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Ethylene Oxide Prices, Demand and Supply Overview
2025
Base Year
2023-2025
Historical Period
2026-2027
Forecast Period
Market Overview
Ethylene Oxide prices in the United States fell 10.4% in Q2 2026 to USD 1,020.00/MT from USD 1,138.00/MT in Q1, as the sharp Middle East-driven feedstock spike from earlier in the year began unwinding. Globally, the average fell from USD 952.64/MT in Q1 to USD 862.04/MT in Q2, a 9.5% retreat, following a volatile stretch that saw prices collapse through the second half of 2025 on new capacity additions before rebounding sharply in Q1 2026. For H2 2026, a global average of USD 820.00-950.00/MT is expected, with ample production capacity likely to keep a lid on prices even as periodic feedstock-driven volatility continues.
Ethylene Oxide, commonly abbreviated EO, is a highly reactive gas produced by the catalytic oxidation of ethylene, serving as the essential precursor for ethylene glycol, used in antifreeze and polyester fiber production, surfactants for detergents and personal care products, and ethanolamines used in gas treatment and pharmaceutical applications. It is also directly used, in diluted and controlled form, as a sterilization agent for medical devices. Because production is tied so closely to ethylene, its pricing tracks ethylene feedstock costs, crude oil and naphtha economics, and new capacity additions closely, with this market having experienced a genuinely supply-driven repricing through 2025 as several new production units came online.
Ethylene Oxide Price Forecast for 2026
The outlook for Ethylene Oxide through H2 2026 points to continued moderation following the sharp Q1 2026 spike, as ample production capacity added during 2025 continues to weigh on prices even amid periodic feedstock cost volatility. Steady demand from ethylene glycol, surfactant, and sterilization applications should provide a reasonably firm floor, though the structural oversupply that defined much of 2025 has not fully cleared.
The main upside risk is a renewed escalation of Middle East shipping disruptions, which could reignite the kind of sharp feedstock-driven spike seen in Q1 2026. The main downside risk is continued high operating rates at newly added production capacity combined with only modest downstream demand growth, which would extend the oversupply conditions that dominated much of 2025.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 820.00 - 950.00 | Ample capacity caps prices despite periodic volatility |
| United States | 930.00 - 1,100.00 | New production capacity limits further near-term gains |
| Germany | 780.00 - 920.00 | Steady downstream demand supports a moderate premium |
| India | 790.00 - 930.00 | Growing surfactant and glycol demand keeps this market firm |
| China | 660.00 - 790.00 | Ample domestic production keeps this the most affordable market |
For the Quarter Ending June 2026
Ethylene Oxide Prices Q2 2026:
- United States: USD 1,020.00/MT
- Germany: USD 847.00/MT
- India: USD 860.00/MT
- China: USD 727.00/MT
Ethylene Oxide Prices in the United States
US Ethylene Oxide prices averaged USD 1,020.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 10.4% from USD 1,138.00/MT in Q1, as ample feedstock availability and high operating rates at recently added capacity pulled prices back from their Q1 highs.
Why did the price of Ethylene Oxide change in Q2 2026 in the United States?
Ample feedstock availability and high operating rates, a legacy of the new production units that came online through 2025, reasserted themselves once the acute Middle East-driven cost shock from Q1 began fading, pulling prices back down even as downstream monoethylene glycol procurement held steady.
Ethylene Oxide Prices in Germany
German prices averaged USD 847.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 9.4% from USD 935.00/MT in Q1, as the earlier feedstock cost escalation eased.
Why did the price of Ethylene Oxide change in Q2 2026 in Germany?
As shipping conditions through the Strait of Hormuz began normalizing and crude oil prices eased back from their Q1 highs, naphtha and ethylene feedstock costs for German producers retreated in step, pulling finished ethylene oxide prices down from their peak.
Ethylene Oxide Prices in India
Indian prices averaged USD 860.00/MT in Q2 2026, down 6.7% from USD 922.00/MT in Q1, as import economics improved from their Q1 highs even as underlying downstream demand stayed firm.
Why did the price of Ethylene Oxide change in Q2 2026 in India?
Import economics improved as freight and insurance premiums tied to shipping-route disruptions moderated from their Q1 extremes, even as steady demand from surfactant and glycol manufacturers kept underlying consumption firm.
Ethylene Oxide Prices in China
Chinese prices averaged USD 727.00/MT in Q2 2026, the lowest of the four regions, down 10.6% from USD 813.00/MT in Q1, as ample domestic production output continued weighing on this market.
Why did the price of Ethylene Oxide change in Q2 2026 in China?
Ample domestic production output from regional ethylene-based manufacturing facilities continued generating surplus supply conditions, intensifying competitive pricing pressure among regional suppliers even as the broader feedstock cost environment moderated.
For the Quarter Ending March 2026
Ethylene Oxide Prices Q1 2026:
- United States: USD 1,138.00/MT
- Germany: USD 935.00/MT
- India: USD 922.00/MT
- China: USD 813.00/MT
Ethylene Oxide Prices in the United States
US prices jumped 19.8% in Q1 2026 to USD 1,138.00/MT from USD 950.00/MT in Q4 2025, driven by stronger feedstock and export demand as Middle East tensions pushed crude and naphtha costs sharply higher.
Why did the price of Ethylene Oxide change in Q1 2026 in the United States?
The Middle East conflict disrupted shipping corridors, raising freight and insurance costs and tightening import parity, while domestic turnarounds and reduced cracker run rates tightened local availability and drew down merchant inventories, reversing much of the oversupply-driven softness that had defined the second half of 2025.
Ethylene Oxide Prices in Germany
German prices rose 3.9% in Q1 2026 to USD 935.00/MT from USD 900.00/MT in Q4 2025, as feedstock cost escalation began building through the quarter.
Why did the price of Ethylene Oxide change in Q1 2026 in Germany?
Higher crude and naphtha costs, tied to the broader Middle East-driven feedstock repricing, transmitted directly to ethylene oxide production costs and seller offers, reversing the gradual decline that had characterized this market through most of 2025.
Ethylene Oxide Prices in India
Indian prices rose 3.6% in Q1 2026 to USD 922.00/MT from USD 890.00/MT in Q4 2025, as higher crude oil prices pushed feedstock costs up for domestic formulators.
Why did the price of Ethylene Oxide change in Q1 2026 in India?
Feedstock pressure intensified as crude oil and ethylene prices surged, supported by disruptions in key shipping routes and higher import costs, even as downstream demand from construction and new energy sectors remained strong enough to support active restocking.
Ethylene Oxide Prices in China
Chinese prices rose 4.2% in Q1 2026 to USD 813.00/MT from USD 780.00/MT in Q4 2025, a modest gain as rising feedstock costs partially offset the ample domestic supply that had weighed on the market through 2025.
Why did the price of Ethylene Oxide change in Q1 2026 in China?
Higher crude oil and ethylene prices, following disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz that impacted global energy flows, raised feedstock costs, while rising freight rates and logistical disruptions increased the cost of imported ethane, adding further upward pressure even in this typically well-supplied market.
Quarterly Ethylene Oxide Price Trends
Global Ethylene Oxide prices held relatively firm through the first three quarters of 2025 before collapsing sharply in Q4 as substantial new production capacity came online and pushed the market into genuine oversupply, then reversed just as sharply in Q1 2026 as Middle East shipping disruptions drove a feedstock cost shock, before easing again in Q2 as that acute disruption began to pass.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q2 2026 | 862.04 | -9.5% | ↓ Falling |
| Q1 2026 | 952.64 | +8.7% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 876.00 | -24.2% | ↓ Falling |
| Q3 2025 | 1,156.24 | -0.9% | ↓ Falling |
| Q2 2025 | 1,166.42 | - | — Stable |
| Q3 2026 | In Progress | - | — In Progress |
What was Ethylene Oxide Price in 2025?
Ethylene Oxide had a genuinely volatile 2025 across every market covered in this report, holding relatively firm through the first three quarters before a wave of new production capacity additions triggered a sharp, supply-driven price collapse in the fourth quarter, a decline that was not demand-driven but rather a direct result of the step-change in available capacity.
Ethylene Oxide Prices in the United States in 2025
US prices fell from about USD 1,550.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 950.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 38.7%, the steepest annual decline of the four regions, as several new production units came online through the year, adding materially to domestic availability at a time when downstream demand showed little recovery.
Ethylene Oxide Prices in Germany in 2025
German prices fell from about USD 1,050.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 900.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 14.3%, a comparatively more moderate decline reflecting steadier European demand conditions.
Ethylene Oxide Prices in India in 2025
Indian prices fell from about USD 1,020.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 890.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 12.7%, the smallest annual decline of the four regions.
Ethylene Oxide Prices in China in 2025
Chinese prices fell from about USD 950.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 780.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 17.9%, tracking ample domestic production capacity through the year.
How We Can Help
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Ethylene Oxide Price Intelligence
Expert Market Research tracks Ethylene Oxide prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining ethylene feedstock cost data, production capacity utilization trends, and ethylene glycol, surfactant, and sterilization demand signals into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the volatile supply and feedstock trends covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this essential petrochemical intermediate is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.
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*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
Key Questions Answered in the Report
It serves as the essential precursor for ethylene glycol, used in antifreeze and polyester fiber production, surfactants for detergents and personal care products, ethanolamines, and, in diluted form, medical device sterilization.
The Q2 2026 global average was USD 862.04/MT, ranging from USD 727.00/MT in China to USD 1,020.00/MT in the United States.
The global average rose from USD 876.00/MT in Q4 2025 to USD 952.64/MT in Q1 2026 on a Middle East-driven feedstock spike, before easing back to USD 862.04/MT in Q2 as that disruption began to pass.
Several new production units came online during 2025, adding materially to domestic availability at a time when downstream demand from construction-linked chemicals, surfactants, and polyester chains was showing little recovery, resulting in a supply-driven repricing rather than a demand-driven selloff.
The global average is expected in the USD 820.00-950.00/MT range, with ample production capacity likely to cap prices despite periodic feedstock-driven volatility.
China holds the lowest cost given ample domestic production capacity, while the United States carries the highest cost among the regions tracked here.
This report is updated monthly. For real-time pricing intelligence, connect with the Expert Market Research team.
Ethylene feedstock costs, crude oil and naphtha economics, new production capacity additions, and downstream demand from ethylene glycol, surfactant, and sterilization applications.
The United States and China both added substantial new production capacity through 2025, with Germany, India, and other major petrochemical hubs also maintaining significant capacity.
Buyers can monitor new production capacity additions and ethylene feedstock cost trends given their outsized influence on this market, time forward purchases around the quarterly breakdowns in this report, and benchmark supplier quotes against the tracked price ranges given the current volatility.
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