Canary Seed Price Trend and Forecast 2026-2027

Canary Seed prices in Belgium, the highest-cost reporting region, eased 5.8% in Q3 2026 to USD 490/MT from USD 520/MT in Q2, as prices eased to about CAD 18 per cwt in July ahead of harvest and new-crop offers arrived, although a harvest delayed to only a quarter complete by 21 September and a forecast 40 percent smaller crop supported firmer bids by October. Spain prices eased 6.0% to USD 470/MT, while Canada prices eased 9.1% to USD 300/MT. Globally, the average eased from USD 442/MT in Q2 to USD 412/MT in Q3, a 6.8% decline, following a gain of 4.7% in Q2. For H2 2026, this market is expected to firm into the fourth quarter, with Canadian production forecast at 140,000 tonnes, down 40 percent, and slow harvest progress supporting prices.

Canary Seed is the small, glossy, yellow seed of the grass Phalaris canariensis, grown mainly in Saskatchewan, Canada, the world's largest producer and exporter, and sold mainly as a bird feed ingredient and increasingly as a gluten-free food grain. It is used in caged and wild birdseed mixes, and as a food ingredient for milk-like beverages, flour, and gluten-free products after dehulling. Because Canada produces most of the world's canary seed and exports more than 90 percent, this market follows Saskatchewan crop size and quality, export demand from Spain, Belgium, and Mexico, and competing crop returns. Canadian crop size and quality, birdseed and food demand, and competing crop returns are what drive prices in this market.

Canary Seed Price Forecast for 2026

The outlook for Canary Seed through the end of 2026 is for firmer prices. Agriculture Canada forecasts 2026-27 production at 140,000 tonnes, down from 235,000 tonnes, with exports of 135,000 tonnes, and the average price forecast near CAD 435 per tonne is expected to rise as stocks tighten. Buyers are expected to keep procurement plans flexible, tracking feedstock and freight conditions closely through the fourth quarter.

The main upside risk is a smaller crop than forecast or quality losses from harvest delays. The main downside risk is larger carry-in stocks and weaker birdseed demand. Contract negotiations for the coming months are likely to hinge on how feedstock costs and demand evolve. Buyers are expected to keep procurement plans flexible, tracking feedstock and freight conditions closely through the fourth quarter.

For the Quarter Ending September 2026

Canary Seed Prices Q3 2026:

• Belgium: USD 490/MT
• Spain: USD 470/MT
• Canada: USD 300/MT
• United States: USD 400/MT

Canary Seed Prices in Belgium

Belgium Canary Seed prices averaged USD 490/MT in Q3 2026, the highest of any region tracked here, down 5.8% from USD 520/MT in Q2, as import demand for birdseed blends kept prices at the top of the range. Buyers held back from fresh commitments and limited procurement to near-term needs, while inventories stayed comfortably supplied across the supply chain.

Why did the price of Canary Seed change in Q3 2026 in Belgium?

Belgian importers and birdseed blenders paid slightly less as new-crop offers appeared, although a smaller Canadian crop supported the outlook. Buyers covered needs selectively as offers adjusted to weekly movements. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active.

Canary Seed Prices in Spain

Spain Canary Seed prices averaged USD 470/MT in Q3 2026, down 6.0% from USD 500/MT in Q2, as the largest import market paid slightly less as harvest started. Sellers offered modest discounts to keep volumes moving, and distributors worked down stocks rather than restocking ahead of the fourth quarter. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active.

Why did the price of Canary Seed change in Q3 2026 in Spain?

Spain, the largest import market, paid slightly less as the new crop reached the market, though a 40 percent smaller Canadian crop is expected to support prices later in the season. Buyers covered needs selectively as offers adjusted to weekly movements. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move.

Canary Seed Prices in Canada

Canada Canary Seed prices averaged USD 300/MT in Q3 2026, the lowest of the four regions, down 9.1% from USD 330/MT in Q2, as Saskatchewan prices eased to about CAD 18 per cwt in July before harvest. Spot activity stayed thin as converters delayed purchases, which kept offers soft and sentiment cautious heading into the final quarter of the year.

Why did the price of Canary Seed change in Q3 2026 in Canada?

Saskatchewan canary seed traded near CAD 18.08 per cwt in late July, then bids firmed to about CAD 0.18 to 0.21 per pound by mid-October as harvest progressed slowly, with only about a quarter of the crop in the bin on 21 September. Buyers covered needs selectively as offers adjusted to weekly movements. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter.

Canary Seed Prices in United States

United States Canary Seed prices averaged USD 400/MT in Q3 2026, down 7.0% from USD 430/MT in Q2, as birdseed demand held steady and import prices eased slightly. Contract discussions for the fourth quarter opened with buyers pressing for lower prices, reflecting the weaker demand picture recorded through the period. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move.

Why did the price of Canary Seed change in Q3 2026 in United States?

US birdseed makers paid slightly less as new-crop offers appeared, with steady demand for wild bird feed blends. Buyers covered needs selectively as offers adjusted to weekly movements. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move.

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

Canary Seed Prices Q2 2026:

• Belgium: USD 520/MT
• Spain: USD 500/MT
• Canada: USD 330/MT
• United States: USD 430/MT

Canary Seed Prices in Belgium

Belgium prices rose 4.0% in Q2 2026 to USD 520/MT from USD 500/MT in Q1, the highest of any region tracked here, as firm birdseed demand supported prices. Quarter-end offers reflected the elevated cost base carried over from the first quarter, with demand holding firm and sellers reluctant to concede ground through June. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter.

Why did the price of Canary Seed change in Q2 2026 in Belgium?

In Q2, prices rose as thin old-crop stocks tightened ahead of the new crop, with cash bids reaching about CAD 0.215 per pound in May. Belgian prices held firm as birdseed demand stayed steady. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter.

Canary Seed Prices in Spain

Spain prices rose 4.2% in Q2 2026 to USD 500/MT from USD 480/MT in Q1, within the middle of the range tracked here, as steady demand held prices. Quarter-end offers reflected the elevated cost base carried over from the first quarter, with demand holding firm and sellers reluctant to concede ground through June. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active.

Why did the price of Canary Seed change in Q2 2026 in Spain?

In Q2, prices rose as thin old-crop stocks tightened ahead of the new crop, with cash bids reaching about CAD 0.215 per pound in May. Spanish prices held steady as demand stayed steady. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move.

Canary Seed Prices in Canada

Canada prices rose 6.5% in Q2 2026 to USD 330/MT from USD 310/MT in Q1, the lowest of the four regions, as prices rose to about CAD 0.215 per pound in May. Quarter-end offers reflected the elevated cost base carried over from the first quarter, with demand holding firm and sellers reluctant to concede ground through June.

Why did the price of Canary Seed change in Q2 2026 in Canada?

In Q2, prices rose as thin old-crop stocks tightened ahead of the new crop, with cash bids reaching about CAD 0.215 per pound in May. Canadian prices rose in May on thin stocks. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed, keeping price discovery active.

Canary Seed Prices in United States

United States prices rose 4.9% in Q2 2026 to USD 430/MT from USD 410/MT in Q1, within the middle of the range tracked here, as steady birdseed demand supported prices. Quarter-end offers reflected the elevated cost base carried over from the first quarter, with demand holding firm and sellers reluctant to concede ground through June.

Why did the price of Canary Seed change in Q2 2026 in United States?

In Q2, prices rose as thin old-crop stocks tightened ahead of the new crop, with cash bids reaching about CAD 0.215 per pound in May. US prices held firm as birdseed demand stayed steady. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter.

Quarterly Canary Seed Price Trends

Global Canary Seed prices fell through 2025 as a large Canadian crop pressured prices, were stable in the first half of 2026, eased in Q3 ahead of harvest, and then began firming in October on a forecast 40 percent smaller crop across the regions tracked in this report. Market participants continued to monitor feedstock and freight conditions closely for signs of the next directional move.

What was Canary Seed Price in 2025?

Canary Seed eased across the markets covered in this report through 2025, tracking a large Canadian crop and weak demand, with the strongest annual move recorded in Belgium before the softer Q1 2026 and the Q3 2026 developments that followed. These conditions were widely expected to remain a key factor shaping offers and procurement planning into the fourth quarter.

Canary Seed Prices in Belgium in 2025

Belgium prices eased from about USD 670/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 510/MT by Q4, a decline of roughly 23.9%, the strongest annual move of the four regions. A large Canadian crop pressured pricing through the year. Buyers and sellers tracked a large Canadian crop and weak demand closely through the year, and the pattern left this market positioned for the softer Q1 2026 that followed.

Canary Seed Prices in Spain in 2025

Spain prices eased from about USD 650/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 490/MT by Q4, a decline of roughly 24.6%. A large Canadian crop pressured pricing through the year. Buyers and sellers tracked a large Canadian crop and weak demand closely through the year, and the pattern left this market positioned for the softer Q1 2026 that followed.

Canary Seed Prices in Canada in 2025

Canada prices eased from about USD 480/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 320/MT by Q4, a decline of roughly 33.3%, the smallest annual move of the four regions. A large Canadian crop pressured pricing through the year. Buyers and sellers tracked a large Canadian crop and weak demand closely through the year, and the pattern left this market positioned for the softer Q1 2026 that followed.

Canary Seed Prices in United States in 2025

United States prices eased from about USD 560/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 420/MT by Q4, a decline of roughly 25.0%. A large Canadian crop pressured pricing through the year. Buyers and sellers tracked a large Canadian crop and weak demand closely through the year, and the pattern left this market positioned for the softer Q1 2026 that followed.

How We Can Help

Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Canary Seed Price Intelligence

Expert Market Research tracks Canary Seed prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining Canadian crop and harvest data, birdseed and food demand signals, and competing crop trends into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the trends covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this bird feed ingredient is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.