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Understanding the Impact of Trump’s Tax and Spending Package: What the New Law Means for Healthcare

Take a closer look at how President Trump’s 2025 tax and spending plan could affect healthcare, focusing on major Medicaid cuts and policy changes. See how this "big, beautiful bill" might change access to healthcare and funding in the U.S.
How Trumps Tax Bill Reshapes US Healthcare

On July 4, 2025, United States President Donald Trump signed a tax and spending law following a close vote in the House of Representatives, which passed 218 to 214. Referred to as the "big, beautiful bill " by House Speaker Mike Johnson, the legislation fulfills many of Trump’s campaign commitments but has sparked debate, particularly among healthcare professionals and advocates. The legislation extends tax cuts from 2017, temporarily suspends taxes on tips and overtime pay, and reallocates funding toward domestic priorities, including immigration enforcement. At the same time, it includes nearly USD 1 trillion in cuts to Medicaid over the next ten years, raising significant concerns about the healthcare impact of Trump’s tax and spending package on access to care across the country. Let’s delve deeper into the updates.

How Trump's New Tax and Spending Bill Affects Healthcare 

The bill brings major changes to the U.S. economy, including significant effects on healthcare. The bill includes tax cuts for individuals and businesses, but it also impacts how federal healthcare programs are funded and managed. One key element is the elimination of certain healthcare-related taxes, which may benefit medical device manufacturers and health insurers. However, these cuts could lead to reduced funding for public health initiatives in the long run. The package also changes how Medicare pays for some services, which could influence how hospitals and healthcare providers operate.

In addition, the bill extends funding for several health programs, such as community health centers and children’s health insurance, providing short-term stability for millions of Americans. Still, critics warn that the long-term effects could widen the federal deficit and put pressure on future healthcare funding.

Medicaid Cuts and Healthcare Access Concerns 

Central to the controversy surrounding President Trump’s tax and spending bill are the projected Medicaid cuts totaling nearly USD 1 trillion over ten years. The Congressional Budget Office estimates these cuts will lead to approximately 11.8 million more uninsured Americans, driven by new eligibility requirements such as Medicaid work rules. While Trump and Republican leaders argue that the bill reflects the goals of the Trump healthcare plan (which they claim aims to strengthen government health programs), critics argue that this form of Medicaid reform will instead reduce access to care for the most vulnerable.

Healthcare organizations and Democrats have strongly pushed back. Rick Pollack, President and CEO of the American Hospital Association, emphasized the human cost quoting, "The faces of Medicaid include our children, our disabled, our seniors, our veterans, our neighbors and friends. The real-life consequences of these reductions will negatively impact access to care for all Americans."

Beyond healthcare, the bill also scales back funding for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) and renewable energy. However, these spending cuts do not fully offset the revenue losses expected from the tax reductions, raising concerns about the long-term fiscal impact of the Trump healthcare plan and broader economic strategy.

Below is a summary of the projected healthcare impacts based on Congressional Budget Office (CBO) analyses:

Impact Category Projected Change Over 10 Years Notes
Medicaid Spending Cuts Nearly USD 1 trillion reduction  Includes work requirements and eligibility tightening
Increase in Uninsured Americans Approximately 11.8 million more uninsured Due to policy changes including Medicaid work requirements
Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) Significant funding reductions Contributes to overall budget cuts
Medicare Physician Payments 2.5% increase scheduled for 2026 One-time bump, less than House-proposed inflation offset
State Provider Tax Cap Reduction to 3.5% (down from previous 6%) Affects state revenue streams related to healthcare
National Debt Impact USD 3.3 trillion increase over next decade (CBO projection) Republicans dispute this figure due to accounting methods

 Key Provisions Affecting Healthcare Providers and Medicare

Due to the tight timeline and political pressures, the House was unable to amend the Senate’s version of the bill, which featured deeper healthcare cuts and a higher deficit, causing anxiety among moderate Republicans and fiscal hawks. Among the notable provisions related to the impact of healthcare legislation on Medicaid:

  • A gradual reduction in the cap on state provider taxes to 3.5%, down from the 6% initially proposed by the House.
  • A one-time 2.5% increase in Medicare payments to physicians scheduled for 2026, contrasting with the House’s proposal of longer-term payment increases intended to offset inflation.

These changes will influence the finances of healthcare providers and the availability of care, especially for vulnerable populations relying on Medicaid and Medicare services. While some payments to physicians will see a boost, the overall Medicaid cuts raise concerns about the longer-term healthcare impact of Trump’s tax and spending package on access to quality care.

Final Thoughts on the Healthcare Landscape Post-Bill 

As this law takes effect, many people like lawmakers, doctors, and patient groups will watch closely to see how it affects healthcare. The cuts to Medicaid and changes in funding could mean millions of people might lose their coverage or have a harder time getting the care they need. However, supporters say the bill helps manage government spending better and keeps promises made during the campaign.

The outcome will depend on how the Trump administration executes promised actions to address concerns and how states respond to the new Medicaid requirements. Also, Healthcare groups like the American Hospital Association have committed to ongoing efforts to address and reduce the potential negative impacts of the bill. At the same time, the financial consequences are fueling continued discussions about the national debt, government spending priorities, and the future direction of the U.S. healthcare policies.

About The Author

Anushka Mehrotra

Market research and estimation professional with over 3 years of experience in the healthcare sector, specializing in pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and healthcare services. Proficient in both primary research (surveys and interviews) and secondary research (white papers, annual reports, and healthcare databases). Experienced in qualitative analysis, including vendor mapping, strategic assessment tools (SWOT, PESTEL, and Porter's Five Forces), and end-to-end report development. Additionally, skilled in competitive intelligence, company landscaping, forecasting, epidemiological data analysis and clinical trial trends.

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30 North Gould Street, Sheridan, WY 82801

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63 Fiona Drive, Tamworth, NSW

+61-448-061-727

C130 Sector 2 Noida, Uttar Pradesh 201301

+91-723-689-1189

40th Floor, PBCom Tower, 6795 Ayala Avenue Cor V.A Rufino St. Makati City, 1226.

+63-287-899-028, +63-967-048-3306

6 Gardner Place, Becketts Close, Feltham TW14 0BX, Greater London

+44-753-713-2163

193/26/4 St.no.6, Ward Binh Hung Hoa, Binh Tan District, Ho Chi Minh City

+84-865-399-124