Avocado Oil Price Trend and Forecast 2026-2027

The US paid the most for avocado oil in Q2 2026: USD 4,517/MT, down 6.2% from USD 4,816 in Q1. That's actually the smallest quarterly drop in over a year, which tells you something. Worldwide, the average fell 5.5%, to USD 4,014/MT from USD 4,247, as the sharp reset that's defined this market since late 2025 finally started to level off. What about H2 2026? We'd expect a global average somewhere in the USD 3,780-4,150/MT range, prices settling into a more normal band after an unusually volatile stretch.

Avocado oil is pressed from the fruit's pulp, extra-virgin cold-pressed grades commanding the steepest premium for salad and finishing use, with refined grades serving higher-heat cooking applications and a cosmetic grade feeding skincare formulations. Mexico dominates global production, Kenya has built a fast-growing export trade of its own, and Peru and the US round out the other major supply bases. Three things move the price more than anything else: the underlying avocado fruit market, since the oil producers compete for the same crop that fresh-fruit exporters want, the Mexican harvest volumes specifically, and how the US-Mexico cross-border trade conditions hold up.

The tie to the fresh fruit market is worth explaining in more detail, since it's really the central mechanism behind everything happening in this report. Avocado oil producers essentially buy whatever fruit doesn't meet the cosmetic standards fresh-fruit exporters demand, meaning oil production expands when fresh-fruit supply is abundant and contracts when it's tight. That's exactly the dynamic that's played out over the past year: a short 2025 fresh-fruit crop pushed oil prices to multi-year highs right alongside fresh-fruit prices, and this year's much stronger harvest has driven both markets down together.

It's a useful reminder that avocado oil isn't really an independent commodity market in the way that, say, olive oil has become. Its pricing dynamics are almost entirely inherited from the fresh avocado market, just amplified somewhat since oil producers are competing for the residual supply left over after the higher-value fresh-fruit trade takes what it needs first.

Avocado Oil Price Forecast for 2026

Supply and demand should stay considerably looser through H2 2026 than they were a year ago. A short 2025 Mexican crop, compounded by a July 2024 safety-related suspension of USDA inspections that briefly snarled the cross-border trade, pushed prices to multi-year highs through most of last year. That's now fully unwound. Mexico's 2026 harvest came in well ahead of expectations, and the cross-border trade has normalized completely, leaving the market considerably better supplied than it's been in years.

Buyers who stayed on the sidelines through last year's price spike have generally been rewarded for their patience, and the current environment looks like a genuinely good entry point for anyone who needs to build inventory or lock in longer-term supply agreements.

What could push prices back up? A weaker-than-expected second half to Mexico's harvest, or a renewed disruption to the cross-border trade. What could pull them even lower? A continuation of the current oversupply, which still has room to run given how strong this year's harvest has been.

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

Avocado Oil Prices Q2 2026:

• Mexico: USD 3,838/MT
• Kenya: USD 3,676/MT
• United States: USD 4,517/MT
• Peru: USD 3,808/MT

Avocado Oil Prices in Mexico

Mexico's avocado oil producers saw the price reset continue this quarter, though at a much gentler pace: down 6.0% to USD 3,838/MT from USD 4,082 in Q1.

Why did the price of Avocado Oil change in Q2 2026 in Mexico?

The steepest part of the correction is behind this market now. A strong harvest kept the supply ample, but the pace of decline finally slowed considerably.

Avocado Oil Prices in Kenya

Kenya fell 5.0% to USD 3,676/MT, the growing export volumes keeping the market well supplied through the period.

Why did the price of Avocado Oil change in Q2 2026 in Kenya?

The export volumes kept building, and that supply growth is what's kept pulling prices lower, even as the pace of decline eased.

Avocado Oil Prices in United States

USD 4,517/MT. That's where the US landed in Q2, down 6.2% from USD 4,816 in Q1, the smallest quarterly drop since the correction began.

Why did the price of Avocado Oil change in Q2 2026 in United States?

The normalized cross-border trade with Mexico is really the story of the past year here, and that normalization is now largely complete, which is why the drop finally slowed.

Avocado Oil Prices in Peru

Peru fell 5.0% to USD 3,808/MT, its Southern Hemisphere season keeping the supply steady through the period.

Why did the price of Avocado Oil change in Q2 2026 in Peru?

Peru's season kept the supply flowing steadily, adding to the broader global oversupply that's been pulling prices down all year.

For the Quarter Ending March 2026

Avocado Oil Prices Q1 2026:

• Mexico: USD 4,082/MT
• Kenya: USD 3,870/MT
• United States: USD 4,816/MT
• Peru: USD 4,008/MT

Avocado Oil Prices in Mexico

Mexico fell 12.0% to USD 4,082/MT, a strong harvest coming in well ahead of expectations as the year opened.

Why did the price of Avocado Oil change in Q1 2026 in Mexico?

The 2026 Mexican harvest came in considerably stronger than expected, and that alone explains the sharp drop this quarter.

Avocado Oil Prices in Kenya

Kenya fell 11.0% to USD 3,870/MT, the export volumes continuing to build as the year began.

Why did the price of Avocado Oil change in Q1 2026 in Kenya?

The export volumes kept building as the year began, adding further supply to an already loosening market.

Avocado Oil Prices in United States

US avocado oil fell 11.8% to USD 4,816/MT, the cross-border trade with Mexico continuing to normalize after 2025's disruptions.

Why did the price of Avocado Oil change in Q1 2026 in United States?

The cross-border trade kept normalizing after last year's disruptions, and that alone drove most of the drop this quarter.

Avocado Oil Prices in Peru

Peru fell 12.0% to USD 4,008/MT, its harvest season adding further supply to the market.

Why did the price of Avocado Oil change in Q1 2026 in Peru?

Peru's harvest added further supply right as the broader market was already correcting sharply.

Quarterly Avocado Oil Price Trends

The global average has fallen in five of the last six quarters, from USD 6,900/MT in Q1 2025 all the way down to USD 4,014 by Q2 2026, a cumulative decline of about 41.8%. That's an unusually sharp move for an agricultural commodity, and it traces back to a short 2025 Mexican crop that briefly spiked prices to multi-year highs, followed by a strong harvest recovery and the full normalization of the cross-border trade that's brought the market back to earth.

What was Avocado Oil Price in 2025?

2025 was a wild year for avocado oil, dominated by a short Mexican crop that pushed prices to multi-year highs before the correction began. The global average opened near USD 6,900/MT in Q1 and had already fallen to USD 4,831 by Q4, a decline of about 30.0%. A short 2025 harvest, combined with a July 2024 safety-related suspension of USDA inspectors that briefly disrupted the cross-border trade, kept prices elevated early in the year before the market started correcting hard as the harvest situation and the trade conditions both improved.

Avocado Oil Prices in Mexico in 2025

Mexican prices fell from about USD 6,800/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 4,640 by Q4, down roughly 31.8%, as the short 2025 crop's grip on the market gave way to signs of a stronger harvest ahead.

Avocado Oil Prices in Kenya in 2025

Kenyan prices dropped from USD 6,200/MT in Q1 to USD 4,348 by Q4, a 29.9% decline, tracking the same broader correction across every region.

Avocado Oil Prices in United States in 2025

US prices fell from USD 7,800/MT in Q1 to USD 5,461 by Q4, down 30.0%, the highest absolute price throughout the four markets even after the correction took hold.

Avocado Oil Prices in Peru in 2025

Peruvian prices moved from USD 6,500/MT in Q1 to USD 4,554 by Q4, a 29.9% decline, as the broader market correction unfolded through the year.

How We Can Help

Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Avocado Oil Price Intelligence

We keep a continuous eye on the avocado oil prices wherever it's pressed or consumed at scale, tracing causation through the underlying avocado fruit market, the Mexican harvest volumes, and the US-Mexico cross-border trade conditions. Our analysts track both the fresh-fruit and oil markets together, given how tightly linked the two are, and we revisit each of the four regions covered here every month. Need pricing data, bespoke market analysis, or procurement advisory? Reach out to our team.