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Fat-Filled Powder Prices, Demand and Supply Overview
The United States paid the most for fat-filled powder in Q3 2026: USD 3,150/MT, up 1.4% from USD 3,107/MT in Q2. High labor costs and steady demand from ice cream and confectionery makers keep American prices above the other three markets. Worldwide, the average rose 1.4% to USD 2,788/MT from USD 2,750/MT, mostly because higher vegetable oil and whey costs and firm demand from ice cream, bakery and confectionery makers led producers to raise prices in all four markets. What about Q4 2026? We expect a global average somewhere in the USD 2,720-2,940/MT range, with vegetable oil and whey prices, energy costs, demand from ice cream and confectionery makers and holiday orders doing most of the work.
Fat-filled powder is a dry mix of vegetable fat with whey, skim milk powder, lactose or milk protein. It is used where cream or whole milk powder would cost more, such as in ice cream, creamers, confectionery, bakery and instant drinks. Prices in this report refer to fat-filled powder with 26 to 28 percent fat in bulk bags and are quoted per metric ton. They depend on vegetable oil and dairy ingredient prices and demand from food makers.
Producers blend the fat with the dairy base, emulsify the mix and spray dry it. Poland, the Netherlands, Germany and the United States are large producers, and the powder moves widely in trade. Food makers buy for steady quality and a lower cost than milk fat products. Palm and coconut oil are the main fats, so vegetable oil markets feed through to prices.
Fat-Filled Powder Price Forecast for 2026
Prices should rise modestly through the rest of 2026. Vegetable oil and whey costs are firm and demand from ice cream and confectionery makers is steady. Ample dairy capacity in Poland limits the size of the increase. The Q3 2026 global average of USD 2,788/MT is 4.3% above the USD 2,673/MT of Q3 2025.
The risks for Q4 are balanced, with no clear tilt either way. What could push prices higher? Higher palm oil or whey prices, lower dairy output or stronger holiday demand would lift prices. What could pull them lower? Lower vegetable oil or whey prices, larger supplies or weaker demand from ice cream makers would lower prices.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 2,720 - 2,940 | Firm vegetable oil and whey costs support a modest rise |
| Poland | 2,390 - 2,585 | Large dairy capacity keeps prices lowest |
| Netherlands | 2,630 - 2,850 | Strong export demand supports prices |
| Germany | 2,780 - 3,005 | High energy costs support prices |
| United States | 3,070 - 3,325 | High costs and strong demand keep prices highest |
For the Quarter Ending September 2026
Fat-Filled Powder Prices Q3 2026:
- Poland: USD 2,450/MT
- Netherlands: USD 2,700/MT
- Germany: USD 2,850/MT
- United States: USD 3,150/MT
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in Poland
Poland's average moved up 1.5% in Q3 2026, to USD 2,450/MT from USD 2,414/MT in Q2. Polish prices rose as the demand from bakery and confectionery makers improved. The year-on-year change is a 4.8% increase, from USD 2,338/MT in Q3 2025. The price in Poland was 12.1% below the group average of USD 2,788/MT in Q3 2026.
Why did the price of Fat-Filled Powder change in Q3 2026 in Poland?
Poland rose. Demand from bakery and confectionery makers improved, whey costs increased, and producers raised prices. This leaves Poland 3.6% higher than at the end of 2025, when the average was USD 2,366/MT, while the global average is 3.2% higher over the same period. Across the four markets the average was 1.4% higher on the quarter.
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in Netherlands
Prices in the Netherlands firmed 1.3% in Q3 2026 to USD 2,700/MT, compared with USD 2,665/MT in Q2. Dutch prices rose as the demand from ice cream and bakery makers improved. The Q3 2026 average is 4.1% above the USD 2,593/MT recorded in Q3 2025. The gap to the four-market average of USD 2,788/MT was 3.2% below for the Netherlands.
Why did the price of Fat-Filled Powder change in Q3 2026 in Netherlands?
The Netherlands rose. Demand from ice cream and bakery makers improved, vegetable oil costs increased, and producers raised offers. From USD 2,618/MT at the close of 2025 to USD 2,700/MT in Q3 2026, the price in the Netherlands has risen 3.1%, and the global average has risen 3.2%. On the global measure the average was 1.4% higher over the quarter.
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in Germany
Germany recorded a 1.2% gain in Q3 2026, with the average reaching USD 2,850/MT against USD 2,816/MT in Q2. German prices rose as the demand from confectionery and bakery makers improved. Compared with Q3 2025, when Germany averaged USD 2,745/MT, the current price is 3.8% higher. Relative to the four-market average of USD 2,788/MT, Germany traded 2.2% above in Q3 2026.
Why did the price of Fat-Filled Powder change in Q3 2026 in Germany?
Germany rose. Demand from confectionery and bakery makers improved, vegetable oil costs increased, and producers raised prices. Across the first three quarters of 2026, Germany has moved up 2.8% from USD 2,772/MT in Q4 2025 to USD 2,850/MT, against a 3.2% gain for the global average. For comparison, the global average moved 1.4% higher over the same quarter.
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in United States
The Q3 2026 average for the United States stood at USD 3,150/MT, an increase of 1.4% on the USD 3,107/MT recorded in Q2. American prices rose as the demand from ice cream and confectionery makers improved. Measured against Q3 2025, when the average stood at USD 3,015/MT, the market is 4.5% higher. This places the United States 13.0% above the four-market average of USD 2,788/MT for Q3 2026.
Why did the price of Fat-Filled Powder change in Q3 2026 in United States?
The United States rose. Demand from ice cream and confectionery makers improved, vegetable oil costs increased, and producers raised prices. Year to date, the United States is 3.2% higher than the Q4 2025 level of USD 3,051/MT, while the global average is 3.2% higher. The global average shifted 1.4% higher in the same quarter.
For the Quarter Ending June 2026
Fat-Filled Powder Prices Q2 2026:
- Poland: USD 2,414/MT
- Netherlands: USD 2,665/MT
- Germany: USD 2,816/MT
- United States: USD 3,107/MT
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in Poland
The Q2 2026 average for Poland stood at USD 2,414/MT, an increase of 1.1% on the USD 2,388/MT recorded in Q1. Polish prices rose as the demand from bakery makers strengthened. Year on year, the average is 5.3% higher, against USD 2,293/MT in Q2 2025. The four markets averaged USD 2,750/MT in the quarter, so the price in Poland was 12.2% lower.
Why did the price of Fat-Filled Powder change in Q2 2026 in Poland?
Poland rose. Demand from bakery makers strengthened, whey costs went up, and producers lifted prices. After a 0.9% gain in Q1, the quarter closed 5.3% above the USD 2,293/MT recorded in Q2 2025. The same direction continued in Q3, with the price reaching USD 2,450/MT. The global average shifted 1.0% higher in the same quarter.
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in Netherlands
The Netherlands registered a 1.0% increase in Q2 2026, taking the average to USD 2,665/MT from USD 2,639/MT in Q1. Dutch prices rose as the demand from ice cream makers strengthened. The current level is 4.4% above the Q2 2025 average of USD 2,553/MT. In comparison with the average of USD 2,750/MT across the four markets, the price in the Netherlands was 3.1% lower.
Why did the price of Fat-Filled Powder change in Q2 2026 in Netherlands?
The Netherlands rose. Demand from ice cream makers strengthened, energy costs went up, and producers lifted offers. This came on top of a 0.8% gain in Q1, and the average ended 4.4% above its level of a year earlier, when it stood at USD 2,553/MT. Q3 added to the change, with the price at USD 2,700/MT.
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in Germany
Germany firmed 0.9% to USD 2,816/MT in Q2 2026, from USD 2,791/MT in Q1. German prices rose as the demand from bakery makers strengthened. A year earlier, in Q2 2025, the average stood at USD 2,702/MT, which makes the current price 4.2% higher. Germany ended the quarter 2.4% above the group average of USD 2,750/MT.
Why did the price of Fat-Filled Powder change in Q2 2026 in Germany?
Germany rose. Demand from bakery makers strengthened, energy costs went up, and producers lifted prices. Q1 had brought a 0.7% gain, and by the end of Q2 the price was 4.2% above the Q2 2025 average of USD 2,702/MT. The move then extended in Q3, taking the price to USD 2,850/MT. On the global measure the average was 1.0% higher over the quarter.
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in United States
In Q2 2026, the average price in the United States rose 1.0% to USD 3,107/MT, compared with USD 3,076/MT in Q1. American prices rose as the demand from ice cream makers strengthened. Taking Q2 2025 as the base, at USD 2,957/MT, the latest quarter is 5.1% higher. The price in the United States was 13.0% above the group average of USD 2,750/MT in Q2 2026.
Why did the price of Fat-Filled Powder change in Q2 2026 in United States?
The United States rose. Demand from ice cream makers strengthened, labor costs went up, and producers lifted prices. Coming after a 0.8% gain in Q1, the Q2 figure sits 5.1% above the USD 2,957/MT of Q2 2025. The same direction continued in Q3, with the price reaching USD 3,150/MT. For comparison, the global average moved 1.0% higher over the same quarter.
Quarterly Fat-Filled Powder Price Trends
Fat-Filled Powder prices rose through 2025 and the first half of 2026 and rose again in the third quarter in all four markets. The global average moved from USD 2,586/MT in Q1 2025 to 2,626 in Q2, 2,673 in Q3 and 2,702 in Q4, then 2,724 in Q1 2026, 2,750 in Q2 and 2,788 in Q3, a net gain of roughly 7.8% across the window. Higher vegetable oil and whey costs and steady demand from ice cream and confectionery makers lifted prices for six quarters.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q3 2026 | 2,788 | +1.4% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2026 | 2,750 | +1.0% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2026 | 2,724 | +0.8% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 2,702 | +1.1% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 2,673 | - | - Stable |
| Q4 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
What was Fat-Filled Powder Price in 2025?
2025 was a year of gradual increases for fat-filled powder, with prices rising in each quarter in all four markets. Starting near USD 2,586/MT in Q1, the global average finished the year at 2,702 in Q4, a gain of about 4.5%. Higher vegetable oil and whey costs and steady demand from ice cream and confectionery makers supported producers throughout the year.
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in Poland in 2025
In Poland, prices moved from about USD 2,254/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,366/MT by Q4, up roughly 5.0%. Polish prices rose gradually as whey costs and demand from bakery makers increased. The Q4 2025 close of USD 2,366/MT compares with USD 2,450/MT in Q3 2026, a 3.6% increase. The quarterly sections above show how the annual average developed over the year.
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in Netherlands in 2025
In the Netherlands, prices moved from about USD 2,517/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,618/MT by Q4, up roughly 4.0%. Dutch prices rose gradually as the energy costs and demand from ice cream makers increased. Relative to the end of 2025, the price in the Netherlands is 3.1% higher at USD 2,700/MT. The quarterly breakdown above allows each stage of that path to be traced.
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in Germany in 2025
In Germany, prices moved from about USD 2,665/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,772/MT by Q4, up roughly 4.0%. German prices rose gradually as the energy costs and demand from bakery makers increased. By Q3 2026 the average for Germany had reached USD 2,850/MT, 2.8% above the Q4 2025 close. The same regional pattern is carried into the quarterly analysis above, where the quarter-by-quarter figures can be traced.
Fat-Filled Powder Prices in United States in 2025
In the United States, prices moved from about USD 2,906/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 3,051/MT by Q4, up roughly 5.0%. American prices rose gradually as the labor costs and demand from ice cream makers increased. The latest quarter places the United States at USD 3,150/MT, which is 3.2% above the level at which 2025 ended.
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We keep a continuous eye on fat-filled powder prices wherever it is produced or consumed at scale, tracing causation through vegetable oil prices, whey and dairy ingredient prices, energy costs and demand from ice cream, confectionery and bakery makers. Our forecasts draw on production data, trade flows, input cost trends and demand indicators across all reporting regions, so subscribers see why a price moved and not just that it did. Need pricing data, bespoke market analysis, or procurement advisory? Reach out to our team.
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Frequently Asked Questions About This Report
Ice cream, creamers, confectionery, bakery and instant drinks.
In Q3 2026, it averaged USD 2,450/MT in Poland, USD 2,700/MT in the Netherlands, USD 2,850/MT in Germany, and USD 3,150/MT in the United States. The United States was the priciest market.
The global average went from USD 2,702/MT in Q4 2025 to 2,724 in Q1, 2,750 in Q2 and 2,788 in Q3, up 3.2% overall. Gradual increases through 2025 and early 2026 continued in the third quarter.
Higher vegetable oil and whey costs and firm demand from ice cream and confectionery makers led producers to raise prices.
We expect a global average somewhere in the USD 2,720-2,940/MT range. Firm vegetable oil and whey costs and steady demand point to a modest rise.
The United States sits at the top and Poland at the bottom. The United States pays the most on high costs and strong demand, while Poland sits lowest on large dairy capacity.
Monthly. Need something more current? The Expert Market Research team is available directly.
Vegetable oil and whey prices, energy costs and demand from ice cream makers drive the volatility.
Poland, the Netherlands, Germany and the United States lead supply of fat-filled powder.
Agree contracts with producers, track vegetable oil and whey prices and diversify between supply regions.
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