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Propylene Oxide prices in Germany, the highest-cost reporting region, rose 5.6% in Q2 2026 to USD 1,580.00/MT from USD 1,496.00/MT in Q1, after a sharp 10.7% jump in Q1 alone as Middle East tensions lifted crude and propylene feedstock costs across Europe. The United States moved in the opposite direction entirely, with prices falling 7.3% in Q1 to USD 1,187.00/MT before stabilizing with a modest 1.9% rebound to USD 1,210.00/MT in Q2, as weak downstream demand and surplus domestic feedstock pulled the market lower even as the rest of the world tightened. Globally, the average rose from USD 1,227.75/MT in Q1 to USD 1,279.25/MT in Q2, a 4.2% gain. For H2 2026, a global average of USD 1,220.00-1,380.00/MT is expected, with this unusual regional split likely to persist.
Propylene Oxide, commonly abbreviated PO, is a reactive epoxide produced from propylene through either the chlorohydrin process or newer peroxide-based routes, serving as the key intermediate for polyether polyols used in polyurethane foams, propylene glycol, and various surfactants. Its largest end use, polyurethane foam, feeds into construction insulation, automotive seating, furniture, and appliances, making demand closely tied to housing and vehicle production cycles. Propylene feedstock costs, which have diverged sharply between regions amid recent geopolitical shipping tensions, regional plant outages and maintenance schedules, and downstream polyurethane and surfactant demand are what drive prices in this market.
The outlook for Propylene Oxide through H2 2026 points to a continuation of the unusual regional split seen through the first half of the year. Germany and Japan should stay firm as Middle East-linked feedstock cost pressure persists, while the United States looks likely to see only a gradual recovery given its surplus domestic feedstock position and comparatively weak downstream construction and housing demand.
The main upside risk is a further escalation of Middle East shipping tensions, which would push European and Asian feedstock costs even higher. The main downside risk is a faster-than-expected recovery in US housing and construction activity, which could tighten the domestic market more quickly than currently expected and narrow the unusual regional price gap.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 1,220.00 - 1,380.00 | Regional split between firm Asia-Europe and soft US persists |
| Germany | 1,550.00 - 1,700.00 | Feedstock cost pressure sustains the highest regional price |
| Japan | 1,200.00 - 1,320.00 | Supply tightening keeps this market firm |
| United States | 1,180.00 - 1,280.00 | Surplus feedstock and weak demand limit recovery |
| China | 1,140.00 - 1,220.00 | Gradual recovery from 2025's oversupplied conditions |
German Propylene Oxide prices averaged USD 1,580.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 5.6% from USD 1,496.00/MT in Q1, extending the sharp feedstock-driven gains seen earlier in the year.
Why did the price of Propylene Oxide change in Q2 2026 in Germany?
Middle East tensions kept crude and propylene feedstock costs elevated, and rerouted shipping continued raising freight and insurance premiums, keeping landed costs high across the German and broader European market.
Japanese prices averaged USD 1,230.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 5.5% from USD 1,166.00/MT in Q1, as supply tightening continued supporting the market.
Why did the price of Propylene Oxide change in Q2 2026 in Japan?
Regional maintenance and unexpected outages continued reducing export availability across Asia, tightening spot supply and prompting sellers to maintain firm offers even as the pace of gains moderated slightly from Q1's sharper move.
US Propylene Oxide prices averaged USD 1,210.00/MT in Q2 2026, up a modest 1.9% from USD 1,187.00/MT in Q1, a partial stabilization after the sharp Q1 decline driven by weak demand and surplus feedstock.
Why did the price of Propylene Oxide change in Q2 2026 in the United States?
Easing feedstock propylene costs and rising domestic inventories reduced immediate cost pressure, though short-term tightness from outages and cautious buying supported a modest rebound after the steep first-quarter correction.
Chinese prices averaged USD 1,165.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 4.0% from USD 1,120.00/MT in Q1, continuing a gradual recovery from the oversupplied conditions that had characterized 2025.
Why did the price of Propylene Oxide change in Q2 2026 in China?
Improving downstream demand from polyether polyol and polyurethane manufacturers, combined with the broader Asian supply tightening, continued lifting Chinese prices out of the prior year's oversupplied conditions.
German prices jumped 10.7% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,496.00/MT from USD 1,352.00/MT in Q4 2025, driven by sharp feedstock cost increases tied to Middle East tensions.
Why did the price of Propylene Oxide change in Q1 2026 in Germany?
Middle East tensions lifted crude and propylene prices, increasing production costs and supporting firmer offers, while rerouted shipping increased freight and insurance premiums, raising landed costs across the European market.
Japanese prices surged 11.4% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,166.00/MT from USD 1,047.00/MT in Q4 2025, driven by regional supply tightening.
Why did the price of Propylene Oxide change in Q1 2026 in Japan?
Regional maintenance and unexpected outages reduced export availability across Asia, tightening spot supply significantly and prompting seller firmness even as rerouted shipping added further cost pressure.
US prices fell sharply, down 7.3% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,187.00/MT from USD 1,281.00/MT in Q4 2025, reflecting weak downstream demand and surplus feedstock even as the rest of the world tightened.
Why did the price of Propylene Oxide change in Q1 2026 in the United States?
The March correction followed easing feedstock propylene costs and rising domestic inventories, which reduced immediate cost pressure even though geopolitical tensions had pushed crude prices higher earlier in the quarter; logistics remained functional, limiting any disruption-driven premium domestically.
Chinese prices rose 4.2% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,120.00/MT from USD 1,075.00/MT in Q4 2025, as the market began recovering from 2025's persistent oversupply.
Why did the price of Propylene Oxide change in Q1 2026 in China?
Marginally improving downstream demand, combined with the broader tightening seen across the Asian supply chain, began reversing the persistent oversupply that had weighed on Chinese prices through most of 2025.
Global Propylene Oxide prices moved only modestly through most of 2025 before diverging sharply by region in early 2026, with Germany and Japan surging on Middle East-linked feedstock and freight cost pressure even as the United States moved in the opposite direction on weak domestic demand and surplus supply, an unusual split that continued into Q2.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q2 2026 | 1,279.25 | +4.2% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2026 | 1,227.75 | +3.8% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 1,182.40 | +2.3% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 1,155.40 | +0.3% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2025 | 1,152.30 | - | — Stable |
| Q3 2026 | In Progress | - | — In Progress |
Propylene Oxide told a genuinely divergent story across 2025 and into 2026. Germany and Japan posted firm annual gains as feedstock costs and regional supply tightening built through the year, while the United States saw an outright annual decline as weak downstream demand and ample domestic feedstock kept that market under persistent pressure.
German prices firmed from about USD 1,250.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,352.00/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 8.2%, the strongest annual increase of the four regions, before the even sharper Q1 2026 feedstock-driven jump.
Japanese prices firmed from about USD 980.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,047.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 6.8%, as regional supply conditions gradually tightened through the year.
US prices declined from about USD 1,350.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,281.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 5.1%, the only region among the four to post a negative annual figure, as weak downstream demand and ample domestic feedstock supply weighed on the market throughout the year.
Chinese prices declined from about USD 1,100.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,075.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 2.3%, as persistent oversupply and weak seasonal demand kept this market under pressure for most of the year before recovering into 2026.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Propylene Oxide Price Intelligence
Expert Market Research tracks Propylene Oxide prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining propylene feedstock cost data, regional plant outage and maintenance schedules, and polyurethane and surfactant demand signals into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the unusual regional divergence covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this essential polyurethane intermediate is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
It serves as the key intermediate for polyether polyols used in polyurethane foams, propylene glycol, and various surfactants, with polyurethane foam feeding into construction insulation, automotive seating, furniture, and appliances.
The Q2 2026 global average was USD 1,279.25/MT, ranging from USD 1,165.00/MT in China to USD 1,580.00/MT in Germany.
The global average rose from USD 1,182.40/MT in Q4 2025 to USD 1,227.75/MT in Q1 2026 and then to USD 1,279.25/MT in Q2, though this masks a sharp divergence between surging European and Japanese prices and a declining US market.
Weak downstream construction and housing demand, combined with surplus domestic feedstock supply, pulled US prices lower even as Middle East-linked shipping tensions pushed feedstock costs and prices higher in Germany, Japan, and other regions.
The global average is expected in the USD 1,220.00-1,380.00/MT range, with the unusual regional split between firm Asia-Europe and a soft US market likely to persist.
China holds the lowest cost among the regions tracked here, while Germany carries by far the highest cost given sustained feedstock cost pressure tied to Middle East shipping tensions.
This report is updated monthly. For real-time pricing intelligence, connect with the Expert Market Research team.
Propylene feedstock costs, which have diverged sharply between regions amid recent geopolitical shipping tensions, regional plant outages and maintenance schedules, and downstream polyurethane and surfactant demand.
China holds the largest production capacity, with the United States, Germany, and Japan also maintaining substantial manufacturing bases tied to their domestic polyurethane industries.
Buyers can monitor the regional divergence between US and Asia-Europe market conditions given its outsized influence on sourcing decisions, time forward purchases around the quarterly breakdowns in this report, and benchmark supplier quotes against the tracked price ranges.
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