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Triple superphosphate (TSP) is a phosphate fertilizer produced from phosphate rock and phosphoric acid through acidulation, used extensively as a high-phosphorus crop application fertilizer across row-crop agriculture. Phosphate rock feedstock costs, and fertilizer demand dynamics all feed into the price.
Global TSP prices in Q1 2026 stood at USD 0.635 per KG in Europe, the highest among tracked markets, USD 0.612 per KG in Sub-Saharan Africa, USD 0.554 per KG in Northeast Asia, and USD 0.535 per KG in North America, the most competitively priced tracked market. Europe held the highest tracked price on import dependency and elevated processing costs, while North America benefited from integrated phosphate rock supply and production scale. Steady fertilizer demand and seasonal crop cycle effects continued to underpin consumption across all tracked regions.
TSP prices held close to Q1 2026 levels through August 2026, tracking regional phosphate rock feedstock cost differentials, as steady fertilizer demand and seasonal crop cycle effects continued to support the market across all tracked regions.
The supply-demand balance for TSP through the remainder of 2026 is expected to firm modestly as the Northern Hemisphere spring planting season intensifies in Q2. Phosphate rock supply from Morocco and the Middle East remains the critical variable. Crop planted area projections for 2026 are supportive of healthy fertiliser demand. The primary upside risk is renewed phosphate rock supply tightness; the primary downside risk is moderation in crop commodity prices reducing farmer investment in fertiliser inputs.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/KG) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 0.53 – 0.58 | Seasonal demand recovery as spring planting cycle firms; supply balance broadly supportive |
| Europe | 0.63 – 0.67 | Spring application season demand and logistics cost floor sustain premium position |
| North America | 0.53 – 0.58 | US corn belt spring planting season supports mid-year demand recovery |
| Northeast Asia | 0.55 – 0.60 | Chinese export policy and Southeast Asian crop cycles anchor pricing |
| Sub-Saharan Africa | 0.60 – 0.65 | West and East African planting seasons sustain logistics-adjusted premium |
European TSP averaged USD 0.635/KG in Q1 2026, a marginal 0.6% decline from Q4 as the winter inter-season period limited new procurement. Import logistics costs held firm and pre-season forward buying by distributors toward the end of Q1 provided partial support.
Why did the price of TSP change in Q1 2026 in Europe?
The winter inter-season period limited the demand pull from the agricultural sector. Sustained logistics and compliance costs maintained the cost floor, producing only a 0.6% decline. Early spring pre-season buying at the end of Q1 provided partial support ahead of the application season.
North American TSP averaged USD 0.535/KG in Q1 2026, down 12.0% from Q4 as the winter inter-season low demand period set in. Adequate dealer inventory and continuing import arrivals kept supply available while buyer activity was reserved for the approaching spring corn planting season.
Why did the price of TSP change in Q1 2026 in North America?
The US winter inter-season period reduced demand activity significantly. Adequate dealer inventory from Q4 supply arrivals allowed buyers to defer restocking. The 12.0% Q1 decline represented the seasonal low before spring planting demand began lifting prices toward Q2 2026.
Northeast Asian TSP averaged USD 0.554/KG in Q1 2026, declining 7.6% from Q4 as Chinese export quota relaxation released additional supply and Southeast Asian demand moderated post-crop-cycle. The Q2 2026 stabilisation around USD 0.558/KG confirms the market found its seasonal base.
Why did the price of TSP change in Q1 2026 in Northeast Asia?
Increased Chinese export supply availability in Q1, combined with moderating Southeast Asian demand following the main crop cycle, drove the 7.6% quarterly decline. The Q2 2026 stabilisation confirms that the market found a seasonal floor in Q1 2026.
Sub-Saharan African TSP averaged USD 0.612/KG in Q1 2026, declining 3.6% from Q4 as the main Eastern African planting season concluded. Continuing North African import arrivals maintained supply. The region retained its premium position due to persistent logistics and port handling costs.
Why did the price of TSP change in Q1 2026 in Sub-Saharan Africa?
The completion of the main Eastern African planting season reduced the procurement urgency. Continued import arrivals from North Africa maintained supply. The persistent logistics cost premium kept Sub-Saharan African prices above global benchmarks, limiting the Q1 decline to 3.6%.
European TSP averaged USD 0.639/KG in Q4 2025, a contained 1.5% decline from the Q3 peak. Post-harvest demand eased, but import logistics costs and EU cadmium content regulations maintained a cost floor. Pre-emptive buyer restocking ahead of Q1 2026 price uncertainty provided partial support.
Why did the price of TSP change in Q4 2025 in Europe?
Post-harvest demand easing reduced spot procurement activity. Sustained import freight costs and EU cadmium content regulations maintained the cost floor, limiting the Q4 decline to 1.5% and keeping Europe as the highest-priced reporting region throughout the quarter.
North American TSP averaged USD 0.608/KG in Q4 2025, a 7.2% seasonal correction from Q3 as the US Midwest corn belt application season concluded. Continuing import arrivals from Morocco and domestic production maintained supply while buyer procurement fell sharply, driving the decline.
Why did the price of TSP change in Q4 2025 in North America?
The conclusion of the US corn belt application season removed the seasonal demand premium that had supported Q2 and Q3 prices. Continuing import arrivals and adequate domestic supply maintained availability while buyer procurement activity fell, producing the 7.2% Q4 correction.
Northeast Asian TSP averaged USD 0.600/KG in Q4 2025, a contained 2.9% decline from Q3. Chinese export quota management limited supply, and domestic autumn application demand provided buying support. The Northeast Asian correction was the most contained globally.
Why did the price of TSP change in Q4 2025 in Northeast Asia?
Chinese export quota discipline maintained constrained international supply, limiting the Q4 price decline to 2.9%. Ongoing domestic and Southeast Asian agricultural demand provided partial support, keeping the Northeast Asian market more resilient than Western benchmarks.
Sub-Saharan African TSP averaged USD 0.635/KG in Q4 2025, a 1.9% correction from Q3. The early phases of the Eastern African planting season maintained some procurement activity. Persistent import and logistics cost premiums from North African origins limited the downside.
Why did the price of TSP change in Q4 2025 in Sub-Saharan Africa?
The gradual onset of the Eastern African planting season maintained buying activity through Q4, spreading demand over a longer period. Persistent import and logistics cost premiums from North African supply origins kept the delivered price above global benchmarks, limiting the Q4 decline to 1.9%.
TSP prices followed a sharp seasonal surge in Q2 and Q3 2025 before retreating in Q4 and Q1 2026. The global average rose 38.1% from Q1 to Q3 2025 on phosphate supply constraints and agricultural demand, then corrected 18.9% from the Q3 peak to Q1 2026. The Q2 2026 trajectory indicates stabilisation as the next seasonal demand cycle begins.
| Quarter | Price (USD/KG) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q1 2026 | 0.536 | -12.3% | ↓ Falling |
| Q4 2025 | 0.611 | -7.5% | ↓ Falling |
| Q3 2025 | 0.660 | +18.2% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2025 | 0.559 | +16.9% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2025 | 0.478 | - | - Stable |
| Q2 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
TSP prices followed a rise-and-retreat pattern through 2025. The global average opened Q1 at USD 0.478/KG and climbed 38.1% to USD 0.660/KG by Q3, driven by phosphate rock tightness and Northern Hemisphere spring planting demand. Q4 reversed with a 7.5% correction as seasonal demand waned, closing the year at USD 0.611/KG - a full-year gain of 27.8%.
European TSP rose from USD 0.537/KG in Q1 to USD 0.649/KG in Q3 before easing to USD 0.639/KG in Q4, a full-year gain of 19.0%. Import dependency on North African and Middle Eastern phosphate, freight costs, and EU regulatory compliance kept Europe as the highest-priced reporting region.
North American TSP rose from USD 0.477/KG in Q1 to USD 0.655/KG in Q3 as the spring US corn planting season drove procurement. A 7.2% Q4 correction to USD 0.608/KG followed the application season close. The full-year gain was 27.5%, matching the global trend.
Northeast Asian TSP rose from USD 0.495/KG in Q1 to USD 0.618/KG in Q3 on Southeast Asian crop cycle demand. Q4 eased 2.9% to USD 0.600/KG, a full-year gain of 21.3%. Chinese export quota policy was the dominant structural pricing driver through 2025.
Sub-Saharan African TSP rose from USD 0.480/KG in Q1 to USD 0.647/KG in Q3, driven by Eastern and Southern African planting season buying. A modest Q4 correction to USD 0.635/KG left the full-year gain at 32.3%. Import logistics costs from Moroccan and Egyptian origins maintain a structural delivered-price premium.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time TSP Price Intelligence
Expert Market Research tracks TSP prices across Europe, North America, Northeast Asia, and Sub-Saharan Africa, tracing every move through phosphate rock supply dynamics, freight rates, and agricultural planting season cycles. Forecasts integrate trade flow data and crop area projections. Contact us for TSP pricing data and procurement advisory.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
Crop nutrition in cereal, oilseed, and horticulture agriculture accounts for approximately 80% of global TSP demand, making it a foundational phosphate fertiliser for both food and commodity crop systems. Industrial phosphate chemistry and compound fertiliser blending absorb the remaining 20%. TSP is valued for its high phosphorous pentoxide content of approximately 46%.
In Q1 2026, TSP averaged USD 0.635/KG in Europe, USD 0.535/KG in North America, USD 0.554/KG in Northeast Asia, and USD 0.612/KG in Sub-Saharan Africa. The global average stood at USD 0.536/KG, reflecting the post-peak seasonal correction following the Q3 2025 high.
TSP prices rose sharply through Q2 and Q3 2025 as phosphate supply tightened and seasonal agricultural demand surged, with the global average climbing from USD 0.478/KG in Q1 to USD 0.660/KG in Q3. A seasonal correction in Q4 brought the global average to USD 0.611/KG, a full-year gain of 27.8% from the Q1 opening level.
Phosphate rock supply tightness from key North African export regions drove the Q2 and Q3 surge. The Northern Hemisphere spring planting season amplified demand across Europe and North America. The Q4 correction followed the seasonal application period close, with additional supply entering the market and buyer procurement activity declining sharply.
The global average TSP price is expected to range between USD 0.53/KG and USD 0.58/KG for the remainder of 2026, supported by the spring and summer planting season demand cycles. Europe is forecast to maintain a premium position at USD 0.63 to USD 0.67/KG, while Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to range between USD 0.60 and USD 0.65/KG.
Europe consistently holds the highest TSP prices due to import dependency, freight costs, and EU cadmium content regulatory compliance. Sub-Saharan Africa maintains a logistics-adjusted premium reflecting port and inland handling costs. North America and Northeast Asia compete closely, with Chinese export policy a key variable for the Northeast Asian market.
This report is updated monthly. For real-time pricing intelligence, contact the Expert Market Research team directly.
Phosphate rock is the key upstream feedstock for triple superphosphate, concentrated in Morocco, the Middle East, and China. Supply disruptions or export policy changes in these regions directly drive global TSP price volatility. Morocco's OCP Group controls a substantial share of global phosphate rock exports.
TSP demand peaks in Q2 and Q3 ahead of the main Northern Hemisphere application windows in Europe and North America. Sub-Saharan African and Southeast Asian buying provides a secondary demand cycle. Procurement concentrates in short pre-season windows, amplifying quarterly price volatility.
EU cadmium content regulations limit eligible supply sources for European buyers, adding a compliance premium. North American labelling and content standards also add cost. These frameworks create structural price premiums in developed markets relative to global benchmarks.
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