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Biodiesel Pricing, Demand and Supply Overview

Biodiesel prices in Germany, the highest-cost reporting region, edged up 0.6% in Q2 2026 to USD 1,380.00/MT from USD 1,372.00/MT in Q1, recovering modestly after a 2.0% decline in the prior quarter tied to softer transportation-sector demand. The United States held essentially flat at USD 1,310.00/MT, while China eased 0.9% to USD 1,150.00/MT as Asian traders remained in a wait-and-see mode amid ongoing crude oil uncertainty. Globally, the average rose from USD 1,305.12/MT in Q1 to USD 1,307.40/MT in Q2, a marginal 0.2% gain. For H2 2026, a global average of USD 1,230.00-1,450.00/MT is expected, with regional divergence between firm North and South American markets and more cautious Asian and European conditions likely to persist.

Biodiesel is a renewable diesel fuel substitute produced through the transesterification of vegetable oils, animal fats, or waste cooking oil with methanol, yielding fatty acid methyl esters suitable for blending with or replacing conventional petroleum diesel. It serves fuel blending programs mandated by renewable fuel standards across major economies, renewable diesel production, and commercial fleet and transportation applications, with regional mandates and blending requirements playing a significant role in shaping baseline demand. Soybean oil, palm oil, and animal fat feedstock costs, renewable fuel blending mandates, and crude oil price movements are what drive prices in this market.

Biodiesel Price Forecast for 2026

The outlook for Biodiesel through H2 2026 points to continued regional divergence. North American markets should remain supported by strong demand from fuel blending, renewable diesel, and commercial fleet applications, alongside rising feedstock costs for soybean oil and animal fat. Asian markets, particularly China and India, face indirect risk as major consumers of palm and waste-based feedstocks, where any sustained crude oil rally could push input costs higher and squeeze domestic production margins, while European demand has shown some softness tied to the broader transportation sector.

The main upside risk is a further tightening of soybean oil, palm oil, or animal fat feedstock availability combined with strengthening renewable fuel mandates, which could push prices higher than currently forecast. The main downside risk is continued crude oil uncertainty keeping Asian traders in a cautious, wait-and-see posture, which would extend the current subdued conditions in those markets.

Region 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) Outlook
Global Average 1,230.00 - 1,450.00 Regional divergence between the Americas and Asia persists
Germany 1,330.00 - 1,480.00 Recovering from softer transportation sector demand
Brazil 1,320.00 - 1,470.00 Firm feedstock costs support continued gains
United States 1,260.00 - 1,410.00 Strong blending and commercial fleet demand sustains firmness
China 1,100.00 - 1,250.00 Cautious wait-and-see posture limits near-term movement

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

Biodiesel Prices Q2 2026:

  • Germany: USD 1,380.00/MT
  • Brazil: USD 1,370.00/MT
  • United States: USD 1,310.00/MT
  • China: USD 1,150.00/MT

Biodiesel Prices in Germany

German Biodiesel prices averaged USD 1,380.00/MT in Q2 2026, the highest of any region tracked here, up 0.6% from USD 1,372.00/MT in Q1, recovering modestly after the prior quarter's decline.

Why did the price of Biodiesel change in Q2 2026 in Germany?

Demand for biodiesel from the transportation fuel blending sector showed some signs of stabilizing after the prior quarter's softness, allowing this market to recover modestly even as underlying feedstock costs stayed elevated.

Biodiesel Prices in Brazil

Brazilian prices averaged USD 1,370.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 0.7% from USD 1,360.00/MT in Q1, as firm feedstock costs continued supporting this market.

Why did the price of Biodiesel change in Q2 2026 in Brazil?

Firm demand from domestic fuel blending programs, combined with steady feedstock costs for soybean oil and animal fat, kept Brazilian producers holding firm on pricing.

Biodiesel Prices in the United States

US prices held essentially flat at USD 1,310.00/MT in Q2 2026, unchanged from Q1, as strong demand from fuel blending and commercial fleet applications kept this market steady at an elevated level.

Why did the price of Biodiesel change in Q2 2026 in the United States?

Strong demand from the fuel blending, renewable diesel, and commercial fleet markets continued supporting active purchasing activity, with the rise in upstream feedstock prices for soybean oil and animal fat consistently propping up local market prices even as the quarter closed essentially flat.

Biodiesel Prices in China

Chinese prices averaged USD 1,150.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 0.9% from USD 1,160.00/MT in Q1, as Asian traders remained in a wait-and-see mode amid ongoing crude oil uncertainty.

Why did the price of Biodiesel change in Q2 2026 in China?

Chinese traders described conditions as chaotic, with most unwilling to take new positions until crude oil direction becomes clearer, keeping this market in a cautious holding pattern even as cooking oil feedstock prices held steady.

For the Quarter Ending March 2026

Biodiesel Prices Q1 2026:

  • Germany: USD 1,372.00/MT
  • Brazil: USD 1,360.00/MT
  • United States: USD 1,310.00/MT
  • China: USD 1,160.00/MT

Biodiesel Prices in Germany

German prices fell 2.0% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,372.00/MT from USD 1,400.00/MT in Q4 2025, as demand for biodiesel from the transportation sector softened.

Why did the price of Biodiesel change in Q1 2026 in Germany?

The downward pricing movement reflected softening demand for biodiesel from the transportation sector, a European pattern that stood in contrast to the firmer conditions evident in North and South American markets over the same period.

Biodiesel Prices in Brazil

Brazilian prices rose 3.0% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,360.00/MT from USD 1,320.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking firm feedstock costs.

Why did the price of Biodiesel change in Q1 2026 in Brazil?

The rise in upstream prices for feedstocks such as soybean oil and animal fat used in biodiesel production increased production costs and consistently propped up local market prices, supporting continued firm conditions in this major South American producing market.

Biodiesel Prices in the United States

US prices rose 8.3% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,310.00/MT from USD 1,210.00/MT in Q4 2025, driven by strong demand from fuel blending, renewable diesel, and commercial fleet markets.

Why did the price of Biodiesel change in Q1 2026 in the United States?

Strong demand from the fuel blending, renewable diesel, and commercial fleet markets supported active biodiesel purchasing activities and maintained optimistic pricing trends, while the limited availability of local biodiesel production amid scheduled maintenance shutdowns at major plants led to increased competition between fuel blending buyers.

Biodiesel Prices in China

Chinese prices eased 0.9% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,160.00/MT from USD 1,170.00/MT in Q4 2025, as Asian markets moved into a wait-and-see mode amid geopolitical uncertainty.

Why did the price of Biodiesel change in Q1 2026 in China?

Asian markets moved into a wait-and-see mode as traders across China and India paused activity amid geopolitical uncertainty, with cooking oil prices holding steady for over a month, reflecting a feedstock market yet to fully react to the broader energy market shock.

Quarterly Biodiesel Price Trends

Global Biodiesel prices firmed steadily through 2025, with China posting a particularly sharp late-year gain tied to strong transportation fuel blending demand, before regional conditions diverged sharply in Q1 2026, with the Americas continuing to firm on strong blending demand even as Europe softened and Asian markets paused amid crude oil uncertainty.

Quarter Price (USD/MT) QoQ Change Direction
Q2 2026 1,307.40 +0.2% ↑ Rising
Q1 2026 1,305.12 +2.2% ↑ Rising
Q4 2025 1,277.00 +6.3% ↑ Rising
Q3 2025 1,200.80 +3.7% ↑ Rising
Q2 2025 1,157.80 - — Stable
Q3 2026 In Progress - — In Progress

What was Biodiesel Price in 2025?

Biodiesel firmed across every market covered in this report through 2025, tracking rising soybean oil, palm oil, and animal fat feedstock costs alongside firm renewable fuel blending demand, with China posting the strongest annual gain given a particularly sharp late-year surge tied to transportation fuel blending demand.

Biodiesel Prices in Germany in 2025

German prices firmed from about USD 1,250.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,400.00/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 12.0%, before the Q1 2026 softening that followed.

Biodiesel Prices in Brazil in 2025

Brazilian prices firmed from about USD 1,200.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,320.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 10.0%, tracking firm feedstock costs through the year.

Biodiesel Prices in the United States in 2025

US prices firmed from about USD 1,100.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,210.00/MT by Q4, a gain of roughly 10.0%, tracking steady blending mandate demand through the year.

Biodiesel Prices in China in 2025

Chinese prices firmed from about USD 950.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,170.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 23.2%, the strongest annual increase of the four regions, driven by strong late-year demand from the transportation fuel blending industry.

How We Can Help

Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Biodiesel Price Intelligence

Expert Market Research tracks Biodiesel prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining soybean oil, palm oil, and animal fat feedstock cost data, renewable fuel blending mandate trends, and crude oil price signals into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the regional divergence covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this widely used renewable fuel is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.

*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*

Key Questions Answered in the Report

It serves fuel blending programs mandated by renewable fuel standards across major economies, renewable diesel production, and commercial fleet and transportation applications.

The Q2 2026 global average was USD 1,307.40/MT, ranging from USD 1,150.00/MT in China to USD 1,380.00/MT in Germany.

The global average rose from USD 1,277.00/MT in Q4 2025 to USD 1,305.12/MT in Q1 2026 and then to USD 1,307.40/MT in Q2, though this masks a sharp regional divergence between firm American markets and more cautious Asian and European conditions.

North American markets were supported by strong demand from fuel blending, renewable diesel, and commercial fleet applications, European demand softened from the transportation sector, and Asian traders in China and India moved into a wait-and-see mode, pausing activity amid geopolitical uncertainty around crude oil direction.

The global average is expected in the USD 1,230.00-1,450.00/MT range, with regional divergence between the Americas and Asia likely to persist.

China holds the lowest cost among the regions tracked here, while Germany carries the highest cost given elevated European feedstock and production costs.

This report is updated monthly. For real-time pricing intelligence, connect with the Expert Market Research team.

Soybean oil, palm oil, and animal fat feedstock costs, renewable fuel blending mandates, and crude oil price movements.

The United States, Brazil, Germany, and other major agricultural economies maintain substantial production capacity tied to their domestic soybean, palm, and rapeseed oil supply chains.

Buyers can monitor feedstock oil costs and renewable fuel mandate developments given their outsized influence on this market, time forward purchases around the quarterly breakdowns in this report, and benchmark supplier quotes against the tracked price ranges.

This is a collaborative report by Ketan Gandhi, Piyush Gautam and Rakesh Nandi reflecting perspectives and research-driven insights from Expert Market Research.

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