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Natural Rubber Pricing, Demand and Supply Overview
Natural Rubber prices in the United States, the highest-cost reporting region, rose 8.1% in Q2 2026 to USD 2,680.00/MT from USD 2,480.00/MT in Q1, extending a sharp rally rooted in a persistent global supply deficit now in its fifth consecutive year. Globally, the average rose from USD 2,268.50/MT in Q1 to USD 2,473.50/MT in Q2, a 9.0% gain, following an even sharper 15.2% surge in Q1 alone. For H2 2026, a global average of USD 2,350.00-2,700.00/MT is expected, with structural deficits from ageing Southeast Asian plantations likely to keep a firm floor under prices even as the pace of gains moderates.
Natural Rubber is harvested as latex from Hevea brasiliensis trees, predominantly across Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia, then coagulated and processed into technically specified rubber grades used across more than 40,000 products. The tire and automotive sector accounts for roughly 60 to 75 percent of global consumption, with the remainder split across industrial goods, medical gloves, footwear, and adhesives. Plantation age, weather and tapping conditions, competing crop economics that influence how much land farmers devote to rubber versus other crops, and shipping and freight conditions are what drive prices in this market.
Natural Rubber Price Forecast for 2026
The outlook for Natural Rubber through H2 2026 stays firm, anchored by a structural supply deficit exceeding 400,000 tonnes that shows no sign of closing quickly. Ageing plantations across Southeast Asia, with more than 40 percent of trees now over 30 years old and past peak latex yield, combined with steady tire and automotive demand, should keep this market on an elevated, if somewhat less volatile, path through the remainder of the year.
The main upside risk is a further deterioration in tapping conditions, whether from adverse weather or accelerating plantation ageing, which could widen the supply deficit further. The main downside risk is a faster-than-expected replanting cycle or a slowdown in global tire demand, either of which would ease some of the current price pressure.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 2,350.00 - 2,700.00 | Structural supply deficit keeps this market firm |
| United States | 2,600.00 - 2,850.00 | Import dependence sustains the highest regional cost |
| China | 2,480.00 - 2,700.00 | Largest consuming market tracks the global deficit closely |
| Malaysia | 2,280.00 - 2,500.00 | Producer benchmark reflects tight export availability |
| Thailand | 2,250.00 - 2,480.00 | Top producing nation sees firm FOB export pricing |
For the Quarter Ending June 2026
Natural Rubber Prices Q2 2026:
- United States: USD 2,680.00/MT
- China: USD 2,550.00/MT
- Malaysia: USD 2,380.00/MT
- Thailand: USD 2,350.00/MT
Natural Rubber Prices in the United States
US Natural Rubber prices averaged USD 2,680.00/MT in Q2 2026, the highest of any region tracked here, up 8.1% from USD 2,480.00/MT in Q1, as steady manufacturing demand for tires and industrial goods sustained strong landed costs.
Why did the price of Natural Rubber change in Q2 2026 in the United States?
US manufacturing expansion sustained raw-material demand for tires and industrial goods, while container scarcity and elevated insurance premiums continued raising freight costs and transmitting further pressure on landed prices.
Natural Rubber Prices in China
Chinese prices averaged USD 2,550.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 8.5% from USD 2,350.00/MT in Q1, as the world's largest consuming market continued absorbing the effects of the global supply deficit.
Why did the price of Natural Rubber change in Q2 2026 in China?
Steady demand from the tire and automobile parts sectors, layered on top of persistent global supply tightness, kept Chinese buyers competing for available cargo even as the pace of gains moderated somewhat from Q1's sharper move.
Natural Rubber Prices in Malaysia
Malaysian prices averaged USD 2,380.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 10.2% from USD 2,160.00/MT in Q1, as tighter export volumes continued supporting this producer benchmark.
Why did the price of Natural Rubber change in Q2 2026 in Malaysia?
Aggressive restocking by tire and glove manufacturers reduced available inventories, increasing competition for limited spot volumes even as monsoon-related tapping constraints from earlier in the year began easing.
Natural Rubber Prices in Thailand
Thai prices averaged USD 2,350.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 9.3% from USD 2,150.00/MT in Q1, as the world's top producing nation saw continued firm FOB export pricing.
Why did the price of Natural Rubber change in Q2 2026 in Thailand?
Firm global demand from tire and automotive sectors, combined with the ongoing structural production deficit, kept Thai export offers well supported even as the most acute tapping-season supply constraints of Q1 eased somewhat.
For the Quarter Ending March 2026
Natural Rubber Prices Q1 2026:
- United States: USD 2,480.00/MT
- China: USD 2,350.00/MT
- Malaysia: USD 2,160.00/MT
- Thailand: USD 2,150.00/MT
Natural Rubber Prices in the United States
US prices jumped 13.8% in Q1 2026 to USD 2,480.00/MT from USD 2,180.00/MT in Q4 2025, as export tightness during the low-tapping winter season sharply reduced available supply.
Why did the price of Natural Rubber change in Q1 2026 in the United States?
Export arrivals tightened during the low-tapping winter season, reducing immediate supply and allowing sellers to command higher offers, while container scarcity and rising insurance premiums added further upward pressure on landed costs.
Natural Rubber Prices in China
Chinese prices surged 14.6% in Q1 2026 to USD 2,350.00/MT from USD 2,050.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking the broader global tightening.
Why did the price of Natural Rubber change in Q1 2026 in China?
Global natural rubber markets reflected tightening fundamentals, with a projected supply deficit of around 400,000 tonnes, and rising demand from India, China, Europe, and the United States supported a firm price outlook even as raw material availability tightened.
Natural Rubber Prices in Malaysia
Malaysian prices rose 13.7% in Q1 2026 to USD 2,160.00/MT from USD 1,900.00/MT in Q4 2025, as monsoon-constrained tapping sharply reduced raw-latex deliveries to processing plants.
Why did the price of Natural Rubber change in Q1 2026 in Malaysia?
Tighter raw-latex availability from monsoonal rains curtailed tapping, sharply reducing deliveries into processing plants, while aggressive restocking by tire and glove manufacturers intensified competition for the limited spot volumes that remained.
Natural Rubber Prices in Thailand
Thai prices surged 18.1% in Q1 2026 to USD 2,150.00/MT from USD 1,820.00/MT in Q4 2025, the sharpest regional gain of any market tracked in this report for the quarter.
Why did the price of Natural Rubber change in Q1 2026 in Thailand?
The market entered a consolidation phase that acted as a base for further gains, reflecting persistent supply tightness, while the partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupted major sea routes and added further cost pressure late in the quarter.
Quarterly Natural Rubber Price Trends
Global Natural Rubber prices moved in a volatile, seasonally driven pattern through 2025, rising in Q3 as tapping constraints bit before easing in Q4 as harvest supply improved, then accelerating sharply through Q1 and Q2 2026 as a persistent structural supply deficit, now in its fifth consecutive year, collided with steady tire and automotive demand.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q2 2026 | 2,473.50 | +9.0% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2026 | 2,268.50 | +15.2% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 1,969.50 | -4.0% | ↓ Falling |
| Q3 2025 | 2,052.50 | +8.5% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2025 | 1,891.00 | - | — Stable |
| Q3 2026 | In Progress | - | — In Progress |
What was Natural Rubber Price in 2025?
Natural Rubber moved through a volatile, largely seasonal pattern across 2025 in every market covered in this report, with prices rising and falling in step with tapping-season supply swings before the structural deficit narrative took firmer hold heading into the sharp 2026 rally.
Natural Rubber Prices in the United States in 2025
US prices moved from about USD 2,150.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,180.00/MT by Q4, up roughly 1.4%, a comparatively flat year overall despite considerable quarter-to-quarter swings tied to seasonal tapping and freight conditions.
Natural Rubber Prices in China in 2025
Chinese prices held essentially flat across 2025, moving from about USD 2,050.00/MT in Q1 to USD 2,050.00/MT by Q4, as seasonal supply swings offset each other before the sharper 2026 structural rally began.
Natural Rubber Prices in Malaysia in 2025
Malaysian prices also held roughly flat across 2025, from about USD 1,900.00/MT in Q1 to USD 1,900.00/MT by Q4, with the underlying supply deficit story only fully emerging in the price data during early 2026.
Natural Rubber Prices in Thailand in 2025
Thai prices likewise ended 2025 essentially unchanged, from about USD 1,820.00/MT in Q1 to USD 1,820.00/MT by Q4, before the sharpest gain of any tracked region followed in Q1 2026.
How We Can Help
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Natural Rubber Price Intelligence
Expert Market Research tracks Natural Rubber prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining plantation and tapping condition data, tire and automotive sector demand signals, and shipping and freight trends into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the structural deficit covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this essential agricultural commodity is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.
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Key Questions Answered in the Report
The tire and automotive sector accounts for roughly 60 to 75 percent of global consumption, with the remainder split across industrial goods, medical gloves, footwear, and adhesives.
The Q2 2026 global average was USD 2,473.50/MT, ranging from USD 2,350.00/MT in Thailand to USD 2,680.00/MT in the United States.
The global average rose from USD 1,969.50/MT in Q4 2025 to USD 2,268.50/MT in Q1 2026, a 15.2% jump, and then to USD 2,473.50/MT in Q2, driven by a persistent structural supply deficit.
More than 40 percent of Southeast Asian rubber trees are now over 30 years old and past peak latex yield, and production growth has failed to keep pace with demand for a fifth consecutive year, resulting in a shortfall exceeding 400,000 tonnes.
The global average is expected in the USD 2,350.00-2,700.00/MT range, with the structural supply deficit likely to keep this market firm even as the pace of gains moderates.
Thailand and Malaysia, as producer benchmark markets, hold the lowest costs, while the United States carries the highest cost among the regions tracked here given its import dependence.
This report is updated monthly. For real-time pricing intelligence, connect with the Expert Market Research team.
Plantation age, weather and tapping conditions, competing crop economics, and shipping and freight conditions.
Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia together account for the large majority of global production, with China, India, the United States, and Europe representing the largest consuming markets.
Buyers can monitor plantation age and tapping-season trends given their outsized influence on the structural supply deficit, time forward purchases around the quarterly breakdowns in this report, and benchmark supplier quotes against the tracked price ranges.
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