Duck Price Trend and Forecast 2026-2027

France paid the most for duck in Q3 2026: USD 5.90/KG, up 1.4% from USD 5.82/KG in Q2. High feed and energy costs, premium quality and steady demand from restaurants and retailers keep French prices above the other three markets. Worldwide, the average rose 1.1% to USD 4.42/KG from USD 4.37/KG, mostly because higher feed costs and firm demand from restaurants and retailers led processors and producers to raise prices in all four markets. What about Q4 2026? We expect a global average somewhere in the USD 4.31-4.66/KG range, with feed costs, flock size, bird flu outbreaks, demand from restaurants and holiday orders from retailers doing most of the work.

Duck is the meat of domestic ducks raised for food, sold as whole carcasses, parts and processed products. It is roasted, braised and smoked, and it is a staple of restaurant menus in China and France. Prices in this report refer to frozen whole duck carcasses at wholesale level and are quoted per kilogram. They depend on feed costs, flock size and demand from restaurants and retailers.

China is by far the largest producer, followed by Vietnam, France, Malaysia and the United States. Farms raise ducks for six to nine weeks on grain and soy feed, and processors slaughter, chill and freeze the birds. Outbreaks of bird flu can cut supply and close export markets. Demand peaks before the Lunar New Year in Asia and before Christmas in Europe.

Duck Price Forecast for 2026

Prices should rise modestly through the rest of 2026. Feed costs are firm and holiday orders are starting. Larger flocks in Asia and the risk of bird flu limit the size of the move. Year on year, the global average has moved from USD 4.25/KG to USD 4.42/KG, an increase of 4.0%.

For Q4, risks to the price are evenly spread. What could push prices higher? Bird flu outbreaks, higher feed costs or strong holiday orders would lift prices. What could pull them lower? Larger flocks, lower feed costs or weaker demand from restaurants would lower prices.

For the Quarter Ending September 2026

Duck Prices Q3 2026:

• China: USD 2.60/KG
• United States: USD 4.20/KG
• Germany: USD 5.00/KG
• France: USD 5.90/KG

Duck Prices in China

In Q3 2026, the average price in China rose 1.6% to USD 2.60/KG, compared with USD 2.56/KG in Q2. Chinese prices rose as the demand from restaurants improved. A year earlier, in Q3 2025, the average stood at USD 2.48/KG, which makes the current price 4.8% higher. Against the four-market average of USD 4.42/KG, China stood 41.2% below in the quarter.

Why did the price of Duck change in Q3 2026 in China?

China rose. Demand from restaurants improved, feed costs increased, and producers raised prices. From USD 2.51/KG at the close of 2025 to USD 2.60/KG in Q3 2026, the price in China has risen 3.6%, and the global average has risen 3.0%. The global average shifted 1.1% higher in the same quarter. This represents a quarter-on-quarter change of 1.6% for China.

Duck Prices in United States

The United States' average moved up 1.2% in Q3 2026, to USD 4.20/KG from USD 4.15/KG in Q2. American prices rose as the demand from food service buyers improved. Taking Q3 2025 as the base, at USD 4.03/KG, the latest quarter is 4.2% higher. The United States finished Q3 2026 5.0% below the four-market average of USD 4.42/KG.

Why did the price of Duck change in Q3 2026 in United States?

The United States rose. Demand from food service buyers improved, feed costs increased, and processors raised prices. Across the first three quarters of 2026, the United States has moved up 3.2% from USD 4.07/KG in Q4 2025 to USD 4.20/KG, against a 3.0% gain for the global average. Across the four markets the average was 1.1% higher on the quarter.

Duck Prices in Germany

Prices in Germany firmed 1.2% in Q3 2026 to USD 5.00/KG, compared with USD 4.94/KG in Q2. German prices rose as the demand from retailers improved. Against the USD 4.82/KG recorded in Q3 2025, the current average represents a 3.7% increase. The four markets averaged USD 4.42/KG in the quarter, so the price in Germany was 13.1% higher.

Why did the price of Duck change in Q3 2026 in Germany?

Germany rose. Demand from retailers improved, feed costs increased, and processors raised offers. Year to date, Germany is 2.9% higher than the Q4 2025 level of USD 4.86/KG, while the global average is 3.0% higher. On the global measure the average was 1.1% higher over the quarter. The quarterly change in Germany was 1.2%.

Duck Prices in France

France recorded a 1.4% gain in Q3 2026, with the average reaching USD 5.90/KG against USD 5.82/KG in Q2. French prices rose as the demand from restaurants and retailers improved. The Q3 2025 average of USD 5.65/KG puts the current price 4.4% above its level a year earlier. In comparison with the average of USD 4.42/KG across the four markets, the price in France was 33.5% higher.

Why did the price of Duck change in Q3 2026 in France?

France rose. Demand from restaurants and retailers improved, feed costs increased, and processors raised prices. Over the first nine months of 2026 the price in France has risen by 3.1%, which compares with a 3.0% gain in the global average. For comparison, the global average moved 1.1% higher over the same quarter.

For the Quarter Ending June 2026

Duck Prices Q2 2026:

• China: USD 2.56/KG
• United States: USD 4.15/KG
• Germany: USD 4.94/KG
• France: USD 5.82/KG

Duck Prices in China

China recorded a 1.2% gain in Q2 2026, with the average reaching USD 2.56/KG against USD 2.53/KG in Q1. Chinese prices rose as the demand from restaurants strengthened. This represents a 5.3% increase on the USD 2.43/KG recorded in Q2 2025. The gap to the four-market average of USD 4.37/KG was 41.4% below for China.

Why did the price of Duck change in Q2 2026 in China?

China rose. Demand from restaurants strengthened, feed costs went up, and producers lifted prices. This came on top of a 0.8% gain in Q1, and the average ended 5.3% above its level of a year earlier, when it stood at USD 2.43/KG. Q3 added to the change, with the price at USD 2.60/KG.

Duck Prices in United States

The Q2 2026 average for the United States stood at USD 4.15/KG, an increase of 1.0% on the USD 4.11/KG recorded in Q1. American prices rose as the demand from food service buyers strengthened. The year-on-year change is a 4.5% increase, from USD 3.97/KG in Q2 2025. Relative to the four-market average of USD 4.37/KG, the United States traded 5.0% below in Q2 2026.

Why did the price of Duck change in Q2 2026 in United States?

The United States rose. Demand from food service buyers strengthened, labor costs went up, and processors lifted prices. Q1 had brought a 1.0% gain, and by the end of Q2 the price was 4.5% above the Q2 2025 average of USD 3.97/KG. The move then extended in Q3, taking the price to USD 4.20/KG.

Duck Prices in Germany

Germany registered a 0.8% increase in Q2 2026, taking the average to USD 4.94/KG from USD 4.90/KG in Q1. German prices rose as the demand from retailers strengthened. The Q2 2026 average is 4.2% above the USD 4.74/KG recorded in Q2 2025. This places Germany 13.0% above the four-market average of USD 4.37/KG for Q2 2026.

Why did the price of Duck change in Q2 2026 in Germany?

Germany rose. Demand from retailers strengthened, energy costs went up, and processors lifted offers. Coming after a 0.8% gain in Q1, the Q2 figure sits 4.2% above the USD 4.74/KG of Q2 2025. The same direction continued in Q3, with the price reaching USD 5.00/KG. Across the four markets the average was 0.9% higher on the quarter.

Duck Prices in France

France firmed 1.0% to USD 5.82/KG in Q2 2026, from USD 5.76/KG in Q1. French prices rose as the demand from restaurants strengthened. Compared with Q2 2025, when France averaged USD 5.54/KG, the current price is 5.1% higher. Against the four-market average of USD 4.37/KG, France stood 33.2% above in the quarter.

Why did the price of Duck change in Q2 2026 in France?

France rose. Demand from restaurants strengthened, energy costs went up, and processors lifted prices. The 0.7% gain in Q1 set the base, and Q2 finished 5.1% above the USD 5.54/KG recorded a year earlier. Q3 added to the change, with the price at USD 5.90/KG. On the global measure the average was 0.9% higher over the quarter.

Quarterly Duck Price Trends

Duck prices rose through 2025 and the first half of 2026 and rose again in the third quarter in all four markets. The global average moved from USD 4.11/KG in Q1 2025 to 4.17 in Q2, 4.25 in Q3 and 4.29 in Q4, then 4.33 in Q1 2026, 4.37 in Q2 and 4.42 in Q3, a net gain of roughly 7.5% across the window. Higher feed costs and steady demand from restaurants and retailers lifted prices for six quarters.

What was Duck Price in 2025?

2025 was a year of gradual increases for duck, with prices rising in each quarter in all four markets. Starting near USD 4.11/KG in Q1, the global average finished the year at 4.29 in Q4, a gain of about 4.4%. Higher feed costs and steady demand from restaurants and retailers supported producers throughout the year.

Duck Prices in China in 2025

In China, prices moved from about USD 2.39/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 2.51/KG by Q4, up roughly 5.0%. Chinese prices rose gradually as feed costs and demand from restaurants increased. Relative to the end of 2025, the price in China is 3.6% higher at USD 2.60/KG. The quarterly breakdown above allows each stage of that path to be traced.

Duck Prices in United States in 2025

In the United States, prices moved from about USD 3.92/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 4.07/KG by Q4, up roughly 3.8%. American prices rose gradually as the labor costs and demand from food service buyers increased. By Q3 2026 the average for the United States had reached USD 4.20/KG, 3.2% above the Q4 2025 close.

Duck Prices in Germany in 2025

In Germany, prices moved from about USD 4.68/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 4.86/KG by Q4, up roughly 3.8%. German prices rose gradually as the energy costs and demand from retailers increased. The latest quarter places Germany at USD 5.00/KG, which is 2.9% above the level at which 2025 ended. The quarterly sections above show how the annual average developed over the year.

Duck Prices in France in 2025

In France, prices moved from about USD 5.44/KG in Q1 2025 to USD 5.72/KG by Q4, up roughly 5.1%. French prices rose gradually as the energy costs and demand from restaurants increased. Since the 2025 close of USD 5.72/KG, the price in France has moved up 3.1%, reaching USD 5.90/KG in Q3 2026.

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We keep a continuous eye on duck prices wherever it is produced or consumed at scale, tracing causation through feed costs, flock size, bird flu outbreaks and demand from restaurants and retailers. Our forecasts draw on production data, trade flows, input cost trends and demand indicators across all reporting regions, so subscribers see why a price moved and not just that it did. Need pricing data, bespoke market analysis, or procurement advisory? Reach out to our team.