manufacturing, chillers capable of monitoring and validation of processes and reliable operation are widely selected.
Mexico Chiller Market Regional Analysis
Central Mexico registers the largest market share owing to dense industrial clusters require centralized cooling
The Central Mexico chiller market retains its dominance due to a wide range of cooling needs caused by business, institutional, medical, and manufacturing operations. Metropolitan sites have the need for centralized systems with a number of thermal zones, with existing engineering and servicing infrastructure facilitating commissioning and servicing. Suppliers can satisfy their needs with packages of chillers integrated into building management systems that offer remote monitoring possibilities, thus enabling better performance without disruptions in operational facilities.
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Bajio is the fastest growing regional chiller market in Mexico due to the increase of the cooling needs in the automotive, aerospace, electronics, and manufacturing clusters. The sites require water cooling for machinery, tools, plastics operations, clean rooms, and production facilities. Developers favor modular cooling equipment that can grow together with production lines and not be oversized from the beginning. In March 2026, SEYI launched Bajío operations in Mexico, expanding local customer support, technical services, and industrial equipment accessibility for manufacturers.
Competitive Landscape
The competition within the market revolves around engineering efficiency, localized sourcing, control systems, and particular systems design other than machine capacity. Leading Mexico chiller market players are focusing on providing factory, data center, food processing plant, hospital, hotel, and office buildings with products that ensure steady supply of cold air irrespective of the changing loads. The opportunities for innovation lie in the use of low-GWP refrigerants, inverter compressors, heat recovery, thermal storage, predictive maintenance, and efficient heat rejection systems.
Mexico chiller companies should be able to enhance their competitiveness through local servicing network, inventory of essential spare parts, and training the contractors to avoid installation delay. An area of opportunity also lies in the integration of the chiller plant, which involves the coordination of chillers, pumps, cooling towers, sensors, and building control from one single platform.
Daikin Industries Ltd.
Daikin Industries Ltd., founded in 1924 and based in Osaka, Japan, works in Mexico via its air conditioning business and production operations. It has an array of products including air-cooled chillers, commercial HVAC, and thermal solutions. The company operates based on its focus on local production, efficiency, and use of low GWP refrigerants, controls, and services to commercial and industrial clients.
Carrier Global Corp.
Carrier Global Corp., founded in 1915 and headquartered in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, United States, supplies commercial cooling and lifecycle services. In terms of chillers, Carrier offers air cooled and water cooled chillers; its services include maintenance of equipment. Carrier is noted for its efficiency, reliability, and performance.
LG Corp.
LG Corp. was incorporated in 1947 and is based in Seoul, South Korea. It is increasing its HVAC product line in Mexico through LG Electronics. The chiller line-up has inverter scroll, centrifugal, water-cooled screw, and thermal storage technologies. The company focuses on R32, intelligence, modularity, and remote monitoring for industrial facilities.
Johnson Controls International Plc
Johnson Controls International Plc was incorporated in 1885 and is headquartered in Cork, Ireland. It offers cooling solutions and building management services in Mexico through YORK. The company’s chiller line-up is offered along with automation, controls, and lifecycle services. It is targeting industrial facilities and buildings by enhancing their efficiency at part-load, equipment monitoring, and retrofitting old installations.
Other key players in the market include Trane Technologies Plc, among others.
*Please note that this is only a partial list; the complete list of key players is available in the full report. Additionally, the list of key players can be customized to better suit your needs.*
Key Highlights of the Mexico Chiller Market Report
- Mapping demand according to cooling architecture, compressor technology, industrial application, and regional operating conditions.
- Identifying the shift from standalone chillers toward integrated thermal-management ecosystems combining controls, pumps, sensors, and cooling infrastructure.
- Assessing emerging opportunities in inverter scroll systems, thermal storage, low-GWP refrigerants, and modular cooling packages.
- Evaluating how manufacturing corridors are creating specialized requirements for process cooling, rapid commissioning, and predictive maintenance.
Why Rely on Expert Market Research?
- The analysis connects chiller demand with specific industrial processes instead of treating cooling equipment as one uniform category.
- The report tracks compressor evolution, inverter controls, thermal storage, low-GWP refrigerants, and digital monitoring.
- Demand is interpreted through Mexico’s manufacturing corridors, climate conditions, water considerations, and service ecosystems.
- The analysis considers installation, maintenance, uptime, lifecycle efficiency, and retrofit requirements influencing B2B purchasing decisions.
Call to Action
Unlock the latest insights with our Mexico chiller market trends 2026 report. Discover regional growth patterns, consumer preferences, and key industry players. Stay ahead of competition with trusted data and expert analysis. Download your free sample report today and drive informed decisions in the market.
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*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
Frequently Asked Questions About This Report
In 2025, the market reached an approximate value of USD 233.51 Million.
The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.40% between 2026 and 2035.
The market is assessed to witness a healthy growth in the forecast period to reach around USD 395.10 Million in 2035.
The different compressor types in the market include screw chillers, scroll chillers, reciprocating chillers, centrifugal chillers, and absorption chillers.
The different end uses of chiller are food and beverage, chemicals and petrochemicals, medical and pharmaceutical, and plastics, among others.
The different regions covered in the market report are Baja California, Northern Mexico, The Bajio, Central Mexico, Pacific Coast, and Yucatan Peninsula.
The key players in the market include Daikin Industries Ltd., Carrier Global Corp., LG Corp., Johnson Controls International Plc, and Trane Technologies Plc, among others.
Companies face high electricity costs, water constraints, refrigerant transition requirements, skilled technician shortages, long commissioning cycles, imported-component exposure, and difficult retrofit conditions across operating facilities amid price-sensitive procurement pressures today.
Suppliers are expanding local service networks, integrating smart controls, improving low-GWP systems, developing modular cooling packages, strengthening contractor training, and targeting industrial retrofit opportunities across Mexico’s priority industrial clusters nationwide.
Report Summary
Explore our key highlights of the report and gain a concise overview of key findings, trends, and actionable insights that will empower your strategic decisions.
| REPORT FEATURES | DETAILS |
| Base Year | 2025 |
| Historical Period | 2019-2025 |
| Forecast Period | 2026-2035 |
| Scope of the Report |
Historical and Forecast Trends, Industry Drivers and Constraints, Historical and Forecast Market Analysis by Segment:
|
| Breakup by Type of Cooling |
|
| Breakup by Compressor Type |
|
| Breakup by End Use |
|
| Breakup by Region |
|
| Market Dynamics |
|
| Competitive Landscape |
|
| Companies Covered |
|
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