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Germany held the top of the four markets we track for the erbium through the first half of the year 2026 (H1 2026), with Q2 closing at a value of USD 65/KG, up 10.2% from the USD 59 in Q1. Worldwide, the average climbed to a value of USD 61/KG in Q2 2026, a gain of an 8.9% percent over the Q1 figure of USD 56, as the tight, China-led supply met the firm telecom demand.
The erbium is a heavy rare earth, refined from the xenotime and the ion-adsorption clay and traded mostly as the oxide. Its main home is the erbium-doped fibre amplifier, the device that regenerates the optical signal along the long-distance and the transoceanic fibre-optic networks. That telecom pull is price-inelastic and grows with the global data traffic.
Two things move the erbium price the most: the tight, China-led supply and the export-licensing spread, and the telecom fibre-amplifier demand that grows with the data traffic. For the second half of 2026 (H2 2026), a range of an amount of USD 58 to 72/KG looks likely worldwide, with the tight supply holding a firm floor.
Supply stays tight through the H2 2026, with the China-led production and the export licensing setting the direction. The telecom demand held firm through the H1, and the network build-out keeps the pull structural. China keeps the lowest domestic price, while the United States, the India, and the Germany track above on the export-licensing spread and the freight.
The market sits set for a firm and a rising move, the way the tight heavy rare earths trade. The bigger question for the buyers is the China export policy, since a snap-back of the erbium controls would tighten the fibre-amplifier supply chain fast.
What could push the prices higher? A snap-back of the China export licences, or a faster telecom and data-centre build-out. What could pull them lower? A demand off-season, or new non-China separation capacity easing the tightness.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/KG) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 58 - 72 | Tight China-led supply holds a firm floor |
| China | 54 - 66 | Domestic supply keeps China lowest-priced |
| India | 59 - 72 | Import-parity pull over the Asian offers |
| United States | 57 - 70 | Telecom demand and licensing spread |
| Germany | 62 - 76 | Import-reliant fibre-amplifier demand holds the top |
China firmed a value of 9.6% to the USD 57/KG on the domestic oxide basis, the tight supply and the firm telecom demand lifting even the domestic offers. China stayed the lowest-priced of the four by a clear margin.
Why did the price of Erbium change in Q2 2026 in China?
The tight supply and the firm telecom demand lifted even the domestic offers.
India rose a value of 8.8% to the USD 62/KG, the imported oxide climbing with the global tightness and the import-parity freight adding to the delivered price.
Why did the price of Erbium change in Q2 2026 in India?
The climbing imported oxide met the import-parity freight as the global market tightened.
The United States firmed a value of 9.1% to the USD 60/KG, the delivered oxide climbing on the tight supply and the firm fibre-amplifier demand.
Why did the price of Erbium change in Q2 2026 in United States?
The tight supply and the firm fibre-amplifier demand climbed the delivered oxide.
Germany gained a value of 10.2% to the USD 65/KG, the imported oxide climbing on the tight supply. The export-licensing spread and the freight kept the German prices at the top of the four.
Why did the price of Erbium change in Q2 2026 in Germany?
The tight supply and the export-licensing spread climbed the imported oxide.
China firmed a value of 15.6% to the USD 52/KG, the market surging into the year on the tight supply and the export-control uncertainty around the heavy rare earths.
Why did the price of Erbium change in Q1 2026 in China?
The tight supply and the export-control uncertainty surged the prices into the year.
India rose a value of 16.3% to the USD 57/KG, the imported oxide surging with the early-year tightness and the firm telecom pull.
Why did the price of Erbium change in Q1 2026 in India?
The early-year tightness and the firm telecom pull surged the imported oxide.
The United States firmed a value of 15.8% to the USD 55/KG, the delivered oxide surging on the tight supply and the fibre-amplifier demand.
Why did the price of Erbium change in Q1 2026 in United States?
The tight supply and the fibre-amplifier demand surged the delivered oxide.
Germany gained a value of 15.7% to the USD 59/KG, the imported oxide surging on the tight supply and the export-licensing spread.
Why did the price of Erbium change in Q1 2026 in Germany?
The tight supply and the export-licensing spread surged the imported oxide.
The global average climbed steadily across the window, rising from a value of USD 41/KG in the Q1 2025 to the USD 61 by the Q2 2026, a net gain of about 48.8%. The tight, China-led supply and the export-control episode on the heavy rare earths drove the climb, while the telecom fibre-amplifier demand kept the structural pull firm.
| Quarter | Price (USD/KG) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q2 2026 | 61 | +8.9% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2026 | 56 | +16.7% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 48 | +4.3% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 46 | +7.0% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2025 | 43 | +4.9% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2025 | 41 | - | - Stable |
| Q3 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
The year 2025 ran sharply higher for the erbium. The global average climbed from a value of USD 41/KG in the Q1 to the USD 48 by the Q4, a gain of about 17.1% across the year. The tight, China-led supply and the export-control episode on the heavy rare earths drove the climb, while the telecom fibre-amplifier demand kept the pull firm.
Chinese prices rose from a value of USD 38/KG in the Q1 2025 to the USD 45 by the Q4 on the domestic oxide basis, up about 18.4%. The tight supply lifted even the domestic offers, though China stayed the lowest-priced of the four all year.
Indian prices climbed from a value of USD 42/KG in the Q1 to the USD 49 by the Q4, a gain of about 16.7%. The imported oxide tracked the global tightness, and the import-parity freight kept India in the middle of the four.
The United States prices rose from a value of USD 40/KG in the Q1 to the USD 47.5 by the Q4, up about 18.8%. The firm fibre-amplifier demand and the tight supply lifted the delivered oxide through the year.
German prices climbed from a value of USD 44/KG in the Q1 to the USD 51 by the Q4, a gain of about 15.9%. The import reliance and the export-licensing spread held Germany the dearest of the four.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Erbium Price Intelligence
We keep a continuous watch on the erbium prices wherever it is refined or consumed at scale, tracing the causation through the China-led supply and the export-licensing spread and the telecom fibre-amplifier demand that grows with the data traffic. Our analysts track all four of the markets on a monthly basis, so the figures reflect the most current data at the time of the publication. Contact Expert Market Research today for the Erbium pricing data, the bespoke market analysis, and the strategic procurement advisory.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
The erbium goes mostly into the erbium-doped fibre amplifiers that regenerate the optical signal along the long-distance fibre-optic networks. It also serves the medical and the dental lasers and the pink glass and ceramic colorants, with the 3N oxide carrying most of the traded volume.
In Q2 2026, it averaged a value of USD 57/KG in China, USD 60/KG in the US, USD 65/KG in Germany, and USD 62/KG in India, on a delivered basis. Germany sat at the top and China priced lowest.
The global average moved from a value of USD 41/KG in the Q1 2025 to the USD 48 by the Q4, a gain of about 17.1%. The tight, China-led supply and the export-control episode drove the sharp climb.
The export controls on the heavy rare earths kept the supply tight, and the telecom fibre-amplifier demand lifted the prices through the year.
We expect a global average in a range of an amount of USD 58 to 72/KG for the H2 2026, resting on the tight China-led supply holding a firm floor, with the China export policy setting how far the run goes.
Germany and the India sit at the top on the export-licensing spread and the import freight. The United States holds a firm telecom-driven level, and China prices lowest on its large domestic separation base.
The China export policy and the licensing spread matter most, followed by the telecom fibre-amplifier demand that grows with the data traffic and the pace of any non-China separation capacity.
China leads the mining, the separation, and the refining of the erbium by a wide margin, with small non-China volumes from the Australia and the United States. The import-reliant regions carry a licensing and freight spread over the domestic China price.
Monthly. Need something more current? Our team is available directly.
The quarterly trends and the forecasts help time the fibre-amplifier material contract talks around the China export policy, which matters most for the buyers weighing the domestic and the delivered supply for a heavy rare earth.
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