Crude Coconut Oil Price Trend and Forecast 2026-2027

India paid the most for crude coconut oil in Q2 2026: USD 1,903/MT, up 1.8% from USD 1,869 in Q1. The steady domestic food and cosmetic demand kept things firm there. Worldwide, the average moved up 1.8%, to USD 1,687/MT from USD 1,657, largely because the copra feedstock costs kept climbing across every region we track. What about H2 2026? We'd expect a global average somewhere in the USD 1,665-1,805/MT range, with the steady food, cosmetic, and oleochemical demand doing most of the work.

Crude coconut oil is pressed from dried coconut kernel, known as copra, then either refined further for food and cosmetic use or sold on as feedstock into the oleochemical industry for surfactants and personal-care ingredients. The Philippines and Indonesia together account for the large majority of world production, with India and Vietnam rounding out the other significant producing and consuming markets. Three things move the price more than anything else: the copra feedstock costs, which track weather and yields across the tropical growing belt, the food and cosmetic-sector demand, and the oleochemical-industry demand for surfactant feedstock.

The copra-drying step deserves some explanation, since it's a genuinely labor-intensive part of this supply chain that shapes both quality and cost. Coconut meat has to be dried, either sun-dried or kiln-dried, before it can be pressed for oil, and the method and quality of that drying step directly affects the free fatty acid content and overall grade of the finished crude oil. That labor and infrastructure dependency has kept coconut-oil production concentrated in smallholder-farming regions across Southeast Asia and South Asia, rather than the larger industrial-scale plantations that dominate palm oil production. Buyers new to this market sometimes underestimate how much that structural detail matters until they see it play out in the pricing data over a full cycle.

The oleochemical application is worth a mention too, since it's been a steadily growing demand driver over the past two decades. Coconut oil's fatty-acid profile makes it a preferred feedstock for producing surfactants used in soaps, shampoos, and personal-care products, a market that's expanded alongside rising personal-care consumption across Asia and other developing regions, adding a genuinely industrial demand stream on top of the more traditional food and cooking-oil market.

Crude Coconut Oil Price Forecast for 2026

Supply and demand should stay moderately tight through H2 2026, with the copra feedstock costs doing most of the work on pricing. The Philippines and India both kept the food and cosmetic demand steady through H1, and that's likely to continue. Vietnam's oleochemical sector kept the demand building, while Indonesia's large production base kept it the most affordable of the four. None of the four markets we track is showing signs of genuine disruption heading into the back half of the year.

Buyers should keep an eye on the copra-drying and smallholder-harvest conditions specifically, since weather disruptions across the Philippines and Indonesia's growing regions can affect copra quality and availability well before it shows up in the finished crude oil pricing. That's worth building into any longer-range planning rather than assuming current conditions will simply persist unchanged.

The oleochemical demand segment bears watching too, since continued growth in personal-care and surfactant manufacturing would add further structural demand on top of the more traditional food-oil market that's driven this commodity for generations.

What could push prices higher? A copra feedstock spike, or a stronger-than-expected oleochemical demand surge. What could pull them lower? A slowdown in food and cosmetic-sector demand more broadly.

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

Crude Coconut Oil Prices Q2 2026:

• Philippines: USD 1,687/MT
• Indonesia: USD 1,552/MT
• India: USD 1,903/MT
• Vietnam: USD 1,624/MT

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in Philippines

The Philippines' crude coconut oil producers passed through the firmer copra costs this quarter, and the export demand held steady. The gain came to 1.8%, USD 1,657/MT to USD 1,687.

Why did the price of Crude Coconut Oil change in Q2 2026 in Philippines?

The copra feedstock costs firmed through the quarter, and the export demand held its ground right alongside that.

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in Indonesia

Indonesia climbed 1.8% to USD 1,552/MT, its large production base keeping it the most affordable market even as the demand firmed.

Why did the price of Crude Coconut Oil change in Q2 2026 in Indonesia?

The large production base is exactly why Indonesia stayed the cheapest of the four markets even as the demand ticked up.

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in India

USD 1,903/MT. That's where India landed in Q2, up 1.8% from USD 1,869 in Q1. The domestic food and cosmetic demand stayed steady, and the copra costs climbed just enough to push things higher.

Why did the price of Crude Coconut Oil change in Q2 2026 in India?

The domestic food and cosmetic demand didn't move much, honestly. It was the copra feedstock costs doing most of the work this quarter.

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in Vietnam

Vietnam gained 1.8% to USD 1,624/MT, the oleochemical demand continuing to build through the period.

Why did the price of Crude Coconut Oil change in Q2 2026 in Vietnam?

The oleochemical-industry demand kept building, and that alone explains most of the move here.

For the Quarter Ending March 2026

Crude Coconut Oil Prices Q1 2026:

• Philippines: USD 1,657/MT
• Indonesia: USD 1,524/MT
• India: USD 1,869/MT
• Vietnam: USD 1,596/MT

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in Philippines

Philippine crude coconut oil rose 1.8% to USD 1,657/MT, the export demand firming with the new year.

Why did the price of Crude Coconut Oil change in Q1 2026 in Philippines?

The export demand firmed with the new year, and the copra costs kept climbing steadily too.

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in Indonesia

Indonesia gained 1.8% to USD 1,524/MT, the demand firming as the year opened.

Why did the price of Crude Coconut Oil change in Q1 2026 in Indonesia?

The domestic demand firmed as the year opened, and the copra feedstock costs edged higher right alongside it.

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in India

Indian crude coconut oil climbed 1.8% to USD 1,869/MT, the food and cosmetic demand staying firm through the quarter.

Why did the price of Crude Coconut Oil change in Q1 2026 in India?

The food and cosmetic demand stayed firm, and the copra costs firmed alongside it.

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in Vietnam

Vietnamese crude coconut oil rose 1.8% to USD 1,596/MT, the oleochemical demand building through the quarter.

Why did the price of Crude Coconut Oil change in Q1 2026 in Vietnam?

The oleochemical demand built through the quarter, tracking the personal-care manufacturing activity closely.

Quarterly Crude Coconut Oil Price Trends

The global average climbed steadily across the window, from USD 1,580/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,687 by Q2 2026, a net gain of about 6.8%. Every quarter posted a gain here, reflecting the firming copra feedstock costs and the steady food, cosmetic, and oleochemical demand across every market we track, with the pace of the gains picking up somewhat in the most recent two quarters. That kind of steady, uninterrupted climb is worth noting, since it stands in contrast to how choppy some other commodities in this space have looked over the same period.

What was Crude Coconut Oil Price in 2025?

2025 was a steady year for crude coconut oil. Starting near USD 1,580/MT in Q1, the global average finished 2025 at USD 1,628, a gain of about 3.0%. The food, cosmetic, and oleochemical demand held consistent all year across every market we track, before the pace of gains picked up further once 2026 got underway. Buyers who track this market closely tend to view that steady annual pattern as the baseline against which any future quarter's move should be judged.

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in Philippines in 2025

Philippine prices moved from about USD 1,580/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,628 by Q4, up roughly 3.0%. The export demand held steady all year.

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in Indonesia in 2025

Indonesian prices climbed from USD 1,450/MT in Q1 to USD 1,497 by Q4, a 3.2% gain, and Indonesia stayed the most affordable of the four markets throughout on its large production base.

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in India in 2025

Indian prices rose from USD 1,780/MT in Q1 to USD 1,836 by Q4, up 3.1%, the highest absolute price throughout the four markets on the established food and cosmetic demand.

Crude Coconut Oil Prices in Vietnam in 2025

Vietnamese prices moved from USD 1,520/MT in Q1 to USD 1,568 by Q4, a 3.2% gain, as the oleochemical demand kept building through the year.

How We Can Help

Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Crude Coconut Oil Price Intelligence

We keep a continuous eye on the crude coconut oil prices wherever it's produced or consumed at scale, tracing causation through the copra feedstock economics, the food and cosmetic-sector demand, and the oleochemical-industry demand for surfactant feedstock. Our analysts track the copra-drying and smallholder-harvest conditions across the Philippines and Indonesia especially closely, given how directly weather disruptions there can affect supply. We also flag any material shift in the underlying feedstock or trade-logistics conditions as soon as it becomes apparent. Need pricing data, bespoke market analysis, or procurement advisory? Reach out to our team.