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Italy paid the most for corn meal in Q3 2026: USD 560/MT, down 0.9% from USD 565/MT in Q2. Energy costs, import needs and steady demand from bakeries and polenta makers keep Italian prices above the other three markets. Worldwide, the average fell 1.1% to USD 441/MT from USD 446/MT, mostly because larger corn supplies and lower corn prices led millers to lower offers in all four markets. What about Q4 2026? We expect a global average somewhere in the USD 420-455/MT range, with corn prices, energy costs, demand from food processors and seasonal staple food demand doing most of the work.
Corn meal is a coarse flour made by grinding dried corn, and it is used in porridge, cornbread, tortilla chips and breading. It is milled in white and yellow varieties and in fine, medium and coarse grinds. Prices in this report refer to milled corn meal for food use in bulk and are quoted per metric ton. They depend on corn prices, milling costs and demand from food processors.
Large mills in the United States, Brazil, Mexico and South Africa make most of the supply, and corn meal is a staple food in Africa and Latin America. Small mills serve local markets, while large mills sell to food processors and export. Prices vary by grind, color and the share of germ left in the meal.
Prices should ease slightly through the rest of 2026. Corn supplies are large and mills have ample stocks, but steady staple food demand limits the size of the decline. Year on year, the global average has moved from USD 435/MT to USD 441/MT, an increase of 1.4%.
For Q4, the risks are weighted toward lower prices. What could push prices higher? Higher corn prices, a poor harvest or stronger demand from food processors would lift prices. What could pull them lower? Lower corn prices, larger harvests or weaker demand from snack makers would lower prices.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 420 - 455 | Large corn supplies limit prices |
| Brazil | 325 - 350 | Ample corn supply keeps prices lowest |
| United States | 390 - 425 | Large milling output limits prices |
| South Africa | 435 - 470 | Staple food demand supports prices |
| Italy | 535 - 580 | Energy costs and import needs keep prices highest |
Brazil registered a 1.7% decrease in Q3 2026, taking the average to USD 340/MT from USD 346/MT in Q2. Brazilian prices fell as the supply of corn meal increased. A year earlier, in Q3 2025, the average stood at USD 334/MT, which makes the current price 1.8% higher. The gap to the four-market average of USD 441/MT was 22.9% below for Brazil.
Why did the price of Corn Meal change in Q3 2026 in Brazil?
Brazil declined. Supply of corn meal increased, millers lowered offers, and demand from food processors was soft. Since the end of 2025, the price in Brazil has risen 0.6%, from USD 338/MT to USD 340/MT, while the global average has risen 0.5%. The global average shifted 1.1% lower in the same quarter.
The United States eased 1.2% to USD 410/MT in Q3 2026, from USD 415/MT in Q2. American prices fell as the supply of corn meal increased. Taking Q3 2025 as the base, at USD 404/MT, the latest quarter is 1.5% higher. Relative to the four-market average of USD 441/MT, the United States traded 7.0% below in Q3 2026.
Why did the price of Corn Meal change in Q3 2026 in United States?
The United States declined. Supply of corn meal increased, millers lowered prices, and demand from bakeries and snack makers was soft. The cumulative 2026 change for the United States is a 0.5% increase, from USD 408/MT to USD 410/MT, while the global average shows a 0.5% gain over the same period. Across the four markets the average was 1.1% lower on the quarter.
In Q3 2026, the average price in South Africa fell 1.1% to USD 455/MT, compared with USD 460/MT in Q2. South African prices eased as the supply of corn meal increased. Against the USD 448/MT recorded in Q3 2025, the current average represents a 1.6% increase. This places South Africa 3.2% above the four-market average of USD 441/MT for Q3 2026.
Why did the price of Corn Meal change in Q3 2026 in South Africa?
South Africa eased. Supply of corn meal increased, millers lowered offers, and demand from household buyers was soft. At USD 455/MT, South Africa is 0.4% higher than in Q4 2025, when the average was USD 453/MT, and the global average is 0.5% higher over the same period. On the global measure the average was 1.1% lower over the quarter.
Italy's average moved down 0.9% in Q3 2026, to USD 560/MT from USD 565/MT in Q2. Italian prices eased as imports of corn meal increased. The Q3 2025 average of USD 553/MT puts the current price 1.3% above its level a year earlier. Against the four-market average of USD 441/MT, Italy stood 27.0% above in the quarter.
Why did the price of Corn Meal change in Q3 2026 in Italy?
Italy eased. Imports of corn meal increased, millers lowered prices, and demand from bakeries and polenta makers was soft. This leaves Italy 0.5% higher than at the end of 2025, when the average was USD 557/MT, while the global average is 0.5% higher over the same period. For comparison, the global average moved 1.1% lower over the same quarter.
Brazil's average moved up 1.5% in Q2 2026, to USD 346/MT from USD 341/MT in Q1. Brazilian prices rose as the demand from food processors strengthened. This represents a 5.5% increase on the USD 328/MT recorded in Q2 2025. In comparison with the average of USD 446/MT across the four markets, the price in Brazil was 22.4% lower.
Why did the price of Corn Meal change in Q2 2026 in Brazil?
Brazil rose. Demand from food processors strengthened, corn prices went up, and millers lifted offers. This came on top of a 0.9% gain in Q1, and the average ended 5.5% above its level of a year earlier, when it stood at USD 328/MT. Q3 reversed some of the change, with the price at USD 340/MT.
Prices in the United States firmed 1.0% in Q2 2026 to USD 415/MT, compared with USD 411/MT in Q1. American prices rose as the demand from snack makers strengthened. The year-on-year change is a 4.3% increase, from USD 398/MT in Q2 2025. The United States ended the quarter 7.0% below the group average of USD 446/MT.
Why did the price of Corn Meal change in Q2 2026 in United States?
The United States rose. Demand from snack makers strengthened, labor costs went up, and millers lifted prices. Q1 had brought a 0.7% gain, and by the end of Q2 the price was 4.3% above the Q2 2025 average of USD 398/MT. The price then partly reversed in Q3, to USD 410/MT. The global average shifted 0.9% higher in the same quarter.
South Africa recorded a 0.9% gain in Q2 2026, with the average reaching USD 460/MT against USD 456/MT in Q1. South African prices rose as the demand from household buyers strengthened. The Q2 2026 average is 4.3% above the USD 441/MT recorded in Q2 2025. The price in South Africa was 3.1% above the group average of USD 446/MT in Q2 2026.
Why did the price of Corn Meal change in Q2 2026 in South Africa?
South Africa rose. Demand from household buyers strengthened, transport costs went up, and millers lifted offers. Coming after a 0.7% gain in Q1, the Q2 figure sits 4.3% above the USD 441/MT of Q2 2025. Part of the move was reversed in Q3, leaving the price at USD 455/MT. Across the four markets the average was 0.9% higher on the quarter.
The Q2 2026 average for Italy stood at USD 565/MT, an increase of 0.7% on the USD 561/MT recorded in Q1. Italian prices rose as the demand from polenta makers strengthened. Compared with Q2 2025, when Italy averaged USD 547/MT, the current price is 3.3% higher. The gap to the four-market average of USD 446/MT was 26.7% above for Italy.
Why did the price of Corn Meal change in Q2 2026 in Italy?
Italy rose. Demand from polenta makers strengthened, energy costs went up, and millers lifted prices. The 0.7% gain in Q1 set the base, and Q2 finished 3.3% above the USD 547/MT recorded a year earlier. Q3 reversed some of the change, with the price at USD 560/MT. On the global measure the average was 0.9% higher over the quarter.
Corn Meal prices rose through 2025 and the first half of 2026 before easing in the third quarter in all four markets. The global average moved from USD 422/MT in Q1 2025 to 428 in Q2, 435 in Q3 and 439 in Q4, then 442 in Q1 2026, 446 in Q2 and 441 in Q3, a net gain of roughly 4.5% across the window. Higher corn prices and steady demand from food processors lifted prices for five quarters, and larger corn supplies caused a decline in the third quarter.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q3 2026 | 441 | -1.1% | ↓ Falling |
| Q2 2026 | 446 | +0.9% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2026 | 442 | +0.7% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 439 | +0.9% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 435 | - | - Stable |
| Q4 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
2025 was a year of gradual increases for corn meal, with prices rising in each quarter in all four markets. Starting near USD 422/MT in Q1, the global average finished the year at 439 in Q4, a gain of about 4.0%. Higher corn prices and steady demand from food processors supported millers throughout the year.
In Brazil, prices moved from about USD 322/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 338/MT by Q4, up roughly 5.0%. Brazilian prices rose gradually as corn prices and demand from food processors increased. Relative to the end of 2025, the price in Brazil is 0.6% higher at USD 340/MT. The quarterly breakdown above allows each stage of that path to be traced.
In the United States, prices moved from about USD 392/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 408/MT by Q4, up roughly 4.1%. American prices rose gradually as the labor costs and demand from snack makers increased. By Q3 2026 the average for the United States had reached USD 410/MT, 0.5% above the Q4 2025 close.
In South Africa, prices moved from about USD 435/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 453/MT by Q4, up roughly 4.1%. South African prices rose gradually as transport costs and demand from household buyers increased. The latest quarter places South Africa at USD 455/MT, which is 0.4% above the level at which 2025 ended.
In Italy, prices moved from about USD 541/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 557/MT by Q4, up roughly 3.0%. Italian prices rose gradually as the energy costs and demand from polenta makers increased. Since the 2025 close of USD 557/MT, the price in Italy has moved up 0.5%, reaching USD 560/MT in Q3 2026.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Corn Meal Price Intelligence
We keep a continuous eye on corn meal prices wherever it is produced or consumed at scale, tracing causation through corn prices, milling costs, grind size, color and demand from food processors. Our forecasts draw on production data, trade flows, input cost trends and demand indicators across all reporting regions, so subscribers see why a price moved and not just that it did. Need pricing data, bespoke market analysis, or procurement advisory? Reach out to our team.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
Porridge, cornbread, tortilla chips, breading and polenta.
In Q3 2026, it averaged USD 340/MT in Brazil, USD 410/MT in the United States, USD 455/MT in South Africa, and USD 560/MT in Italy. Italy was the priciest market.
The global average went from USD 439/MT in Q4 2025 to 442 in Q1, 446 in Q2 and 441 in Q3, up 0.5% overall. Gradual increases through 2025 and early 2026 gave way to a decline in the third quarter.
Larger corn supplies and lower corn prices led millers to lower offers.
We expect a global average somewhere in the USD 420-455/MT range. Large corn supplies limit prices, leaving a flat to slightly lower range.
Italy sits at the top and Brazil at the bottom. Italy pays the most on energy costs and import needs, while Brazil sits lowest on ample corn supply.
Monthly. Need something more current? The Expert Market Research team is available directly.
Corn prices, energy costs, grind size and food demand drive the volatility.
The United States, Brazil, Mexico and South Africa lead production of corn meal.
Agree contracts with millers, track corn prices and diversify between origins.
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