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Thailand paid the most for organic coconut water concentrate in Q3 2026: USD 4,630/MT, up 3.3% from USD 4,480/MT in Q2. Limited certified acreage and traceability costs keep Thai prices above the other three markets. Worldwide, the average rose 3.2% to USD 4,548/MT from USD 4,405/MT, mostly because farmgate prices recovered and organic brands rebuilt stocks. What about Q4 2026? We expect a global average somewhere in the USD 4,382-4,941/MT range, with certified supply, farmgate prices and organic demand doing most of the work.
Organic coconut water concentrate is made from certified organic coconuts, then concentrated by evaporation or freezing. It is sold to organic beverage brands, natural food makers and private label customers. Prices carry a premium over the conventional product for certification, segregation, audits and lower yields.
Thailand, the Philippines, Sri Lanka and Indonesia supply certified organic material, mainly to North America and Europe. Farmgate prices for conventional coconuts in Thailand fell sharply early in 2026 and began to recover in the third quarter, and organic prices followed at a smaller scale because certified supply is limited.
Prices should recover slowly through the rest of 2026. Farmgate prices have risen from their lows, certified supply stays limited, and organic brands usually buy before the new year. Plentiful conventional coconuts limit the pace. Year on year, the global average has moved from USD 5,120/MT to USD 4,548/MT, a decrease of 11.2%.
For Q4, the risks are balanced with a slight upward tilt. What could push prices higher? Poor weather, a stronger rebound in farmgate prices or strong demand from organic brands would lift prices. What could pull them lower? More certified acreage, export bottlenecks or weak consumer demand for organic drinks would lower prices.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 4,382 - 4,941 | Tight certified supply and steady organic demand |
| Philippines | 4,432 - 4,998 | Certified supply is tight and premiums persist |
| Sri Lanka | 4,375 - 4,933 | Organic-certified exporters hold premiums |
| Indonesia | 4,258 - 4,802 | Growing certified acreage limits gains |
| Thailand | 4,461 - 5,031 | Certified supply is limited relative to the conventional crop |
In Q3 2026, the average price in the Philippines firmed 3.4% to USD 4,600/MT, compared with USD 4,450/MT in Q2. Prices rose as certified supply stayed tight and brands rebuilt organic stocks. Compared with Q3 2025, when the Philippines averaged USD 5,200/MT, the current price is 11.5% lower. The gap to the four-market average of USD 4,548/MT was 1.1% above for the Philippines.
Why did the price of Coconut Water Concentrate Organic change in Q3 2026 in Philippines?
The Philippines rose. Certified organic supply stayed tight, and brands rebuilt stocks of organic concentrate for the holiday season. At USD 4,600/MT, the Philippines is 5.7% lower than in Q4 2025, when the average was USD 4,880/MT, and the global average is 5.4% lower over the same period.
Sri Lanka's average gained 3.2% in Q3 2026, to USD 4,540/MT from USD 4,400/MT in Q2. Prices rose as European organic buyers returned and exporters held out for premiums. The current level is 10.3% below the Q3 2025 average of USD 5,060/MT. That puts Sri Lanka in line with the four-market average of USD 4,548/MT.
Why did the price of Coconut Water Concentrate Organic change in Q3 2026 in Sri Lanka?
Sri Lanka rose. European organic buyers returned after a quiet spring, and exporters held out for premiums. Since Q4 2025 the price in Sri Lanka has gone down 4.6%, from USD 4,760/MT to USD 4,540/MT, while the global average has gone down 5.4%.
Prices in Indonesia rose 3.0% in Q3 2026 to USD 4,420/MT, against USD 4,290/MT in Q2. Prices rose as export demand for organic ingredients picked up. Compared with Q3 2025, when Indonesia averaged USD 4,920/MT, the current price is 10.2% lower. The gap to the four-market average of USD 4,548/MT was 2.8% below for Indonesia.
Why did the price of Coconut Water Concentrate Organic change in Q3 2026 in Indonesia?
Indonesia rose. Export demand for organic ingredients picked up, and processors lifted offers from their lows. Compared with the Q4 2025 average of USD 4,640/MT, the price in Indonesia has changed by -4.7%, against -5.4% for the global average.
Thailand recorded a 3.3% gain in Q3 2026, with the average rising to USD 4,630/MT from USD 4,480/MT in Q2. Prices rose as farmgate prices recovered and organic premiums held. The current level is 12.6% below the Q3 2025 average of USD 5,300/MT. Against the four-market average of USD 4,548/MT, Thailand stood 1.8% above in the quarter.
Why did the price of Coconut Water Concentrate Organic change in Q3 2026 in Thailand?
Thailand rose. Farmgate prices recovered from their lows, and organic premiums held as certified supply remained limited. At USD 4,630/MT, Thailand is 6.5% lower than in Q4 2025, when the average was USD 4,950/MT, and the global average is 5.4% lower over the same period.
Prices in the Philippines eased 2.4% in Q2 2026 to USD 4,450/MT, against USD 4,560/MT in Q1. Prices fell as demand from organic brands was slow. Compared with Q2 2025, when the Philippines averaged USD 5,450/MT, the current price is 18.3% lower. The gap to the four-market average of USD 4,405/MT was 1.0% above for the Philippines.
Why did the price of Coconut Water Concentrate Organic change in Q2 2026 in Philippines?
The Philippines fell. Demand from organic brands was slow, and processors held stock. Q1 had brought a 6.6% decline, and by the end of Q2 the price was 18.3% below the Q2 2025 average of USD 5,450/MT. Q3 then reversed the move, taking the price to USD 4,600/MT.
Sri Lanka recorded a 2.2% decrease in Q2 2026, with the average falling to USD 4,400/MT from USD 4,500/MT in Q1. Prices fell as conversion of farms added certified supply. The current level is 17.0% below the Q2 2025 average of USD 5,300/MT. That puts Sri Lanka in line with the four-market average of USD 4,405/MT.
Why did the price of Coconut Water Concentrate Organic change in Q2 2026 in Sri Lanka?
Sri Lanka fell. The conversion of farms added certified supply, and exporters cut offers. After -5.5% in Q1, the quarter closed 17.0% below its year-earlier level of USD 5,300/MT, and in Q3 the move was reversed, to USD 4,540/MT.
In Q2 2026, the average price in Indonesia slipped 2.1% to USD 4,290/MT, compared with USD 4,380/MT in Q1. Prices fell as certified acreage grew and offers were cut. Compared with Q2 2025, when Indonesia averaged USD 5,150/MT, the current price is 16.7% lower. The gap to the four-market average of USD 4,405/MT was 2.6% below for Indonesia.
Why did the price of Coconut Water Concentrate Organic change in Q2 2026 in Indonesia?
Indonesia fell. Certified acreage grew, and processors cut offers to win orders. Year on year the price is 16.7% lower than the USD 5,150/MT of Q2 2025, following -5.6% in Q1. Q3 reversed the move, with the price at USD 4,420/MT.
Thailand's average fell 2.6% in Q2 2026, to USD 4,480/MT from USD 4,600/MT in Q1. Prices fell as oversupply of coconuts pulled organic prices down. The current level is 19.7% below the Q2 2025 average of USD 5,580/MT. Against the four-market average of USD 4,405/MT, Thailand stood 1.7% above in the quarter.
Why did the price of Coconut Water Concentrate Organic change in Q2 2026 in Thailand?
Thailand fell. An oversupply of conventional coconuts pulled organic prices down with it. Q1 had brought a 7.1% decline, and by the end of Q2 the price was 19.7% below the Q2 2025 average of USD 5,580/MT. Q3 then reversed the move, taking the price to USD 4,630/MT.
Organic coconut water concentrate prices fell through 2025 and the first half of 2026 and then edged up in Q3. The global average moved from USD 5,425/MT in Q1 2025 to 5,370 in Q2, 5,120 in Q3, 4,808 in Q4, then 4,510 in Q1 2026, 4,405 in Q2 and 4,548 in Q3, a net decline of roughly 16.2% across the window. Rising coconut supply drove the decline, and recovering farmgate prices drove the Q3 bounce.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q3 2026 | 4,548 | +3.2% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2026 | 4,405 | -2.3% | ↓ Falling |
| Q1 2026 | 4,510 | -6.2% | ↓ Falling |
| Q4 2025 | 4,808 | -6.1% | ↓ Falling |
| Q3 2025 | 5,120 | -4.7% | ↓ Falling |
| Q4 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
2025 was a year of falling prices for organic coconut water concentrate. Prices fell in every quarter in all four markets as supply grew. Starting near USD 5,425/MT in Q1, the global average finished the year at 4,808 in Q4, a drop of about 11.4%. Coconut supply and certified acreage set the direction.
In the Philippines, prices moved from about USD 5,500/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 4,880/MT by Q4, down roughly 11.3%. Prices fell in every quarter as certified supply grew and demand from brands softened. Relative to the end of 2025, the price in the Philippines is 5.7% lower at USD 4,600/MT.
In Sri Lanka, prices moved from about USD 5,350/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 4,760/MT by Q4, down roughly 11.0%. Prices fell in every quarter as the supply of coconuts grew faster than export demand. Since the 2025 close of USD 4,760/MT, the price in Sri Lanka has moved down 4.6%, reaching USD 4,540/MT in Q3 2026.
In Indonesia, prices moved from about USD 5,200/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 4,640/MT by Q4, down roughly 10.8%. Prices fell in every quarter as the supply of coconuts grew faster than export demand. Relative to the end of 2025, the price in Indonesia is 4.7% lower at USD 4,420/MT.
In Thailand, prices moved from about USD 5,650/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 4,950/MT by Q4, down roughly 12.4%. Prices fell in every quarter as the supply of coconuts grew faster than export demand. Since the 2025 close of USD 4,950/MT, the price in Thailand has moved down 6.5%, reaching USD 4,630/MT in Q3 2026.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Coconut Water Concentrate Organic Price Intelligence
We follow organic coconut water concentrate prices in the main producing countries, and trace each move back to certified supply, farmgate prices, premiums, freight and demand from organic brands. Our forecasts draw on certified supply, processing capacity, trade flows and inventory levels across all reporting regions, so subscribers see why a price moved and not just that it did. Need pricing data, bespoke market analysis, or procurement advisory? Reach out to our team.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
Organic coconut water drinks, natural juice blends, smoothies and private label beverages.
In Q3 2026, it averaged USD 4,600/MT in the Philippines, USD 4,540/MT in Sri Lanka, USD 4,420/MT in Indonesia and USD 4,630/MT in Thailand. Thailand was the priciest market.
The global average went from USD 4,808/MT in Q4 2025 to 4,510 in Q1, 4,405 in Q2 and 4,548 in Q3, down 5.4% overall. Prices fell in Q1 and Q2, then edged up in Q3.
Farmgate prices recovered from their lows, and organic brands rebuilt stocks.
We expect a global average somewhere in the USD 4,382-4,941/MT range. Tight certified supply and steady organic demand point to a flat to slightly higher range.
Thailand sits at the top and Indonesia at the bottom. Thailand is dearest on limited certified supply, while Indonesia is cheapest as certified acreage grows.
Monthly. Need something more current? The Expert Market Research team is available directly.
Certified supply, farmgate prices, premiums, freight and organic beverage demand drive the volatility.
Thailand, the Philippines, Sri Lanka and Indonesia supply certified material, mainly to North America and Europe.
Agree certification and Brix specifications in contracts, buy ahead of the new year and qualify more than one origin.
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