Pecans Price Trend and Forecast 2026-2027

China paid the most for pecans in Q2 2026: USD 7.05/KG, up 4.0% from USD 6.78 in Q1.

Pecans are a native North American tree nut, sold in-shell, as halves for premium confectionery and baking use, and as smaller pieces for industrial food manufacturing. The United States, concentrated in Georgia, Texas, and New Mexico, remains the largest producer, with Mexico close behind and expanding rapidly.

China has emerged as a major importer, driving strong demand for in-shell pecans that Chinese consumers crack and eat as a snack, a demand pattern distinct from the shelled-nut baking and confectionery use dominant in the West.

Pecan trees bear in alternating heavy and light crop years, a biological pattern called alternate bearing, which adds a multi-year rhythm to supply on top of the usual single-season weather risk.

Pecan trees typically take seven to ten years to reach significant bearing age, which means new orchard plantings in Mexico and elsewhere take the better part of a decade to meaningfully shift global supply, even when growers respond quickly to strong prices.

Shelling yield, the share of in-shell weight that converts to usable kernel, varies by variety and season, and a poor shelling year can tighten effective kernel supply even when the in-shell harvest itself looks healthy on paper.

China ran roughly 24% above Mexico, the least expensive of the group, in Q2 2026. Sourcing teams comparing origins should treat that gap as a starting point, not the full picture, since freight and duty costs still need adding on top.

Pecans Price Forecast for 2026

Expect continued firming through H2 2026 across all four markets as Chinese import demand keeps building. Mexico should retain its position as the most competitively priced origin given its rapidly expanding orchard acreage. China's import-driven premium should persist, and any further growth in Chinese snacking demand would likely widen the gap further. Chinese import policy remains worth watching closely, since any shift in tariffs or phytosanitary requirements on US or Mexican in-shell pecans would ripple quickly through global pricing given how concentrated that demand pool is.

The 4-region average rose 3.9% between the first and second quarters of 2026. We see little reason for that trend to reverse through H2, barring a genuine shift in the factors driving it.

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

Pecans Prices Q2 2026:

• United States: USD 6.45/KG
• Mexico: USD 5.68/KG
• South Africa: USD 6.05/KG
• China: USD 7.05/KG

Pecans Prices in United States

USD 6.45/KG. That is where United States landed in Q2 2026, up 4.0% from USD 6.20/KG in Q1 2026, ranking it the 2nd most expensive among the 4 markets this report follows.

Why did the price of Pecans change in Q2 2026 in United States?

Steady baking and confectionery demand met firm export orders to China, supporting another incremental gain, working out to United States trading about 2.3% above this quarter's 4-region average.

Measured against United States's own average pace of 2.0% a quarter across the six quarters this report tracks, this move came in faster than that pace.

Pecans Prices in Mexico

Mexico's price gained 4.8% to USD 5.68/KG, rapidly expanding orchard acreage kept supply growing, placing it the most affordable across the 4 regions covered in this report.

Why did the price of Pecans change in Q2 2026 in Mexico?

Rapidly expanding orchard acreage kept supply growing, though strong export demand still pushed prices higher, leaving Mexico running roughly 9.9% below the 4-region average for the quarter.

That is faster than the 2.2% average quarterly move Mexico has posted across the six quarters this report tracks.

Pecans Prices in South Africa

In Q2 2026, South Africa priced at USD 6.05/KG, up 2.9% from USD 5.88/KG the previous quarter, putting it the 3rd most expensive of the 4 markets tracked this quarter.

Why did the price of Pecans change in Q2 2026 in South Africa?

Growing export volumes into both European and Asian markets supported a firm quarter, with South Africa now sitting about 4.1% below the 4-region average this quarter.

South Africa has averaged 1.7% a quarter over the six quarters this report tracks; this move came in faster than that longer-run pace.

Pecans Prices in China

China reached USD 7.05/KG in Q2 2026, strong domestic snacking demand for in-shell pecans kept Chinese import pricing at the top of this group, making it the priciest of the 4 markets tracked here this quarter.

Why did the price of Pecans change in Q2 2026 in China?

Strong domestic snacking demand for in-shell pecans kept Chinese import pricing at the top of this group, which puts China roughly 11.8% above the average across the 4 regions this report tracks.

Set against a 2.0% average quarterly pace over the six quarters this report tracks, China's move this quarter landed faster than that trend.

For the Quarter Ending March 2026

Pecans Prices Q1 2026:

• United States: USD 6.20/KG
• Mexico: USD 5.42/KG
• South Africa: USD 5.88/KG
• China: USD 6.78/KG

Pecans Prices in United States

USD 6.20/KG. That is where United States landed in Q1 2026, up 1.5% from USD 6.11/KG in Q4 2025, ranking it the 2nd most expensive among the 4 markets this report follows.

Why did the price of Pecans change in Q1 2026 in United States?

Early-year demand from confectionery manufacturers supported a firm start to 2026, working out to United States trading about 2.1% above this quarter's 4-region average.

Measured against United States's own average pace of 2.0% a quarter across the six quarters this report tracks, this move came in slower than that pace.

Pecans Prices in Mexico

Mexico's price gained 1.5% to USD 5.42/KG, growing harvest volumes met steady export demand, placing it the most affordable across the 4 regions covered in this report.

Why did the price of Pecans change in Q1 2026 in Mexico?

Growing harvest volumes met steady export demand, supporting a modest early-year gain, leaving Mexico running roughly 10.7% below the 4-region average for the quarter.

That is slower than the 2.2% average quarterly move Mexico has posted across the six quarters this report tracks.

Pecans Prices in South Africa

In Q1 2026, South Africa priced at USD 5.88/KG, up 1.5% from USD 5.80/KG the previous quarter, putting it the 3rd most expensive of the 4 markets tracked this quarter.

Why did the price of Pecans change in Q1 2026 in South Africa?

Consistent export order books carried prices higher as the new year began, with South Africa now sitting about 3.1% below the 4-region average this quarter.

South Africa has averaged 1.7% a quarter over the six quarters this report tracks; this move came in slower than that longer-run pace.

Pecans Prices in China

China reached USD 6.78/KG in Q1 2026, import demand held firm through the quarter, making it the priciest of the 4 markets tracked here this quarter.

Why did the price of Pecans change in Q1 2026 in China?

Import demand held firm through the quarter, supporting a steady early-year increase, which puts China roughly 11.7% above the average across the 4 regions this report tracks.

Set against a 2.0% average quarterly pace over the six quarters this report tracks, China's move this quarter landed slower than that trend.

Quarterly Pecans Price Trends

The global average climbed steadily across the window, from USD 5.72/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 6.31 by Q2 2026, a gain of 10.2% over six quarters.

What was Pecans Price in 2025?

Looking back at 2025, the global pecans average ran from about USD 5.72/KG in Q1 to USD 5.98 by Q4, a 4.5% increase across the year.

Pecans Prices in United States in 2025

United States prices moved from about USD 5.85/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 6.11 by Q4, up roughly 4.5%. United States closed the year ranked 2 of the 4 markets this report tracks.

Pecans Prices in Mexico in 2025

Mexico prices moved from about USD 5.10/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 5.34 by Q4, up roughly 4.7%, leaving Mexico in 4 place among the 4 tracked markets heading into the new year.

Pecans Prices in South Africa in 2025

South Africa prices moved from about USD 5.55/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 5.80 by Q4, up roughly 4.4%. That left South Africa ranked 3 of 4 tracked markets heading into 2026.

Pecans Prices in China in 2025

China prices moved from about USD 6.40/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 6.68 by Q4, up roughly 4.4%, placing China 1 of 4 tracked markets as 2025 closed out.

How We Can Help

Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Pecans Price Intelligence

Our analysts track pecans pricing across every major producing and consuming region, working back from the headline number to the pecan crop cultivation costs and demand shifts actually driving it. That view gets refreshed regularly as new cost, policy, and demand data comes in.

Production capacity, feedstock cost trends, and regional demand signals all feed into our forecasts, which are built to support real procurement decisions like budgeting and supplier negotiation rather than serve as a single static reference point.

Our analysts can also provide a more granular regional breakdown, extended historical data beyond this report's six-quarter window, or a custom sourcing analysis built for your specific footprint.

We track both the in-shell and shelled-kernel markets separately, since alternate bearing cycles and shelling yield can pull the two apart even when the underlying harvest looks stable.