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Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Size, Share, Trends: By Type: Industrial and Logistics, Offices, Multi-family, Hospitality, Retail; Regional Analysis; Market Dynamics: SWOT Analysis, Porter’s Five Forces Analysis, Key Indicators for Demand, Key Indicators for Price; Competitive Landscape; Key Trends and Developments in the Market; 2024-2032
Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Outlook
The Australia commercial real estate market size reached USD 33.88 billion in 2023. The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.9% between 2024 and 2032, reaching almost USD 67.61 billion by 2032.
Key Takeaways:
- As reported by Commercial Real Estate, the value of investment-grade industrial property in Australia is projected to surpass that of office property for the first time by 2026. This shift is attributed to the rising values of logistics real estate, driven by the expansion of e-commerce and the construction of larger facilities to accommodate this growth.
- According to the 2023 Institutional Real Estate Allocations Monitor, global institutional investors are expected to maintain target allocations to real estate at 10.8% in 2024.
- As per industry reports, Asia Pacific-based investors, with the lowest real estate allocation among major regions, anticipate increasing their target allocation to 10.0%, while EMEA-based investors, with the highest allocation, forecast a slight reduction to 11.3%.
In 2020, the Australia commercial real estate market underwent significant change due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with flexible work arrangements and increased e-commerce altering market dynamics. Despite disruptions, opportunities emerged for investors, landlords, and occupiers. In 2022, commercial real estate entered a new era in Australia, with low-interest rates, government stimulus, and a rebounding population driving market optimism. Investors benefitted from favourable conditions, including cheap debt and structural shifts, while urbanisation and population growth remained key market drivers.
The sector witnessed notable trends such as improved accessibility, shared office spaces, and digital connectivity. However, challenges loomed, particularly with climate concerns prompting the need for innovation to sustain growth. Even before the pandemic, a decline in commercial building activity was anticipated, yet prime office spaces in Melbourne and Sydney maintained high demand and limited vacancy rates.
The rise of flexible workspaces gained traction, offering companies temporary leasing options amid uncertain market conditions. Despite fluctuations, office real estate investment remained steady, partly due to the pandemic’s impact. Meanwhile, industrial and logistics sales surged, led by ESR’s record-breaking acquisition of the Milestone logistics portfolio.
Retail investment activity rebounded despite ongoing challenges faced by malls, driven by a resurgence in retail transactions. Foreign investment in the commercial real estate market in Australia varied, with the USA and Germany showing confidence in the market, while others reduced their commitments.
Regional transaction activities varied, with New South Wales dominating commercial real estate transactions, while Western Australia witnessed a smaller share. A rebound in overseas migration and tourism supported Australia's services sector, prompting a GDP growth forecast upgrade by the IMF.
Institutional investors anticipate steady real estate allocations globally, with Asia Pacific-based investors expected to increase their target allocation. Despite challenges, the Australian property market remains resilient, poised for further growth amidst evolving market dynamics and investor confidence.
Market Segmentation
Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Report and Forecast 2024-2032 offers a detailed analysis of the market based on the following segments:
Market Breakup by Type
- Industrial and Logistics
- Offices
- Multi-family
- Hospitality
- Retail
Market Breakup by Region
- New South Wales
- Victoria
- Queensland
- Western Australia
- Australian Capital Territory
- Others
Competitive Landscape
Key players in the commercial real estate in Australia develop and provide properties and services to support the end-users.
- Meriton Group
- Frasers Property Australia Pty Limited
- Stockland Corporation Limited
- Mirvac Limited
- ABN Group
- Knight Frank Australia Pty Ltd.
- Colliers International
- Gorman Allard Shelton Pty Ltd.
- Others
Key Highlights of the Report
| REPORT FEATURES | DETAILS |
| Base Year | 2023 |
| Historical Period | 2018-2023 |
| Forecast Period | 2024-2032 |
| Scope of the Report |
Historical and Forecast Trends, Industry Drivers and Constraints, Historical and Forecast Market Analysis by Segment:
|
| Breakup by Type |
|
| Breakup by Region |
|
| Market Dynamics |
|
| Competitive Landscape |
|
| Companies Covered |
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*At Expert Market Research, we strive to always give you current and accurate information. The numbers depicted in the description are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the final EMR report.
1 Preface
2 Report Coverage – Key Segmentation and Scope
3 Report Description
3.1 Market Definition and Outlook
3.2 Properties and Applications
3.3 Market Analysis
3.4 Key Players
4 Key Assumptions
5 Executive Summary
5.1 Overview
5.2 Key Drivers
5.3 Key Developments
5.4 Competitive Structure
5.5 Key Industrial Trends
6 Market Snapshot
7 Opportunities and Challenges in the Market
8 Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Overview
8.1 Key Industry Highlights
8.2 Australia Commercial Real Estate Historical Market (2018-2023)
8.3 Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Forecast (2024-2032)
9 Australia Commercial Real Estate Market by Type
9.1 Industrial and Logistics
9.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
9.1.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
9.2 Offices
9.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
9.2.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
9.3 Multi-family
9.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
9.3.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
9.4 Hospitality
9.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
9.4.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
9.5 Retail
9.5.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
9.5.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10 Australia Commercial Real Estate Market by Region
10.1 New South Wales
10.1.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
10.1.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10.2 Victoria
10.2.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
10.2.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10.3 Queensland
10.3.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
10.3.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10.4 Australian Capital Territory
10.4.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
10.4.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10.5 Western Australia
10.5.1 Historical Trend (2018-2023)
10.5.2 Forecast Trend (2024-2032)
10.6 Others
11 Market Dynamics
11.1 SWOT Analysis
11.1.1 Strengths
11.1.2 Weaknesses
11.1.3 Opportunities
11.1.4 Threats
11.2 Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
11.2.1 Supplier’s Power
11.2.2 Buyer’s Power
11.2.3 Threat of New Entrants
11.2.4 Degree of Rivalry
11.2.5 Threat of Substitutes
11.3 Key Indicators for Demand
11.4 Key Indicators for Price
12 Competitive Landscape
12.1 Market Structure
12.2 Company Profiles
12.2.1 Meriton Group
12.2.1.1 Company Overview
12.2.1.2 Product Portfolio
12.2.1.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.2.1.4 Certifications
12.2.2 Frasers Property Australia Pty Limited
12.2.2.1 Company Overview
12.2.2.2 Product Portfolio
12.2.2.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.2.2.4 Certifications
12.2.3 Stockland Corporation Limited
12.2.3.1 Company Overview
12.2.3.2 Product Portfolio
12.2.3.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.2.3.4 Certifications
12.2.4 Mirvac Limited
12.2.4.1 Company Overview
12.2.4.2 Product Portfolio
12.2.4.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.2.4.4 Certifications
12.2.5 ABN Group
12.2.5.1 Company Overview
12.2.5.2 Product Portfolio
12.2.5.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.2.5.4 Certifications
12.2.6 Knight Frank Australia Pty Ltd.
12.2.6.1 Company Overview
12.2.6.2 Product Portfolio
12.2.6.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.2.6.4 Certifications
12.2.7 Colliers International
12.2.7.1 Company Overview
12.2.7.2 Product Portfolio
12.2.7.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.2.7.4 Certifications
12.2.8 Gorman Allard Shelton Pty Ltd.
12.2.8.1 Company Overview
12.2.8.2 Product Portfolio
12.2.8.3 Demographic Reach and Achievements
12.2.8.4 Certifications
12.2.9 Others
13 Key Trends and Developments in the Market
List of Key Figures and Tables
1. Australia Commercial Real Estate Market: Key Industry Highlights, 2018 and 2032
2. Australia Commercial Real Estate Historical Market: Breakup by Type (USD Billion), 2018-2023
3. Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Forecast: Breakup by Type (USD Billion), 2024-2032
4. Australia Commercial Real Estate Historical Market: Breakup by Region (USD Billion), 2018-2023
5. Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Forecast: Breakup by Region (USD Billion), 2024-2032
6. Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Structure
Key Questions Answered in the Report
The market is estimated to be valued at USD 33.88 billion in 2023.
The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.9% between 2024 and 2032.
The commercial real estate market is expected to reach USD 67.61 billion in 2032.
The market is categorised according to its type, which includes industrial and logistics, offices, multi-family, hospitality, and retail.
The key market players are Meriton Group, Frasers Property Australia Pty Limited, Stockland Corporation Limited, Mirvac Limited, ABN Group, Knight Frank Australia Pty Ltd., Colliers International, Gorman Allard Shelton Pty Ltd., and others.
The market is driven by factors that include rise of flexible workspaces, increasing FDI in the market, rapid transformation in the IT and real estate sector, among others.
Commercial property has historically delivered robust returns through a mix of capital appreciation and steady income. Notably, commercial real estate offers a stable income stream, with returns often outperforming those of stocks and displaying lower volatility. This stability underscores the attractiveness of commercial property as an investment option.
In 2023, the top-performing suburbs for both houses and units were exclusively located in Western Australia, South Australia, and Queensland, highlighting the ongoing resilience and vitality of property markets in these states.
Residential vehicle parks and storage facilities present lucrative investment opportunities, delivering high returns without the extensive infrastructure and upkeep demands associated with larger apartment complexes. Additionally, certain segments of the retail and industrial real estate sectors hold the potential for substantial returns.
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