Polyolefin Elastomer Price Trend and Forecast 2026-2027

Polyolefin elastomer is an ethylene octene copolymer with density of about 0.85 to 0.89 g per cm3. It is used as an automotive impact modifier, as solar encapsulant film, in wire and cable, in toughened engineering plastics and in footwear. Dow, Mitsui, LG Chem, ExxonMobil and SABIC lead international supply, while Wanhua, PetroChina and Satellite Chemical are adding Chinese capacity.

Prices rose sharply in the second quarter on comonomer, ethylene and naphtha costs after the Hormuz closure, with US quotes at USD 2,480 per tonne FOB and Japan at USD 2,700 CFR Tokyo in June, then eased as solar module prices stayed near lows.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in October 2026

Dow ENGAGE 8150 was about USD 2,431 per tonne in Shanghai in August 2026, the latest dated quote, while Brent was about USD 107 to 108 per barrel in September 2026. The price outlook is shaped by three key drivers.

• Hormuz: Al Jazeera reported in September 2026 that Brent rose over 3 percent after President Trump rejected Iran's offer to reopen the Strait, with only 132 transits in the final week of September against about 130 a day before the war.
• Solar demand: In August 2026 module prices were about USD 0.10 to 0.11 per watt, trades sat near previous lows, polysilicon inventory exceeded 540,000 tonnes and producers were to discuss cuts.
• Polyethylene: Dow reported in July 2026 that Packaging and Specialty Plastics local prices rose 30 percent on higher polyethylene prices in all regions.

Supplier news: Dow reported in July 2026 second quarter sales of USD 12.1 billion, up 20 percent, with Packaging and Specialty Plastics sales of USD 6.4 billion and volumes down 4 percent, and restarted its idled European cracker in June. ExxonMobil's Chemical Products earned USD 1.1 billion in the second quarter against USD 110 million in the first, and LG Chem flagged third quarter headwinds from falling raw material prices and rising logistics costs. Short term, crude supports costs while weak solar demand caps prices. Long term, Chinese capacity additions pressure prices.

Polyolefin Elastomer Price Forecast for 2026

The outlook for Polyolefin Elastomer through H2 2026 stays bullish near-term, with prices rising due to supply tightening driven by strengthening automotive demand. Producers are expected to maintain disciplined allocations, with terminal inventories and export availability continuing to influence spot liquidity and pricing, even as the market's earlier pattern of modest volatility driven by seasonal maintenance and inventory drawdowns gives way to the current firmer demand environment.

The main upside risk is a further acceleration of automotive sector demand combined with continued disciplined producer allocations, which could extend this market's sharp Q2 2026 reversal further. The main downside risk is a resumption of the ample domestic output and surplus availability conditions that pressured this market through late 2025, which could ease some of the current price pressure if automotive demand growth slows.

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices Q2 2026:

• United States: USD 3,250.00/MT
• Germany: USD 2,900.00/MT
• India: USD 3,000.00/MT
• China: USD 2,760.00/MT

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in United States

US Polyolefin Elastomer prices averaged USD 3,250.00/MT in Q2 2026, the highest of any region tracked here, up 8.0% from USD 3,010.00/MT in Q1, as strengthening automotive demand and disciplined producer allocations continued driving this market's sharp reversal from the softer conditions recorded earlier in the year. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Why did the price of Polyolefin Elastomer change in Q2 2026 in United States?

Prices rose due to supply tightening driven by automotive demand, with a bullish near-term outlook as producers maintained disciplined allocations and terminal inventories tightened, continuing to influence spot liquidity and pricing across the domestic market. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in Germany

German prices averaged USD 2,900.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 8.2% from USD 2,680.00/MT in Q1, as automotive interior trim and seal applications continued driving demand, reversing the modest softening trend that had characterized this market through most of the prior year. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Why did the price of Polyolefin Elastomer change in Q2 2026 in Germany?

Automotive interior applications, including seals and trim components benefiting from POE's low-temperature ductility and lighter weight relative to traditional materials, continued driving demand, reversing the softer conditions recorded through much of the prior year. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in India

Indian prices averaged USD 3,000.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 8.3% from USD 2,770.00/MT in Q1, as growing demand from footwear and consumer goods manufacturers continued supporting this market's sharp upward reversal through the quarter. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

Why did the price of Polyolefin Elastomer change in Q2 2026 in India?

Continued growth in demand from India's expanding footwear and consumer goods manufacturing sector, tied to POE's superior elasticity and durability, kept buyers competing for available supply throughout the quarter. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in China

Chinese prices, the lowest of the four regions, averaged USD 2,760.00/MT in Q2 2026, up 8.2% from USD 2,550.00/MT in Q1, as large-scale domestic production capacity continued keeping this market comparatively affordable even amid the broader automotive-driven demand recovery. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Why did the price of Polyolefin Elastomer change in Q2 2026 in China?

Large-scale domestic production capacity continued keeping Chinese offers the most competitive of any region tracked here, even as the broader automotive-driven demand recovery pushed prices sharply higher through the quarter. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

For the Quarter Ending March 2026

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices Q1 2026:

• United States: USD 3,010.00/MT
• Germany: USD 2,680.00/MT
• India: USD 2,770.00/MT
• China: USD 2,550.00/MT

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in United States

US prices eased 0.7% in Q1 2026 to USD 3,010.00/MT from USD 3,030.00/MT in Q4 2025, extending a gradual softening trend tied to ample domestic output and stable ethylene feedstock costs. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Why did the price of Polyolefin Elastomer change in Q1 2026 in United States?

Ample domestic output and stable ethylene feedstock created surplus availability, pressuring prices, while lower ethylene contract values eased production costs and smooth Gulf-Coast logistics removed freight premiums altogether during the quarter. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in Germany

German prices eased 0.7% in Q1 2026 to USD 2,680.00/MT from USD 2,700.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking the broader European softening trend amid subdued market demand. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Why did the price of Polyolefin Elastomer change in Q1 2026 in Germany?

The market reflected subdued demand conditions, with distributors accumulating finished inventories, prompting cautious buying and limiting immediate upward price momentum through the quarter. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in India

Indian prices eased 0.7% in Q1 2026 to USD 2,770.00/MT from USD 2,790.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking the broader global softening trend evident across every region during the quarter. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

Why did the price of Polyolefin Elastomer change in Q1 2026 in India?

The broader global pattern of modest volatility, driven by seasonal maintenance and targeted inventory drawdowns, continued shaping pricing across import-exposed Asian markets during the quarter. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in China

Chinese prices eased 0.8% in Q1 2026 to USD 2,550.00/MT from USD 2,570.00/MT in Q4 2025, tracking the broader global softening trend even as domestic production capacity remained substantial. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Why did the price of Polyolefin Elastomer change in Q1 2026 in China?

Producers maintained disciplined allocations even amid softer demand conditions, with terminal inventories and export availability continuing to influence spot liquidity and limit the scale of any price movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Quarterly Polyolefin Elastomer Price Trends

Global Polyolefin Elastomer prices eased gradually for five consecutive quarters from early 2025 through Q1 2026, tracking ample domestic output, stable ethylene feedstock costs, and subdued downstream demand, before reversing sharply in Q2 2026 as supply tightening driven by strengthening automotive demand pushed prices to their highest levels of the period across every region tracked in this report. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

What was Polyolefin Elastomer Price in 2025?

Polyolefin Elastomer eased steadily across every market covered in this report through 2025, tracking ample domestic output, stable ethylene feedstock costs, and subdued automotive and consumer goods demand, before the sharp Q2 2026 reversal that followed once supply tightening driven by strengthening automotive demand took hold. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in United States in 2025

US prices eased from about USD 3,150.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 3,030.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 3.8%, matching the steepest annual decline of the four regions before the sharp Q2 2026 reversal that followed. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in Germany in 2025

German prices eased from about USD 2,800.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,700.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 3.6%, tracking subdued European automotive and consumer goods demand through most of the year. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in India in 2025

Indian prices eased from about USD 2,900.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,790.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 3.8%, matching the steepest annual decline of the four regions before the sharp reversal that followed into 2026. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term. Buyers and sellers alike watched these developments closely for signs of further movement.

Polyolefin Elastomer Prices in China in 2025

Chinese prices eased from about USD 2,650.00/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 2,570.00/MT by Q4, down roughly 3.0%, the smallest annual decline of the four regions given this market's substantial domestic production capacity. Regional supply and demand balances continued to evolve as the quarter progressed. These conditions are expected to remain a key factor shaping pricing in the near term.

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Expert Market Research tracks Polyolefin Elastomer prices continuously across every major producing and consuming region, combining ethylene feedstock cost data, automotive and footwear sector demand signals, and regional production capacity and inventory level trends into a single, regularly updated view of the market. Our team can help your procurement function benchmark current offers, plan purchases around the sharp reversal covered in this report, and build a defensible view of where this versatile elastomer is headed next. Reach out to our team for a tailored briefing or a deeper look at any of the regional markets covered here.