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Almond Oil prices in Germany, the highest-cost reporting region, rose 5.2% in Q3 2026 to USD 12,200/MT from USD 11,600/MT in Q2, as higher California kernel prices raised pressing costs and cosmetic and food demand stayed steady. United States prices rose 5.8% to USD 10,900/MT, while China prices rose 5.5% to USD 8,650/MT. Globally, the average rose from USD 9,854/MT in Q2 to USD 10,397/MT in Q3, a 5.5% gain, following a decline of 2.1% in Q2. For H2 2026, this market is expected to stay firm, with kernel costs and steady cosmetic demand supporting prices.
Almond Oil is a pale oil pressed from sweet almond kernels, available refined for food and cosmetics or as cold-pressed virgin oil, rich in oleic acid and vitamin E. It is used in skin and hair care, massage oils, soaps, food flavoring and cooking, and as a carrier oil in aromatherapy and pharmaceutical preparations. Because oil is pressed from kernels, often broken or lower-grade ones, its price follows California kernel values and the supply of pressing-grade almonds. Kernel prices and pressing-grade supply, cosmetic and food demand, and pressing costs are what drive prices in this market.
The outlook for Almond Oil through the end of 2026 stays firm. Kernel prices are at their highest level since the 2015/16 drought year, and steady cosmetic demand supports consumption. Contract negotiations for the coming months are likely to hinge on how feedstock costs and demand evolve. Buyers are expected to keep procurement plans flexible, tracking feedstock and freight conditions closely through the fourth quarter.
The main upside risk is a further downgrade of the California crop estimate. The main downside risk is a recovery in kernel supply combined with softer cosmetic demand. Contract negotiations for the coming months are likely to hinge on how feedstock costs and demand evolve. Buyers are expected to keep procurement plans flexible, tracking feedstock and freight conditions closely through the fourth quarter.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 9,150 - 13,054 | Higher kernel prices and steady cosmetic demand keep this market firm |
| Germany | 11,346 - 13,054 | Cosmetic demand sustains the highest price |
| United States | 10,137 - 11,663 | Kernel costs and cosmetic demand support firmness |
| India | 8,696 - 10,005 | Growing personal care demand drives continued gains |
| China | 8,045 - 9,256 | Large-scale pressing capacity keeps this the most affordable market |
Germany Almond Oil prices averaged USD 12,200/MT in Q3 2026, the highest of any region tracked here, up 5.2% from USD 11,600/MT in Q2, as cosmetic and food demand at higher kernel costs kept this market at the top of the range. Buyers continued to absorb the higher offers, with procurement activity staying steady through September and inventories remaining broadly balanced across the supply chain.
Why did the price of Almond Oil change in Q3 2026 in Germany?
German cosmetic and food users paid more for sweet almond oil as kernel costs rose and demand stayed steady. Buyers covered needs for the winter season while sellers held offers firm. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active.
United States Almond Oil prices averaged USD 10,900/MT in Q3 2026, up 5.8% from USD 10,300/MT in Q2, as higher kernel prices lifted pressing costs and offers. Converters and distributors kept order books active through the quarter, accepting the firmer quotations rather than delaying purchases into the fourth quarter. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active.
Why did the price of Almond Oil change in Q3 2026 in United States?
US oil offers rose as kernel prices climbed to their highest since the 2015/16 drought year and pressing costs followed. Buyers covered needs for the winter season while sellers held offers firm. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter.
India Almond Oil prices averaged USD 9,350/MT in Q3 2026, up 5.6% from USD 8,850/MT in Q2, as growing personal care demand lifted offers. Suppliers held offers firm while spot availability stayed limited, which kept sentiment constructive heading into the final quarter of the year. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move.
Why did the price of Almond Oil change in Q3 2026 in India?
Indian personal care manufacturers expanded purchases, and imported oil remained costly. Buyers covered needs for the winter season while sellers held offers firm. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move.
China Almond Oil prices averaged USD 8,650/MT in Q3 2026, the lowest of the four regions, up 5.5% from USD 8,200/MT in Q2, as large-scale pressing capacity kept this market the most affordable. Contract negotiations for the fourth quarter opened with sellers seeking further increases, reflecting the tighter cost structure that producers faced through the period.
Why did the price of Almond Oil change in Q3 2026 in China?
Chinese pressers raised offers modestly as kernel costs rose, while ample capacity limited the increase. Buyers covered needs for the winter season while sellers held offers firm. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active.
Germany prices eased 2.1% in Q2 2026 to USD 11,600/MT from USD 11,850/MT in Q1, the highest of any region tracked here, as firm kernel costs and steady cosmetic demand supported offers. Quarter-end offers reflected the elevated cost base carried over from the first quarter, with buyers pushing back and sellers conceding some ground through June.
Why did the price of Almond Oil change in Q2 2026 in Germany?
In Q2, oil prices eased from the first-quarter level as buyers worked from stocks ahead of the new crop. German buyers accepted firmer offers as kernel costs stayed elevated. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter.
United States prices eased 1.9% in Q2 2026 to USD 10,300/MT from USD 10,500/MT in Q1, within the middle of the range tracked here, as firm kernel costs supported offers. Quarter-end offers reflected the elevated cost base carried over from the first quarter, with buyers pushing back and sellers conceding some ground through June. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move.
Why did the price of Almond Oil change in Q2 2026 in United States?
In Q2, oil prices eased from the first-quarter level as buyers worked from stocks ahead of the new crop. US offers held firm as kernel costs stayed elevated. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move.
India prices eased 2.2% in Q2 2026 to USD 8,850/MT from USD 9,050/MT in Q1, within the middle of the range tracked here, as growing personal care demand lifted offers. Quarter-end offers reflected the elevated cost base carried over from the first quarter, with buyers pushing back and sellers conceding some ground through June. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter.
Why did the price of Almond Oil change in Q2 2026 in India?
In Q2, oil prices eased from the first-quarter level as buyers worked from stocks ahead of the new crop. Indian buyers faced higher import costs while demand grew. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active.
China prices eased 2.4% in Q2 2026 to USD 8,200/MT from USD 8,400/MT in Q1, the lowest of the four regions, as kernel costs lifted offers while capacity capped gains. Quarter-end offers reflected the elevated cost base carried over from the first quarter, with buyers pushing back and sellers conceding some ground through June. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active.
Why did the price of Almond Oil change in Q2 2026 in China?
In Q2, oil prices eased from the first-quarter level as buyers worked from stocks ahead of the new crop. Chinese producers passed through higher costs only gradually. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter.
Global Almond Oil prices firmed gradually through most of 2025, before accelerating sharply in Q1 2026 as California supply concerns and firm export demand lifted almond kernel values and the products made from them, a firmer environment that carried into Q2 and then surged as the new crop came in smaller than expected in Q3 across the regions tracked in this report.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q3 2026 | 10,397 | +5.5% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2026 | 9,854 | -2.1% | ↓ Falling |
| Q1 2026 | 10,068 | +4.0% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 9,677 | +3.9% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 9,311 | +3.2% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2026 | In Progress | - | — In Progress |
Almond Oil firmed across the markets covered in this report through 2025, tracking tightening California supply and steady export demand, with the strongest annual move recorded in United States before the sharp Q1 2026 reversal and the Q3 2026 developments that followed. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move.
Germany prices firmed from about USD 10,800/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 11,400/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 5.6%, the smallest annual move of the four regions. Tightening California supply and steady cosmetic demand lifted pricing through the year. Buyers and sellers tracked tightening California supply and steady export demand closely through the year, and the pattern left this market positioned for the sharp Q1 2026 move that followed.
United States prices firmed from about USD 9,500/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 10,100/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 6.3%, the strongest annual move of the four regions. Tightening California supply and steady cosmetic demand lifted pricing through the year. Buyers and sellers tracked tightening California supply and steady export demand closely through the year, and the pattern left this market positioned for the sharp Q1 2026 move that followed.
India prices firmed from about USD 8,200/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 8,700/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 6.1%. Tightening California supply and steady cosmetic demand lifted pricing through the year. Buyers and sellers tracked tightening California supply and steady export demand closely through the year, and the pattern left this market positioned for the sharp Q1 2026 move that followed.
China prices firmed from about USD 7,600/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 8,050/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 5.9%. Tightening California supply and steady cosmetic demand lifted pricing through the year. Buyers and sellers tracked tightening California supply and steady export demand closely through the year, and the pattern left this market positioned for the sharp Q1 2026 move that followed.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Almond Oil Price Intelligence
Expert Market Research tracks Almond Oil prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining California kernel price and crop data, cosmetic and food demand signals, and pressing cost trends into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the trends covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this pressed nut oil is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
It is used in skin and hair care, massage oils, soaps, food, and as a carrier oil.
The Q3 2026 global average was USD 10,397/MT, ranging from USD 8,650/MT in China to USD 12,200/MT in Germany.
The global average moved from USD 9,854/MT in Q2 2026 to USD 10,397/MT in Q3, a +5.5% change.
Higher California kernel prices raised pressing costs while cosmetic and food demand stayed steady.
The outlook stays firm, with kernel costs and cosmetic demand supporting prices.
China holds the lowest cost, while Germany carries the highest cost given strong cosmetic demand.
This report is updated monthly. Connect with the Expert Market Research team for real-time pricing.
Kernel prices, cosmetic and food demand, and pressing costs.
California supplies most almonds, with Spain and India significant processors and Germany a major consumer.
Buyers can track kernel prices, and benchmark quotes against this report's ranges.
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