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China paid the most for frozen chicken MSM in Q3 2026: USD 1,150/MT, up 1.5% from USD 1,133/MT in Q2. High import costs and steady demand from meat processors keep Chinese prices above the other three markets. Worldwide, the average rose 1.3% to USD 982/MT from USD 969/MT, mostly because higher feed and freight costs and firm demand from meat processors led processors to raise prices in all four markets. What about Q4 2026? We expect a global average somewhere in the USD 955-1,035/MT range, with chicken output, feed costs, bird flu outbreaks, freight costs and demand from meat processors doing most of the work.
Frozen chicken MSM is mechanically separated meat, a paste recovered from chicken bones and carcass parts after the main cuts are removed. It is used in sausages, nuggets, hot dogs, pet food and other processed meat, and is sold frozen in blocks. Prices in this report refer to frozen chicken MSM in 15 to 20 kilogram blocks and are quoted per metric ton. They depend on chicken output, feed costs, freight costs and demand from meat processors.
Brazil, the United States, Poland and Thailand are large producers, because MSM is a by-product of chicken cutting plants. Processors freeze it in blocks soon after the production. Trade is governed by food safety rules and plant approvals, and some countries limit its use in retail products.
Prices should rise modestly through the rest of 2026. Feed and freight costs are firm and demand from meat processors is steady. Large chicken output in Brazil limits the size of the increase. Year on year, the global average has moved from USD 940/MT to USD 982/MT, an increase of 4.5%.
For Q4, risks to the price are evenly spread. What could push prices higher? Bird flu outbreaks, higher feed costs or stronger demand from meat processors would lift prices. What could pull them lower? Larger chicken output, lower feed costs or weaker demand from meat processors would lower prices.
| Region | 2026 Price Range (USD/MT) | Outlook |
| Global Average | 955 - 1,035 | Firm feed and freight costs support a modest rise |
| Brazil | 800 - 865 | Large poultry output and low feed costs keep prices lowest |
| United States | 915 - 990 | Large domestic output supports prices |
| Poland | 995 - 1,075 | Strong European demand supports prices |
| China | 1,120 - 1,215 | Import costs and demand from meat processors keep prices highest |
Brazil registered a 1.6% increase in Q3 2026, taking the average to USD 820/MT from USD 807/MT in Q2. Brazilian prices rose as the demand from meat processors improved. Compared with Q3 2025, when Brazil averaged USD 779/MT, the current price is 5.3% higher. In comparison with the average of USD 982/MT across the four markets, the price in Brazil was 16.5% lower.
Why did the price of Frozen Chicken MSM change in Q3 2026 in Brazil?
Brazil rose. Demand from meat processors improved, feed and freight costs increased, and processors raised offers. This leaves Brazil 3.8% higher than at the end of 2025, when the average was USD 790/MT, while the global average is 3.3% higher over the same period. Across the four markets the average was 1.3% higher on the quarter.
The United States firmed 1.3% to USD 940/MT in Q3 2026, from USD 928/MT in Q2. American prices rose as the demand from meat processors improved. Measured against Q3 2025, when the average stood at USD 901/MT, the market is 4.3% higher. The United States ended the quarter 4.3% below the group average of USD 982/MT.
Why did the price of Frozen Chicken MSM change in Q3 2026 in United States?
The United States rose. Demand from meat processors improved, import costs increased, and processors raised prices. From USD 911/MT at the close of 2025 to USD 940/MT in Q3 2026, the price in the United States has risen 3.2%, and the global average has risen 3.3%. On the global measure the average was 1.3% higher over the quarter.
In Q3 2026, the average price in Poland rose 1.2% to USD 1,020/MT, compared with USD 1,008/MT in Q2. Polish prices rose as the demand from meat processors improved. In Q3 2025 the average was USD 982/MT, so the market is 3.9% higher on a yearly basis. The price in Poland was 3.9% above the group average of USD 982/MT in Q3 2026.
Why did the price of Frozen Chicken MSM change in Q3 2026 in Poland?
Poland rose. Demand from meat processors improved, feed and freight costs increased, and processors raised prices. Across the first three quarters of 2026, Poland has moved up 2.8% from USD 992/MT in Q4 2025 to USD 1,020/MT, against a 3.3% gain for the global average. For comparison, the global average moved 1.3% higher over the same quarter.
China's average moved up 1.5% in Q3 2026, to USD 1,150/MT from USD 1,133/MT in Q2. Chinese prices rose as the demand from meat processors improved. This represents a 4.9% increase on the USD 1,096/MT recorded in Q3 2025. The gap to the four-market average of USD 982/MT was 17.1% above for China.
Why did the price of Frozen Chicken MSM change in Q3 2026 in China?
China rose. Demand from meat processors improved, import costs increased, and importers raised prices. Year to date, China is 3.4% higher than the Q4 2025 level of USD 1,112/MT, while the global average is 3.3% higher. The global average shifted 1.3% higher in the same quarter. This represents a quarter-on-quarter change of 1.5% for China.
Brazil's average moved up 1.1% in Q2 2026, to USD 807/MT from USD 798/MT in Q1. Brazilian prices rose as the demand from meat processors strengthened. A year earlier, in Q2 2025, the average stood at USD 761/MT, which makes the current price 6.0% higher. Against the four-market average of USD 969/MT, Brazil stood 16.7% below in the quarter.
Why did the price of Frozen Chicken MSM change in Q2 2026 in Brazil?
Brazil rose. Demand from meat processors strengthened, import costs went up, and processors lifted offers. The 1.0% gain in Q1 set the base, and Q2 finished 6.0% above the USD 761/MT recorded a year earlier. Q3 added to the change, with the price at USD 820/MT. The global average shifted 1.0% higher in the same quarter.
Prices in the United States firmed 1.0% in Q2 2026 to USD 928/MT, compared with USD 919/MT in Q1. American prices rose as the demand from meat processors strengthened. Taking Q2 2025 as the base, at USD 883/MT, the latest quarter is 5.1% higher. The United States finished Q2 2026 4.2% below the four-market average of USD 969/MT.
Why did the price of Frozen Chicken MSM change in Q2 2026 in United States?
The United States rose. Demand from meat processors strengthened, import costs went up, and processors lifted prices. This followed a 0.9% gain in Q1 and left the United States 5.1% above its Q2 2025 average of USD 883/MT. The move then extended in Q3, taking the price to USD 940/MT. Across the four markets the average was 1.0% higher on the quarter.
Poland recorded a 0.9% gain in Q2 2026, with the average reaching USD 1,008/MT against USD 999/MT in Q1. Polish prices rose as the demand from meat processors strengthened. Against the USD 967/MT recorded in Q2 2025, the current average represents a 4.2% increase. The four markets averaged USD 969/MT in the quarter, so the price in Poland was 4.0% higher.
Why did the price of Frozen Chicken MSM change in Q2 2026 in Poland?
Poland rose. Demand from meat processors strengthened, import costs went up, and processors lifted prices. After a 0.7% gain in Q1, the quarter closed 4.2% above the USD 967/MT recorded in Q2 2025. The same direction continued in Q3, with the price reaching USD 1,020/MT. On the global measure the average was 1.0% higher over the quarter.
The Q2 2026 average for China stood at USD 1,133/MT, an increase of 1.1% on the USD 1,121/MT recorded in Q1. Chinese prices rose as the demand from meat processors strengthened. The Q2 2025 average of USD 1,071/MT puts the current price 5.8% above its level a year earlier. In comparison with the average of USD 969/MT across the four markets, the price in China was 16.9% higher.
Why did the price of Frozen Chicken MSM change in Q2 2026 in China?
China rose. Demand from meat processors strengthened, import costs went up, and importers lifted prices. This came on top of a 0.8% gain in Q1, and the average ended 5.8% above its level of a year earlier, when it stood at USD 1,071/MT. Q3 added to the change, with the price at USD 1,150/MT.
Frozen Chicken MSM prices rose through 2025 and the first half of 2026 and rose again in the third quarter in all four markets. The global average moved from USD 904/MT in Q1 2025 to 920 in Q2, 940 in Q3 and 951 in Q4, then 959 in Q1 2026, 969 in Q2 and 982 in Q3, a net gain of roughly 8.6% across the window. Higher feed and freight costs and steady demand from meat processors lifted prices for six quarters.
| Quarter | Price (USD/MT) | QoQ Change | Direction |
| Q3 2026 | 982 | +1.3% | ↑ Rising |
| Q2 2026 | 969 | +1.0% | ↑ Rising |
| Q1 2026 | 959 | +0.8% | ↑ Rising |
| Q4 2025 | 951 | +1.2% | ↑ Rising |
| Q3 2025 | 940 | - | - Stable |
| Q4 2026 | In Progress | - | - In Progress |
2025 was a year of steady increases for frozen chicken MSM, with prices rising in each quarter in all four markets. Starting near USD 904/MT in Q1, the global average finished the year at 951 in Q4, a gain of about 5.2%. Higher feed and freight costs and steady demand from meat processors supported processors throughout the year.
In Brazil, prices moved from about USD 746/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 790/MT by Q4, up roughly 5.9%. Brazilian prices rose steadily as import costs and demand from meat processors increased. Since the 2025 close of USD 790/MT, the price in Brazil has moved up 3.8%, reaching USD 820/MT in Q3 2026.
In the United States, prices moved from about USD 868/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 911/MT by Q4, up roughly 5.0%. American prices rose gradually as import costs and demand from meat processors increased. At USD 940/MT in Q3 2026, the United States stands 3.2% above its Q4 2025 close. The same regional pattern is carried into the quarterly analysis above, where the quarter-by-quarter figures can be traced.
In Poland, prices moved from about USD 954/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 992/MT by Q4, up roughly 4.0%. Polish prices rose gradually as import costs and demand from meat processors increased. The Q4 2025 close of USD 992/MT compares with USD 1,020/MT in Q3 2026, a 2.8% increase. The quarterly sections above show how the annual average developed over the year.
In China, prices moved from about USD 1,049/MT in Q1 2025 to USD 1,112/MT by Q4, up roughly 6.0%. Chinese prices rose steadily as import costs and demand from meat processors increased. Relative to the end of 2025, the price in China is 3.4% higher at USD 1,150/MT. The quarterly breakdown above allows each stage of that path to be traced.
Expert Market Research: Your Source for Real-Time Frozen Chicken MSM Price Intelligence
We keep a continuous eye on frozen chicken MSM prices wherever it is produced or consumed at scale, tracing causation through chicken output, feed costs, freight costs and demand from meat processors. Our forecasts draw on production data, trade flows, input cost trends and demand indicators across all reporting regions, so subscribers see why a price moved and not just that it did. Need pricing data, bespoke market analysis, or procurement advisory? Reach out to our team.
*While we strive to always give you current and accurate information, the numbers depicted on the website are indicative and may differ from the actual numbers in the main report. At Expert Market Research, we aim to bring you the latest insights and trends in the market. Using our analyses and forecasts, stakeholders can understand the market dynamics, navigate challenges, and capitalize on opportunities to make data-driven strategic decisions.*
Sausages, nuggets, hot dogs, pet food and processed meat.
In Q3 2026, it averaged USD 820/MT in Brazil, USD 940/MT in the United States, USD 1,020/MT in Poland, and USD 1,150/MT in China. China was the priciest market.
The global average went from USD 951/MT in Q4 2025 to 959 in Q1, 969 in Q2 and 982 in Q3, up 3.3% overall. Steady increases through 2025 and early 2026 continued in the third quarter.
Higher feed and freight costs and firm demand from meat processors led processors to raise prices.
We expect a global average somewhere in the USD 955-1,035/MT range. Firm feed and freight costs and steady demand point to a modest rise.
China sits at the top and Brazil at the bottom. China pays the most on import costs and demand from meat processors, while Brazil sits lowest on large poultry output and low feed costs.
Monthly. Need something more current? The Expert Market Research team is available directly.
Chicken output, feed costs, bird flu outbreaks and freight costs drive the volatility.
Brazil, the United States, Poland and China lead supply and use of frozen chicken MSM.
Agree contracts with processors, check plant approvals and diversify between supply regions.
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